S&P 500
2104.50
-6.24 -0.30%
Dow Indu
18132.70
-81.72 -0.45%
Nasdaq
4964.66
-23.23 -0.47%
Crude Oil
49.76
+1.22 +2.46%
Gold
1213.350
+3.435 +0.28%
Euro
1.11945
-0.00010 -0.01%
US Dollar
95.256
-0.001 -0.00%
Strong

Is This ETF Laying The Foundation For A Rally In Crude Oil?

Picking bottoms is not something one should do if you're going to be a successful trader. But looking at market that may be forming a bottom is a good exercise, and one that you should be doing on a regular basis.

I had done this before gold reversed to the upside traded over $1300 an ounce. Maybe it's time to look at crude oil and see if it's beginning to set itself up for a move to the upside.

Technically, the Trade Triangles remain negative on crude oil, so there is no reversal showing up with those technical tools.

The story is a little bit different with the RSI indicator. This particular indicator is showing that there is a big positive divergence on the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (PACF:XLE), and it is one that spans months.

Today I'm looking at the ETF XLE and the fact that if it closes higher for the week, it will be a positive sign. The previous week saw a very important Japanese candlestick formation call a "Dragon Fly Doji" this can be interpreted as a strong indication of reversal. It all depend's on how XLE closes this Friday. [Read more...]

How The Oscars May Affect The Way You Look At The Markets

This past weekend I saw a great movie titled, The Imitation Game starring Benedict Cumberbatch and Keira Knightley, both of whom are nominated for Academy Awards, as is the movie itself.

The Imitation Game chronicles the life of Alan Turing, who is largely credited with developing the computers we use today. The story revolves around the incredible work that was done at Bletchley Park in England to break the German Enigma code. At the time, the Enigma code and machine were thought to be unbreakable. The breaking of this code helped shorten and end the war. Otherwise, I would be writing this post in German and not English (I was born in England right after WW2).

If you haven't seen the movie, I highly recommend seeing it and witnessing the extraordinary genius of a remarkable man named Alan Turing.

Why would I discuss and recommend a movie when MarketClub and INO.com are financial websites dealing with stocks and futures? The reason I bring this up is because I wanted to share with you some math today that can help you in the market.

Now don't worry this is not high-level mathematics, it has more to do with a remarkable sequence of numbers known as the Fibonacci sequence. [Read more...]

The Next Bombshell To Hit The Markets ... Greece

The big news of this past week has to be the Swiss National Bank (SNB) parting ways with the euro. Make no mistake about it, this was a game changer and the ramifications of SNB's actions will be felt for a long time to come.

The next big game changer will be Greece exiting out of the Euro and going back to its old currency the Greek drachma. It may not happen next week, or next month, but it will happen.

On to the markets - it has been quite a week for the indices, with the DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all down over 2%. The strong downtrend in crude oil was unabated, with crude closing down the week with a loss of 3%. The only two positives of the week, are the dollar index, which closed the week with a gain of 0.7% and gold which climbed to its best levels in over four months with a gain of 3.16% for the week. [Read more...]

A Black Swan Event Rocks Gold And The Swiss Franc Today

A black swan event is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise and has major consequences.

Today, such an event occurred causing the Swiss franc to soar as much as 30% and gold to jump to 4-month highs in chaotic trading after The Swiss National Bank (SNB) abandoned the cap on the currency's value against the euro.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) said the cap, introduced in September 2011, was no longer justified. No one predicted, hinted or even contemplated that The Swiss National Bank would do this.

This move could well begin the demise of the euro that was cobbled together some 15 years ago. Personally, I am surprised to this day that this currency has survived as long as it has. The disparity between the work ethic of a country like Germany versus Greece is a joke - yet that is what the euro represents.

A Flight To Quality

As the Russian ruble continues to lose buying power, money is flowing into Switzerland from that country. I remember when I lived in Switzerland, flights used to arrive with passengers whose suitcases were stuffed full of illegal money. Make no mistake about it, this move by the Swiss National Bank is a game changer. [Read more...]

A Game Plan To Make Money In 2015

One of the things I find fascinating about trading and investing is that the majority of traders do not have any kind of game plan or strategy to navigate the markets and make money. They just sort of wing it. Imagine going across the country where you are not familiar with the roads. You could wing it, but why would you when you have a GPS in your smartphone giving you directions. Traders who wing it in the markets tend to listen to all the market rumors and noise that’s out there and can miss the big moves. They bounce around like a pinball from one idea to the next, hoping to hit it big in the markets. The chance of making money like that is not good.

Imagine having a financial "GPS", much like your smartphone, that keeps you on track to accumulate steady gains year in and year out. Imagine how much happier that would make you feel and how much faster you would reach your financial goals.

In today's short video, I'm going to share with you all the ins and outs of creating and employing a game plan that you can put to work right away. This simple game plan is easy to use, makes sense and can easily be incorporated into any portfolio.

So just like the GPS on your smartphone, let this financial "GPS" work for you and show you the pathway to an easier life and a potential world of profits.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

3 Stocks That Deserve Your Immediate Attention

One of the tools I really like about MarketClub is the Trade Triangle technology. Yesterday, the Trade Triangles alerted me to three potential stocks that could become big winners in the near term. Each of these three stocks flashed major buy signals on Monday, based on the monthly Trade Triangle indicator.

What is also interesting, is the fact that each of these three stocks are coming from powerful chart formations. The technical picture augers very well for these stocks to continue their upward trend.

In today's short video, I'll focus on each of these stocks and show you what the potential is on the upside. I'll also share with you the risk to the downside.

Always remember, there are no guarantees in trading. I'm sure you know that by now. If you don't, consider yourself educated with the truth.

As always I appreciate your feedback and comments below every blog posting. You can agree or disagree with my findings, but do share with us your reasons why.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

The Internet Portfolio Hit The Jackpot In 2014

Last year was another good year for the stock market with all the indices ending up on a positive note.

The DOW was able to make it into the positive column by 7.5%, the S&P 500 managed to outdo the DOW with a double digit return of 11.5% and standing on the top of the hill was the NASDAQ index, which put in a stellar 13.9% performance for the year.

What if there was another way to make money, one that had about the same amount of risk, but produced higher returns on your money - now that would that be interesting, don't you think?

Two years ago, we started our model Internet portfolio which consists of 5 stocks. We divided the funding for this portfolio into 5 equal amounts of $10,000 each and used that to trade as many shares as we could both from the long and short side of the market.

The stock we chose to trade in this Internet portfolio are Facebook Inc.(NASDAQ:FB), Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO), Yelp Inc. (NYSE:YELP), and finally Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN). Based on the stock's price, we traded the maximum number of shares we could for each stock, rounding down if needed.

The first year tracking this portfolio (2013), we had a stand out year with a return of 65.3%. Last year (2014) this portfolio performed well, easily outperforming all the major indices and beating the top performing NASDAQ. For 2014, the Internet portfolio put in a super performance of 16.4%. While not as good as 2013, it was nevertheless a very positive one when you measure it against other stock portfolios.

The signals for this portfolio, along with our other two model portfolios, the World Cup portfolio and the Perfect ETF portfolio are provided for you.

If you are looking to start 2015 off on the right foot, with a clear direction, then one of these model portfolios could be the answer you are looking for. Each portfolio carries, like all investments, a degree of risk.

The most conservative portfolio is our Perfect ETF portfolio. The Internet portfolio has a slightly higher degree of risk. Our World Cup portfolio carries the most amount of risk and is not for everyone. However, it does have a place in large portfolios as a non-correlating asset class.

Have a question about the Internet portfolio? Please comment below this post.

Every success in 2015 with any of MarketClub model portfolios!

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Triple Digit Returns In 2014 For The World Cup Portfolio

MarketClub's model portfolio section showcases three portfolios using MarketClub's strategies that you can follow and see how well they are doing. We provide you with all the entry and exit points for each market in each portfolio so there is nothing to second guess.

World Cup Portfolio

The final results are in and once again the World Cup portfolio (WCP) knocked it out of the park with triple digit returns. This is the third time in 7 years that this portfolio has chalked up some of the best returns in the investment world. We have continually published the daily signals and the results for this portfolio since 2007, so this year's results are no fluke.

The big winner in 2014 was, of course, being short crude oil. This strategy produced spectacular results and was responsible for almost half of our profits for the entire portfolio. With gains of $38,130, representing a 76% return on total invested capital, this commodity was a standout, just trading one contract of crude oil. Next up was gold, which was responsible for producing a return of $7,793, equaling a 15.5% return on invested capital.

WCP Cumulative 2007 thru 2014

Total capital needed to trade the World Cup portfolio is $50,000. (Remember, we are not brokers nor do we manage money.)

Every single market showed a profit in 2014, however, not every single market showed a profit in every quarter. This is why it is so important to be diversified as it lowers your risk profile while raising you profit profile.

Here is the quarterly market breakdown per share: [Read more...]

Gold Is Sending A Very Strong Message, Are You Listening?

Hello MarketClub members and friends of MarketClub everywhere! Today, I have a brief market update on the general market and an in-depth analysis on gold.

2015 has not started off too well for the US equity markets, while the reverse seems to be true for the action in gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO). What's going on? Oil continues to slip, which most economists thought would be good for the economy, but it does not seem to be helping the market. This brings me to my next thought...

Do you know about the "January Barometer"? Since World War II, if the market closes down in January, the average price change was usually flat in the remaining 11 months. So while certain stocks may do very well overall if the market closes down this month, look for a less than stellar year.

As you can see, while stocks have been swooning, gold has actually been on the move to the upside. As I write this, gold is up almost 3% and we are only 6 days into January!

Take a look at the chart and you can see that gold has almost completed an important technical formation known as a "head and shoulders bottom", one of the most reliable formations in your technical arsenal.

A higher close today clearly breaks over the the all important "neckline" resistance level. Once over the "neckline," I can see gold moving based on the head-to-neckline measurement up to the $1,330 to $1,340 level.

Wishing you all the very best in 2015.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Caution, Caution, Caution

Here we are at the first trading day of 2015. You may remember one of my posts in December indicating that the markets can be quite dangerous over the holiday time period. Well, that same danger carries over in to the first week of January when many traders are just getting back from vacations and preparing to setup their trading desks for the New Year. Typically, I like to get serious about the market after the first full trading week of January is over and volume once again returns to the market.

At the moment, we're still in a very low volume period indicating that the markets can be extremely volatile on a moment's notice. You only have to look at gold in the last several days to see the extreme swings up and down that market is going through, which proves my point. This extreme kind of market action can happen in any market with little or no notice - so the word for today and next week is caution, caution, caution.

On A Personal Note

I hope everyone had a wonderful time with family and loved ones over the Christmas holidays.

I am very fortunate, thought some would say unfortunate, that right after Christmas I have a birthday. The 26th of December is my birthday, for those of you living in England and Australia, that's Boxing Day. I've gotten to the age when birthday presents really aren't my thing anymore as I pretty much have all the underwear and socks I will ever need. However, this year was different, as I did want something, something very special and close to my heart. [Read more...]

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