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In Precious Metals, Cash Flow Is King

June 18, 2013 By 1 Comment

The Gold Report: Many believe that the price of gold represents a market referendum on the value of paper money and the health of the world economy. Do you agree?

Jay Taylor: Yes, I do. Gold rose from the mid-$200s/ounce (mid-$200/oz) in 2002 to as high as $1,900/oz. That clearly suggests that things are not all right in the global economy. Politicians like to create the illusion that they can create something out of nothing and give it to people in exchange for votes. Gold gets in the way of that falsehood politicians wish to use to deceive voters for their own gain and the gain of those who fund their election campaigns.

TGR: Gold has fallen from $1,900/oz to below $1,400/oz. Some people say this proves the bubble has burst. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/M5xxij3nMEM/15376

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Trade of the Week Review

June 18, 2013 By 1 Comment

Join CEO of Acorn Wealth, John Seville, as he reviews his top performing trade of the week. In this short video John provides an executive summary of his top performing trade for the week. Watch along as he shares how he located the trade using targeted scans and the methodology to pin point the exact entry and exit points to crystallize double digit return within days. Learn key trading tips that you can implement instantly into your trading plan. A must see for any trader of all levels of experience.

Get FREE Access to Acorn's Premium Gold Service Now!

John has invited all INO readers to enjoy 7 days of complimentary, unlimited access to Acorn's Premium Gold membership service. Experience professional trading at its best as you join in Acorns live trading room where head coaches John Seville and Strath Curtis break down the markets at the end of the trading day reviewing watch lists and scanning for opportunities for the next day. Attendees also can join in on an interactive Q&A At the end. Click here for exclusive access.

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The Hindenburg Omen Is Flashing: Is It Time To Sell?

June 15, 2013 By 4 Comments

By: David Goodboy - StreetAuthority

I learned the hard way not to rely purely on technical analysis to make investing decisions.

In the early 1990s, I had built up a decent trading stake by riding the momentum lifting high-tech stocks of the era. Dave, my best friend and the guy who first taught me how to trade, was a die-hard technical analysis proponent who made a small fortune correctly forecasting and buying puts several days prior to the 1987 market crash. He turned his college tuition money into enough capital to trade full time, buy a nice car and not have to worry about working for someone else.

I'll never forget that phone call: [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/StreetauthorityArticles/~3/AoV035hnxvs/hindenburg-omen-flashing-it-time-sell-472719

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Physical Gold and Paper Gold Battling for Supremacy

June 13, 2013 By 6 Comments

The Gold Report: In your latest newsletter, you advocate that gold investors pay close attention to the Federal Reserve meeting taking place on June 18. What are you looking for out of that meeting?

Brien Lundin: The main driver for gold right now is quantitative easing (QE). An investor trying to figure out where the gold market is heading in the near to intermediate term needs to focus on QE. Investors should look for clues to the future prospects of the Fed's QE programthat's what's going to drive gold in the short and intermediate term. The question really is: To QE or not to QE? The next Fed meeting will be a prime indicator of that, and the one after that and the one after that.

My general view is that the reports of a resurgent U.S. economy are way ahead of themselves and some data points are indicating that the recovery is not that robust and may even be in danger. The jobs numbers will shed some light on this. If such a scenario develops, then the snap back for gold would be pretty dramatic. A weakening U.S. economy would be bullish for gold because it's bullish for continued QE, and that's the real factor for gold going forward.

TGR: Besides the jobs numbers and the Fed meeting minutes, what indicators are you watching to get some insight into whether the economy really is improving? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/UwvPyLUtaHU/15360

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Forget OPEC, North American Energy Plays Bring Profits Home

June 12, 2013 By Leave a Comment

The Energy Report: Byron, welcome. You recently attended the Platts Conference in London, which addressed shifting energy trade patterns in light of growing U.S. export prospects and dwindling exports from South America and Africa. Has OPEC's role diminished?

Byron King: The short answer is yes. OPEC is struggling right now. The Middle East, the West African producers and Venezuela are struggling. The West African players and Venezuela have seen exports to the U.S. decline dramatically. In countries like Algeria, oil exports to the U.S. are essentially zero, while Nigeria's exports to the U.S. are way down. The oil these countries export tends to be the lighter, sweeter crude, which happens to be the product that is increasing in production in the U.S. through fracking.

The east-to-west trade pattern for oil imports to the U.S. has essentially gone away. This does not mean that the oil goes away. It means these countries have to find new markets for their oil which they are doing, in India and the Far East. But that disrupts trade patterns as well. Imports from the Middle East to the U.S. are falling as well. These barrels tend to be the heavier, sourer crude that U.S. refineries are geared to process. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/Z0sD3BunMRo/15358

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Keeping Stakes Small: How Some Companies Are Navigating the Gold Market

June 11, 2013 By Leave a Comment

The Gold Report: Coeur d'Alene Mines Corp. (CDM:TSX; CDE:NYSE) recently acquired Orko SilverCorp. for cash and shares. What should investors pay attention to in that deal?

Keith Phillips: The deal involved La Preciosa, a silver asset controlled by Orko, in an attractive jurisdiction in Mexico. From an investment banking perspective, seeing two different, quality companies competing for a junior mining asset in an environment where people thought the merger and acquisition (MA) business was dead was encouraging. First Majestic Silver Corp. (FR:TSX; AG:NYSE; FMV:FSE) made an initial bid for Orko, and Coeur d'Alene was the successful bidder.

TGR: Are high-quality silver assets more likely to be targets than similarly valued gold assets in this market? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/SZYVYruTPdc/15355

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Potential Oil Glut! Raymond James Analyst's Contrarian Forecast

June 5, 2013 By 1 Comment

The Energy Report: Why are you expecting an oil glut in 2014?

Andrew Coleman: Because of the evolution of North American shale oil plays, we are on track to add about 3 million barrels (3 MMbbl) of new supply over the next five years. Yet we know oil demand has been falling across the developed nations and is still weak coming out of the global financial crisis. Those developments point toward a glut.

TER: Saudi Arabia surprised you last year by cutting production when oil was more than $110 per barrel ($110/bbl). Why would Saudi or other suppliers not do that again?

AC: What hurt production outside the U.S. last year and helped keep the demand side a little more in balance was that Saudi cut 800,000 barrels a day (800 Mbbl/d) in Q4/12, sanctions in Iran reduced exports by about 800 Mbbl/d as well, conflict in Sudan took 300 Mbbl/d offline and the North Sea average was lower by about 130 Mbbl/d. These reductions kept last year's supply more balanced than we thought it would be. Going forward, Saudi's ability or willingness to cut is certainly going to be tested, because by our model the country may need to cut 1.5 million barrels a day (1.5 MMbbl/d), about double what it cut last year. It would have to do that for a longer period of time, given the amount of excess storage that could show up on the global markets.

TER: But, as you just pointed out, Saudi Arabia's cut came in the context of actions by other players. The other players are going to be as unpredictable as they were last year, aren't they? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/tzym3nYV5pA/15334

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3 Factors That Could Soon Derail The Bull Market

June 5, 2013 By 2 Comments

This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority

These are truly days of wine and roses for stock market investors.

After being knocked down in the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and again during the financial crisis of 2008, long-term investors are being rewarded for their persistence and dedication as stocks surge higher, breaking record after record.

In fact, this bull market turned 4 years old in March and is showing no signs of letting up.

Historically, the average bull market has lasted 4 1/2 years. In and of itself, this means little; for instance, the 1990s bull market lasted nearly seven years without a major correction.

But according to my research, there are three distinct signs that make me think this bull market may be ending soon. Here's what you need to know. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/StreetauthorityArticles/~3/-T6UDgFB7E8/3-factors-could-soon-derail-bull-market-471461

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Has the Gold Bull Market Hit a Snag?

May 30, 2013 By

The Gold Report: What do you think will happen to interest rates and how will that affect gold?

Tobias Tretter: I don't see interest rates increasing at all right now. The Federal Reserve is giving banks money for 0.25%. The European Central Bank (ECB) has interest rates at 0.75%. That isn't an environment with increasing interest rates. The 10-year U.S. Treasuries are at 1.85%, which is up from 1.4%, but even in 2011 we were above 3%. We are still at the lowest possible levels and I can't imagine how countries, even relatively strong ones like Germany or the United States, will thrive in an environment with increasing interest rates. It would prove too challenging and cause too much pain; therefore, interest rates will be low for a long time.

I do not believe that the end of the gold bull market is here. I agree with former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan that deficit spending is a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious progress, he said. It stands as a protector of property rights. As long as the Fed and the ECB are printing money and as long as things like the recent Cyprus bailout continue to happen, there's absolutely no way for gold to go down for very long. [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/zUAMy21Max0/15313

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Investors Versus Traders: A Battle for Oil & Gas Profits

May 22, 2013 By

The Energy Report: Looking back to your last interview with The Energy Report in November, you seem to have called the bottom in gas prices correctly. What's your view of where things are headed now?

Robert Cooper: We expect a reasonably robust pricing scenario ahead. Here's why: In 2013, we will likely see flat natural gas supply growth; this will be the first year in the last several that this will be the case. The natural gas rig count is at 350, the lowest since 1995. The declining rig count has taken its toll on almost every U.S. shale basin; the only basin that's growing is the Marcellus, and it is growing partly because infrastructure constraints are being alleviated. Unless productivity undergoes another massive step higher, or drilling time is cut in half again, rig count matters as a predictor of natural gas production levels. Natural gas liquids (NGL) prices are weak, and this impacts the ability of explorers and producers (EPs) to reinvest at the same level as even a year ago. This further reduces the probability that capital will be redeployed to dry gas plays.

TER: Your May 9 report shows gas storage 28% lower year over year and 5% below the five-year average. What are the implications of that? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/q0lubwDAzkU/15298

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