S&P 500
1324.80
-5.86 -0.44%
Dow Indu
12598.55
-33.45 -0.26%
Nasdaq
2874.40
-19.36 -0.67%
Crude Oil
93.52
+0.33 +0.35%
Gold
1544.40
+11.32 +0.74%
CRB Index
289.35
+0.21 +0.06%
US Dollar
81.297
-0.045 -0.06%
Weak

Looking Back, 3 Key Signs To Sell Lehman

I invited Blain from StockTradingToGo.com back to give us his analysis on Lehman. He’s missing the 4th key to selling Lehman…TRADE TRIANGLES! If you’re a MarketClub member pull up Lehman in MarketClub…then take a look at where the Trade Triangles signaled you.

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The following stock chart of Lehman Brothers (LEH) offers a great example of simple support and resistance. Support and Resistance is a basic form of technical analysis used commonly every day to mark potential buy and sell points on a stock chart.

Lehman Brothers is a good stock chart to observe for both new and seasoned investors because the recent Lehman bankruptcy offered three key sell signals for investors on the way down.

Note: This chart of Lehman Brothers is a 16 month daily stock chart:

1. The blue 1 show us how at the end of February Lehman stock fell through its first key support trendline at $50. This was a big sign that the bears had control of the stock and longs should get out.

2. The blue 2 shows us where Lehman eventually collapsed below its 2nd major support trendline at $35. This was another key sign for investors to get out of the stock.

3. The blue 3 shows the tipping point for Lehman before it moved to pennies. The break below $12 a share was the last major support Lehman had, and the stock never recovered. Bankruptcy shortly followed.

View More Examples of Technical Analysis.

No matter what anyone says or does, watch the market action.

No matter what anyone says or does, watch the market action. Only the market action tells you the true trend.

There is so much confusion in regards to the $700 billion bailout. Remember, that it’s not written in granite just yet.

Looking at the market action… I have to say that this market is still not healthy and looks as though it will continue to erode the equity markets.

Gold continues to consolidate and appears as though it wants to move higher in the near-term.

What always amazes me, and it shouldn’t amaze me anymore as I have seen enough screw-ups in the market, is the government’s inability to act before a major financial disaster takes place. This latest rescue plan is a perfect example. Everyone in the industry, and even people not involved in the investment industry knew all about the “garbage” that was going on. Everyone knew except Washington, and in classic Washington style the regulators buried their heads in the sand and just wanted it to go away.

I’m sure you knew folks in your own neighborhood who suddenly became mortgage brokers as that was the thing to do to make some fast money. I wonder what the qualifications were for that job?

I don’t want to be too cynical, even though this post will probably put me in that camp, but the facts are the facts… we had incredibly inexpensive money for several years thanks to Alan Greenspan. Interest rates were at 40 year lows and it was so inexpensive to borrow money and basically speculate in housing and stocks. Many uneducated people were sucked into speculating in stocks and real-estate based on cheap money. Imagine buying a house with no money down and no verifiable income. It defies commonsense and logic, yet this was common practice at the height of the market.

Wall Street dug itself into this disaster because of greed. The CDO’s and SIV’s were the brainchild of someone who had no clue as to what they were creating. These two non-exchange traded and non transparent investments could only spell disaster for the US in the long run. In the market there is no free lunch, and I think that this $700 billion lunch bill is the perfect example that will be taught in financial classes for the next five decades.

I am sure that after things settle down, Washington will once again hold their famous hearings about who did what, when, and who is to blame. While the blame has to go in my opinion, squarely on the SEC and the FED due to their lack of leadership and lack of rule enforcement. I would still love to know who pulled the strings to remove the uptick rule in 2007. I would also like to know why the 1-20 leverage rule was removed in 1999 under the Clinton administration. All these SEC rules were put in place to protect the public and to avoid bear raids on stocks.

Hopefully we can make some sense out of this and get back on our feet as a country and start building products and making things again to make America strong.

Okay, enough preaching… let’s look at a recent event in the marketplace.

We received a lot of e-mails yesterday based on the sharp run-up in October crude oil. The reason for this run up was a classic squeeze on the shorts.

We have always advocated you should not be trading in the lead month of any futures market, and certainly you should not be trading on the last trading day for any futures contract. This should be left to the professional institutions, who are either making delivery or taking delivery. This, the biggest one day move on crude oil, was a classic case of a tug and war between these institutions. Today’s pullback just shows you the true picture as to what’s really going on. I am sure the headlines on the crude oil today will not read … crude oil down $24 for the day.

Once again, if you are a speculator in futures, do not go into the lead month with a position. It just does not make sense, and the chances of you losing money are very high.

Thanks for taking the time to read this blog posting.

Every success in the future,

Adam Hewison

President, INO.com Co-creator, MarketClub

Where gold is headed in the next 6 months

We are the government, we’re here to help.

I believe the only help the government gave us last week was pushing gold prices higher. During last week’s massive bailout and intervention in the credit markets one of the few markets to close higher for the week was gold. This tells you a tremendous amount about how traders are thinking about the future.

Watch my new gold video here.

These are extraordinary times we are living in, and we have to take advantage of what the markets are offering us at the moment. The fact that there was no follow-through today in the equity markets tells me that there’s so many questions about this bailout that are yet to be ironed out. That in turn creates more uneasiness in the marketplace.

I still believe that stocks are in a bear market and that we can see a trade down to the 10,000 level basis the DOW. Having said that, I would be trading gold from the long side until our “Trade Triangle” Technology points to a change in trend direction. With the technicals all in place, and the fundamentals certainly pointing to higher gold prices, I think traders should be looking at this market from the long side. Some of our cyclic work indicates that gold could be strong until February or March of 2009.

Enjoy the video. It’s short and it’s available now with our compliments.

Every success trading,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co Creator, MarketClub.com

Are you confused with last weeks market action?

Are you confused with last weeks market action?
Now you can use this really cool analysis tool and get instant answers
to your market questions in plain English on any market.
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Time to laugh
A very successful stockbroker parked his brand-new Mercedes in front of his office, ready to show it off to his colleagues. As he got out, a truck passed too close and tore off the door on the driver’s side. The stockbroker immediately grabbed his cell phone, dialed 911, and within minutes a policeman pulled up. Before the officer had a chance to ask any questions, the stockbroker started screaming hysterically. His Mercedes, which he had just picked up the day before, was now completely ruined. When the stockbroker finally wound down from his ranting and raving, the officer shook his head in disgust and disbelief. “I can not believe how materialistic you stock brokers are,” the cop said. “You are so focused on your possessions that you don’t notice anything else.” “How can you say such a thing?” asked the stockbroker. The cop replied, “Don’t you know that your left arm is missing from the elbow down? It must have been torn off when the truck hit you.” “My God!” screamed the stockbroker. “My Rolex!”

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The joke while funny  captures the what’s in it for me attitude that we have all been living with for the past several years/Adam.

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Adam Hewison

Co Founder MarketClub.com

“Saturday Seminars” – Controlled Trading

Most traders react to the market, their brokers, and their emotions. When you react because the unexpected has occurred, you are out of control. When you respond as part of a pre-determined game plan, you are in control. In this workshop, Walt will share with you his 4-Step Program of Controlled Trading that will keep you in control of your trading.

Part 1 – Market Analysis. “The trend is your friend;” and not only do we want to know what the trend is, we want to anticipate when the trend will reverse. With cycle analysis, you can both define the trend (long-term, intermediate-term, short-term) and anticipate tops and bottoms (both major tops and trading tops). Part 2 – Oscillator Analysis. Both cycles and oscillators are dependent upon time and price. Quite often cycle highs and lows are accompanied by oscillator extremes. When you know these extreme levels, tops and bottoms can be identified with confidence. Walt also presents easy-to-use techniques to fine-tune the oscillators and build tradable oscillator/cycle combinations to buy bottoms and sell tops. The amazing 3-10 oscillator is a simple and powerful indicator of tops and bottoms. Part 3 – Market Entry and Exit. To be in control, we must first determine the time frame for which we are trading. All too often we use a short-term entry technique and a short-term stop while planning a long-term trade. By defining the time frames before we enter the market, we can apply the correct market entry and exit techniques using weekly, daily, and intra-day techniques to buy on weakness and strength, and to sell on strength and weakness. Part 4 – Controlled Risk Money Management. Walt’s “controlled risk” money management will show you how to stay in control of the trade at all times, from planning the trade to market exit.

Walter BressertWalter Bressert has been using market cycles to trade stocks and commodities since the 1970s when his HAL Commodity Cycles was one of the most widely known advisory services focusing on cycles.

Saturday Seminars are just a taste of the power of INO TV. The web’s only online video and audio library for trading education. So watch four videos in our free version of INO TV click here.

INO TV

Here are 799 examples of what not to do in the markets.

Here are 799 examples of what not to do in the markets.

Below is a list of 799 financial stocks that can not be shorted… at least for now.

It’s been one heck of a week. I think the best way to describe it is AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH !!!

The thing to do right now is to use common sense and stay cool. Remember, you have all year to trade. This week, while volatile, has not reversed the downward trend for the financials, it merely averted a meltdown in the financial markets.

There are a lot of opportunities to trade. Removing 799 stocks out of the short-sale basket doesn’t make things all hunky-dory again, it simply puts the brakes on. There are, and there will be some more amazing opportunities to make money in Q 4 and in ’09. All you have to do is stay tuned to this blog and we will share our thoughts and ideas with you.

Adam Hewison
Co-Founder, MarketClub

Here’s the infamous list of 799.

AAME ATLANTIC AMERICAN CORP
AANB ABIGAIL ADAMS NATL BANCORP INC
ABBC ABINGTON BANCORP INC PA
ABCB AMERIS BANCORP
ABCW ANCHOR BANCORP WISCONSIN INC
ABK AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP INC
ABNJ AMERICAN BANCORP OF NJ INC
ABVA ALLIANCE BANKSHARES CORP
ACAP AMERICAN PHYSICIANS CAPITAL INC
ACBA AMERICAN COMMUNITY BNCSHRS INC
ACE ACE LTD
ACFC ATLANTIC COAST FED CORP
ACGL ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD NEW
ADVNA ADVANTA CORP
ADVNB ADVANTA CORP
AEG AEGON N V
AEL AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HLDG C
AET AETNA INC NEW
AF ASTORIA FINANCIAL CORP
AFFM AFFIRMATIVE INSURANCE HLDGS INC
AFG AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC NEW
AFL A F L A C INC
AGII ARGO GROUP INTL HLDGS LTD
AGO ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

To see the other 774 stocks please click this link.

Is Starbucks beginning to perk?

It was just about a year ago when I wrote a blog titled, “Love the coffee … hate the stock.”

The analysis I posted turned out to be right on the money for that stock, and that stock was Starbucks. Well here we are, 21 months later and again looking at Starbucks, but from a different perspective. I was looking through some of our charts on MarketClub and Starbucks came to my attention as I noticed it had a break-out over a 21 month old trendline.

Now, it’s too early to say that Starbucks is shooting up to the moon. I don’t think that would be a likely scenario, but it does mean that we may have seen the worst for Starbucks at least in the short-term. For the past three months, Starbucks has been moving sideways unlike the stock indexes which have been going south. Sometimes it’s worthwhile looking at markets that are just a little bit different in their trend of the general market.

If you have a few minutes, check out my latest video on Starbucks. In this short video, I explain exactly what I’m looking at and how I think this market will act in the near future

The video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell Starbucks stock.

Enjoy the video and every success in trading.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Here’s a potential trade you might find interesting.

The Chinese say, “may you live in interesting times.” While we are certainly living through some interesting times in the financial markets, I think most traders and investor would agree that change brings opportunity.

By now we all know and have heard the horror stories about the problems in the financial markets, the AIG bailout by the government and SEC Chairman, Christopher Cox, changing the naked short role again. It boggles the mind as to what’s next?

I think it’s time to look at an interesting trading and chart pattern which I’m sure has been discovered by many MarketClub members. For those of you who are not familiar with this pattern, this short video should help you understand one of the principal trading patterns of the market.

After watching the video, I’m sure you agree that with current market movement, the potential to make in profit on this trade is very high. The purpose of this video is to educate, but certainly you can trade this pattern successfully in the future.

If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to call our offices and 1-800-538-7424. Remember, we are not brokers we are educators. Our goal is to help you achieve your maximum efficiency in the marketplace by making educated trading decision.

Thanks for watching the video,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub.com

Never get married to any stock because the divorce gets expensive.

Here’s a trading tip that you can use.

Never, repeat never, get married to a stock because the divorce is very expensive.

In this short video, we look at Apple, Inc. I have to admit I love Apple products. I have an iPhone, an iMac and an iPod touch, which by the way you can win one by entering the contest on our blog.

Apple stores are always packed when I go to the mall. But the stock action is terrible.The market action tells us that we’re headed lower, so what’s the deal? Why would you trade Apple based on stores that are full? You wouldn’t, you only want to trade based on market action.

The world has changed, it is not a buy and hold market anymore. You need to be nimble, trade with a game plan and be disciplined. Those are the keys to success in the marketplace today.

Thanks for stopping by and enjoy the video. I hope it helps you in your own trading.

Adam Hewison
Co-Creator, MarketClub

6 Tips to Having a Productive Financial Morning Routine

Good Morning! I hope everyone actually got some sleep lastnight, as many people I talked to were very worried about 401k’s, Money Markets, and the like. If you’re trading with the trend, utilizing GOOD information, and following a plan then you should be ok! If you’re still having issues, please take a look at the article below by Blain Reinkensmeyer from StockTradingToGo.com. I asked him to talk about how he gets his morning routine put together for the day. Enjoy the post and trade well!

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Every trader has a morning routing when it comes to preparing for the market day. Some traders are more intense than others because they have more at stake. Regardless of the size of your portfolio, here are some tips that can help get your morning started right.

1. Wake up before the market opens: The stock market opens every day at 9:30 AM EST and by waking up before you have time to prepare for any potential market surprises or simply set a strategy up for the day. Some traders wake up three hours before the opening bell, some three minutes; it is all based on your routine you develop.

2. Give the financial news a quick check: For me I simply head over to the INO News page or Yahoo finance and read the headlines. More often than not it gives me a quick glimpse of what the market itself is up to and any stocks that have big news. If you don’t like reading, than simply flip on CNBC and watch a few minutes.

3. Check the pre-markets: This is almost a must if you are a day trader because plays can come about pretty quickly. Personally I use the NASDAQ pre market indicator for attaining pre-market quotes. Pre-market trading occurs from 8:00 AM – 9:30 AM EST every day. For the simple trader, the whole purpose of this is to get an idea of what stocks if any are on the move early.

4. Give your portfolio a quick overview: Sign into your online stock broker account and just give your portfolio a look. This is a good opportunity to see if your positions moved the previous night alongside update any stop orders you may have.

5. Active Traders, setup your trading station before the market opens: This is really a “duh” for those that trade out of their homes, but I can honestly say I struggled at this when I used to day trade. I would try to wake up 5 minutes before the opening bell, gather news and get myself setup, and more often than not it doesn’t work. Get your computer running early so you are ready if need be.

6. Read the Paper: Papers such as the Investors Business Daily (IBD) and the Wall Street Journal are an outstanding way to get updated on what the market is up to.

Blain Reinkensmeyer

StockTradingToGo.com

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