S&P 500
2104.20
-21.86 -1.03%
Dow Indu
18041.54
-190.48 -1.04%
Nasdaq
5033.93
-55.43 -1.09%
Crude Oil
58.40
+0.37 +0.62%
Gold
1187.855
-17.270 -1.43%
Euro
1.088315
-0.005335 -0.49%
US Dollar
97.345
+0.124 +0.16%
Weak

Five Mining Companies Joe Reagor Believes Are Ahead of the Curve

The Gold Report: What's your gold price forecast for the rest of 2015?

Joe Reagor: For the full year, our average price is $1,260 per ounce ($1,260/oz). If the U.S. dollar were to remain steady and not strengthen, gold could reach $1,300/oz by year-end.

TGR: Gold was sold off heavily in the last week of April based on an anticipated interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Should the Fed actually raise the rate, how much of a negative effect will that have on gold and for how long? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/CMMS8tgQG5E/16661

Where To Find Profits Amid Global Currency Chaos

By: Dave Forest of Street Authority

I make a ton of currency swaps in my line of work. It goes with the territory. But lately it's been a harrowing experience.

Many currencies around the world have been a mess for the last few months. The value of the British pound, for example, has dropped 13% against the dollar since July 2014.

At the same time, the Canadian dollar has plummeted 15% against its American counterpart. And the Colombian peso -- another currency I'm frequently buying -- is down an astounding 28% over the same period.

I'll admit it's been quite a hassle lately. I almost ran out of pesos in the Colombian countryside recently because of it. But what has me really worried is how these "currency wars" are starting to effect businesses and stocks valuations around the world.

Let me show you what I mean. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30551221

Picking Undervalued Gold Equities Is Akin to Picking Strawberries

The Gold Report: A 10-year U.S. bond yields 2% currently. How is that changing the market?

Randall Abramson: We typically view the markets and our investment process through top-down and bottom-up lenses. Our top-down tools are telling us that all systems are "go," and that there are no immediate hurdles ahead. This low-growth environment has allowed the broader markets to remain in a bull phase for longer than is typical. In fact, we've not had even a market correction of 10% or so for way longer than normal.

TGR: The World Gold Council (WGC) reports that central banks bought 477.2 tons of gold in 2014, which was nearly a 50-year high. What do you make of central banks buying gold at peak Cold War-era levels? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/7zDgOZT0rvQ/16628

Don't Let Fear of a 'Grexit' Keep You Out of European Stocks

By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

After nearly three years of extremely weak economic growth, the European Central Bank is finally delivering on Mario Draghi's pledge to do "whatever it takes" to get the region back on track.

The central bank is set to pump $64 billion into the economy through monthly bond purchases through September 2016. The quantitative easing program, alluded to in September, formally announced in January and started on March 9, may already be having an effect on the economy in terms of sentiment.

Q4 GDP growth of 0.3% beat expectations, and manufacturing data showed signs of life in March. Exports to the United States could get a big boost this year on a massive depreciation in the euro versus the U.S. dollar.

All things considered, I would say it could be a very good year for European stocks, and possibly most of 2016 as well.

There is one fly in the ointment. Greece is back in the headlines as officials were said to have informally approached the IMF to delay repayment on the country's debt but were denied. Thanos Vamvakidis, head of European G10 FX strategy at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, said the country may run out of money if a reprieve is not granted at the meeting of eurozone finance ministers on April 24.

How do we act on what could be a great opportunity in European stocks without running the risk that a "Grexit" wipes out returns? [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30546471

Investors: Prepare For A Bumpy Earnings Season

By: David Sterman of Street Authority

The chickens are coming home to roost. After a remarkable eight-month rally in the dollar, many U.S. firms are finally feeling the pinch.

In the near-term, investors need to brace for a cautious earnings season. Yet, as I'll explain in a moment, there are still ample reasons for long-term optimism, especially when the dollar loses momentum and/or the global economy starts to rebound in earnest.

The strong dollar, which blunts the competitiveness of American firms, both at home and abroad, will have a clear impact on first-quarter results and forward outlooks. According to FactSet Research, 85 companies in the SP 500 have already warned of a Q1 profit shortfall, while just 16 companies have pre-announced that results will be better than expected. If that figure of 16 holds, it will be the lowest number since the first quarter of 2006. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30539668

Chen Lin's Secret to Finding the Next Goldcorp

The Gold Report: You've written that the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) could lead to a boom in commodities. We recently saw that South Korea is joining a number of European countries and signing on, despite U.S. reservations. Do you see this as a threat to U.S. fiscal dominance?

Chen Lin: I think this is a first step for China. The country has a huge reserve, $4 trillion, much more than it needs on the balance sheet to stabilize its currency. The rest is wasted, collecting no interest. China made some huge mistakes in the past through poor acquisition decisions because of faulty lending standards. This is a sign that it has learned from its mistakes and wants to make the most of the trillions it has to loan out right now. The bank will operate close to international standards, and because it has many nations involved already, defaulting loans will include less risk.

"Pretium Resources Inc. is a very high-grade, low-cost, exciting story."

This is a test. If it is successful, it can expand to Africa, South America, even Europe and North America. China has trillions of dollars sitting, doing nothing. It wants to find a way to lend money it can almost guarantee to get back and then put the money to use in the form of development. China has a huge infrastructure network capacity, requiring steel and cement. This creates jobs, which is good for the economy. That was the thinking behind the announcement.

If the AIIB is successful, it will be a big boon for base metals, energy, platinum and palladium sectors. It may even boost silver demand and prices because of its industrial use. I don't think it will have too much impact on gold, though.

TGR: Does that include copper? It has been below $3 per pound ($3/lb) all year. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/VljXJx6RlrQ/16601

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How the Five Principles of Capital Allocation Can Mean Gold Mining Success

The Gold Report: The price of gold is flirting with a five-year low. Do you attribute this solely to the strength of the U.S. dollar, or are there other factors at work?

Ralph Aldis: There are other factors. Most important is the strength of the equity markets. Looking at a six-year window, we have seen, for the third time in the last hundred years, the highest returns for such a period. This happened before in 1929 and 1999. These phenomenal returns have been fueled not by fundamentals but rather by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is trying to jumpstart the economy.

All this has taken people's eyes off gold, but it won't go on forever.

TGR: The bear market in gold equities is now four years old. This means lower gold production and less exploration. Gold production from South Africa has collapsed. Shouldn't lower gold production result in a higher gold price? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/_c0Krofo7SE/16579

How to Make Money in the Chaos of Oil and Gas

The Energy Report: Stephane, do you think the oil price has hit bottom and is now recovering?

Stephane Foucaud: When the Brent oil price was close to $50/barrel ($50/bbl), I think it was the bottom. It has recovered quite a bit. There is a risk that it might dip again, but I don't think we will reach the low $50s for quite some time. The reason I think there is a risk that the oil price could dip is that there has been an overreaction to the North American rig fleet reports, and particularly to what appears to be a large number of rigs being taken out of the market. Those rigs are, however, associated with lower-producing areas. Therefore, I think it's more sentiment than reality in terms of impact on the supply. The recovery has been too steep.

TER: What prices are you forecasting for 2015 and 2016?

[Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/yMw_yYAi6co/16542

Why Eurozone Growth Could Trigger A U.S. Budget Crisis

By David Sterman of Street Authority

At this point in President Obama's first term, the world looked very different.

The still-anemic economy made it hard to fathom how we would ever get out from under a crushing government debt load. Government spending far surpassed revenue and concerns grew that our key financial backers (such as Chinese bondholders) would pull the rug out from under us.

Fast forward to 2015, and the notion that our national debt is any sort of real problem has simply vanished. Sure, the Republican party has been recently threatening government agency shutdowns, but this time the issue is immigration and not our nation's unstable finances. The percentage of Americans that believe that deficit reduction should be Washington's top priority has slid to a recent 64%, from 72% in 2013, according to a recent survey conducted by Pew Research.

However, events across the Atlantic Ocean could bring this issue right back onto the front pages. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30524294

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