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Weak

Are You Prepared For Negative Interest Rates?

By:Tim Begany of Street Authority

Last Tuesday, all eyes were on Federal Reserve Chief Janet Yellen. In prepared testimony, she offered a few hints that interest rate increases may begin this summer.

While the crowd is thinking about rate hikes, few are thinking about U.S. interest rates heading lower, or possibly even turning negative.

The idea may seem absurd, but is it? [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30520302

Tax Advice for Active Traders: Understanding the 2015 Tax Laws to Avoid Stiff Tax Rates

By: Max D. - Max is a technical writer who regularly contributes financial topics to Farnsfield Research, and other investing blogs. Max spends his time running multiple companies in the financial sector. This allows him to have a constant finger on the pulse of the industry.

As millions of Americans file their income taxes prior to the April 15, 2015 deadline, traders must face the decision of how to report capital gains or loss according to IRS specifications. In the world of the New York Stock Exchange, a single trade, which may involve any number of stocks, can represent thousands of dollars. To reap the greatest amount of financial benefit from the passage of the Commodities Futures Modernization Act of 2000 and reduced tax rates of capital gains and losses, traders must understand how to properly report these securities and commodities on their tax return. [Read more...]

Global Insecurity Is Good for Gold, Says Mike Niehuser

The Gold Report: Gold and silver have both demonstrated explosive growth in 2015. Why has this happened, and will it continue?

Mike Niehuser: Well, I am not sure that I would categorize a higher gold price in the first part of 2015 as "explosive." Since the beginning of 2015, gold appears to be trading within a band of $1,200 to $1,300 an ounce ($1,2001,300/oz). While this is not "explosive" from a broader perspective, it is certainly a relief compared to declines in 2013, so let's just say gold has done well so far in 2015.

Despite declines over the last couple of years, gold is still well above its lows prior to Sept. 11, 2001. It has held up in spite of concerns for deflation resulting from a global economic slowdown. This has not been helped by loose monetary policies.

"Alexco Resource Corp.'s environmental business continues to grow and cover overhead while the company unlocks the exploration upside at Keno Hill."

I think the strength is in part due to what Sen. John McCain characterized as being in "an unprecedented period of global turmoil." Russia has reclaimed the Crimea and is in the process of annexing eastern Ukraine. The same could be said for insurgents in Iraq and eastern Syria. Concerns over the repayment of Greek debt, nuclear issues in Iran and an unsettled path for a maturing China should keep things interesting for gold.

Also, it is not clear how the recent collapse in oil prices will impact the economies or political stability of oil-producing nations, such as Russia and Iran. The conventional solution seems to be economic sanctions, but it has been said, "When goods stop flowing across borders, armies soon follow." At least North Korea is out of the headlines.

International anxiety may be good for gold prices as gold continues to have a place as a store of value in uncertain times.

TGR: What are your metals prices forecasts for 2015? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/JoZ5ES54I1I/16533

This Forgotten Icon is About to Make a Big Comeback

By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

No matter how well run a company is, sometimes there is nothing management can do to avoid steep losses. Sometimes these outside forces are so strong that investors write a stock off altogether and wonder if the industry will ever be profitable again.

Few industries were hit as hard by the Great Recession as recreational vehicles. The plummeting stock market could not have come at a worse time for baby boomers approaching retirement, and fear over retirement savings caused motorhome shipments to drop more than 50% between 2007 and 2009. Even when gasoline prices fell during the recession, they quickly recovered, making cross-country trips unrealistic for many Americans.

One company has been a symbol of the industry for more than 50 years, but it came close to bankruptcy during the recession. Now shares look ready to move higher as some of the forces that worked against it change in its favor. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30513912

22% Return In 11 Days And This Is Just The Start!

Here at INO.com, we are often asked about options trading and whether our premium service, MarketClub, can be used to trade options. While MarketClub does not carry stock options specifically, the truth is, many people have had a great deal of success trading options with MarketClub. One person in particular, who you are about to meet below, has done so for years and even helped teach others how to thrive using options.

This could be the first of many articles! We're trying to gauge interest in options trading with MarketClub, so we'd like to encourage you to participate in our poll.

Are you interested in learning more about options trading with Trader Travis and MarketClub?

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Hello my name is Trader Travis. Today I want to share with you the secret to how you could have used MarketClub and stock options to earn a 22% return on investment in just 11 trading days.

Sounds unbelievable, but if I hadn't experienced this first hand I'd still be in disbelief.

I'm not sure what your particular financial situation is, but maybe you're one of the many people who are afraid you won't be financially independent at some point in your life, or maybe you're afraid of losing money in the stock market (again) and would like to know how to guarantee you won't lose money...

If so, would you like to learn how to create true financial freedom and an income source you control? [Read more...]

Low Oil Prices Are an Act of Economic Warfare

The Energy Report: Bob, in January you published an article saying that the drop in oil prices could be the "straw that pops the $7-trillion derivative bubble." Can you explain the influence of oil prices on derivatives?

Bob Moriarty: It's not the oil prices that are significant; it's the change in oil prices. If you own an oil field and it costs you $75 to produce a barrel, at $110 a barrel ($110/bbl), you're OK. If oil drops to $45/bbl, you're in serious trouble.

In the shale oil sector, producers were taking out hundreds of billions of dollars in loans to finance shale oil that was costing them about $110/bbl to produce. It looked good on paper, but was a disaster waiting to happen. A lot of people in the shale oil business will soon be going out of business.

"Pan Orient Energy Corp. just closed on the Thailand sale, and will be drilling a game-changing well in the next couple of weeks."

This could start World War III. The United States is the biggest oil producer in the world today, and Russia is number two. Russia's economy is based on oil priced at $110/bbl. They are very angry at the U.S. and Saudi Arabia for the games that have been played in oil. Oil at $45/bbl is not sustainable. It could bring down the world's financial system all by itself.

The real cost of energy today is $60 to $70/bbl. In the last piece I did with The Energy Report, I said $75 to $100/bbl oil was the new normal. That's still true. Oil is way below the cost of production, and that's going to hurt a lot of people.

TER: There is speculation the Saudis are doing this to wipe out some of the Russian and deepwater production. Could that be true? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/3Q1GTdww_qI/16503

Avoid Dodos and Find Gold and Silver Miners that Can Soar

The Gold Report: A recent Raymond James research report refers to silver as the "devil's metal" What is the story there?

Chris Thompson: Silver is much more volatile than gold. Typically when we see a weak day for the gold price, silver has a terrible day. Likewise, if we see a strong day for gold, typically silver delivers exceptional performance. Because it's so volatile, we term it the devil's metal.

TGR: If the selloff in precious metal equities is over and this is the bottom, how long do you expect the flat-lining to persist?

CT: At Raymond James, in the near term we see gold trading rangebound between $1,200 per ounce ($1,200/oz) and $1,300/oz and silver trading rangebound between $16.50/oz and $18.50/oz. We are not seeing fundamentals that would prompt a price outside of those respective ranges. We expect current price strength to continue to the end of Q1/15, followed by some weakness into the summer and then more strength toward the end of the year.

TGR: In a recent research report you warned investors about 2015 possibly being the "Year of the Dodo" for certain precious metal producers. Please explain. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/Sm5tmlWjqLU/16516

4 Reasons Oil Could Drop Further

 

Right around the time analysts gave up trying to predict the bottom for oil prices, the all-important commodity mounted a strong comeback.

In fact, oil's recent reversal is leading to predictions that the commodity has finally bottomed and is poised for a "V-shaped recovery," which means it could rise so fast that its price chart forms the letter V.

What's more, many asset managers have started to say it's safe to go back into oil stocks and, in some cases, are forecasting such stocks will be 2015's best investments.

Those are bold claims, and they could be right. But I doubt it.

Simply put, the fundamentals behind the bear market in oil haven't changed much: there are still too many factors that could weigh on oil prices in coming months. Indeed, there are at least four reasons why it's probably far too soon to call a bottom in oil and why prices could still set new lows before heading consistently higher. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30507162

Bill Ackman: This Is The Market's 'Best Kept Secret'

By: Josh Sparrow of Street Authority

The name Bill Ackman carries more weight now than it did a year ago.

2014 was a rough year for most hedge fund managers. The average fund returned just 2% and the first six months of the year saw 461 hedge funds close shop.

Yet Ackman's fund, Pershing Square Holdings, returned an astounding 40.4% in 2014 and went from managing around $11.5 billion assets at the start of the year to more than $18 billion currently.

Ackman was named top dog in Bloomberg's 2014 ranking of the world's best hedge fund managers.

And that success helped make Pershing Square Holdings' (AMS: PSH) recent IPO that much more successful. The firm's October IPO -- which opened on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange -- was one of Europe's largest in 2014, at $2.7 billion.

Investors who bought shares of the company at the time of its IPO have already seen a nice 12.7% gain in just a few months.

In the company's first letter-to-shareholders, Ackman laid out what he believes to be the company's primary competitive advantages. He wrote, "When compared with other investment holding or operating companies, PSH benefits by its favorable tax structure and long-term track record." [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30505181

A Presidential Order That Could Save Energy Drillers

By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

In his six years in office, President Obama has stressed his support for strict environmental regulation. He has expanded powers for the Environmental Protection Agency and has repeatedly deferred approval for the Keystone XL Pipeline System.

One key stat: The number of oil and gas leases approved during the first three years fell by more than 40%, compared to the final three years of President Bush’s administration. Drilling permit approvals on federal lands fell by a similar amount.

In addition to the regulatory headwind, falling oil prices are also impeding drilling permit activity. Against this one-two punch, some analysts are questioning the emergent theme of U.S. energy independence and shale production.

But is an unlikely supporter about to throw the sector a lifeline? [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30504653

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