S&P 500
2002.16
-27.39 -1.37%
Dow Indu
17191.37
-195.84 -1.14%
Nasdaq
4641.29
-40.21 -0.87%
Crude Oil
44.37
-0.08 -0.18%
Gold
1279.67
-0.51 -0.04%
Euro
1.129915
+0.001295 +0.11%
US Dollar
94.671
+0.041 +0.05%
Weak

The Art of Morphing

Every position is the right position when things go exactly as planned. Unfortunately, things do not often go exactly as planned in the market. When all goes right, it is easy to make money but when things go wrong losses follow.

So, when things start to go wrong, what can you do? How can you get out of your bad position that is losing money and into the right position quickly and efficiently and get back to making money?

The answer is morphing! Morphing is the process in which the wrong position is quickly and efficiently changed to the right position by simply adding to or subtracting from the current position based on an understanding of synthetic positions. Morphing is how the professional floor traders manage their positions to adjust to movements in stock price, time, and volatility.

Watch Now: The Art of Morphing

Every Success,
The INOTV Team

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday in New York at 1,277 while currently trading at 1,288 an ounce down about $12 this afternoon as I have been recommending a bullish position when prices cracked 1,245 and if you took that trade place your stop at the 10 day low which in Monday’s trade will be 1,217 still risking about $70 or $7,000 per contract plus slippage and commission, however the chart structure will start to improve on a daily basis starting next week. Gold prices hit a 5 month high this week and now is being considered as a currency and not a commodity as nobody wants to own any of the foreign currencies especially the Euro currency which was down another 100 points today sending the U.S dollar to an 11 year high as countries like Yemen are collapsing right in front of our eyes and many other countries are getting crushed by the low crude oil prices so investors are seeking a safe haven in gold despite today’s negative tape. [Read more...]

How to Tame the Volatile Financial Markets

No matter how volatile the market, a FREE report shows you five ways the Elliott Wave Principle can improve your trading

By Elliott Wave International

Up, down, up, down; 200 points higher, 300 points lower; rinse and repeat!

It isn't easy being an investor in the U.S stock market these days. Honestly, it feels more like being in a clinical trial for mood stabilizers. Or, as the market oracle himself Warren Buffett described it in December 2014:

"Mr. Market is kind of a drunken psycho. Some days he gets very enthused. Some days he gets very depressed. And when he gets really enthused... you sell to him, and if he gets depressed, you buy from him. There's no moral taint attached to that."

Moral taint, no. But, there is a pretty significant learning curve attached to that. To wit: You have to know in quantitative terms what "really enthused" or "depressed" looks like on a price chart -- before the mood swing. As in tangible, objective criteria that signals [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract are slightly lower this Friday afternoon in New York after settling last Friday at 1,216 currently trading at 1,260 as I’m currently recommending a long futures position while placing your stop loss below the 10 day low which is around 1,209 risking around $50 or $1,650 on a mini contract plus slippage and commission. Gold futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a 5 month high as the chart structure will also start to improve on a daily basis starting next week as the market has caught fire recently due to worldwide problems as money is pouring back into the precious metals and out of the S&P 500 in the beginning of 2015.

Yesterday the Swiss government announced they will let the Swiss Franc float rocketing that currency up while sending shockwaves through the bond and currency markets and it certainly looks to me that problems are here to stay here for a while as Europe is a mess and this could push gold up to the next resistance level of 1,300 – 1,320 so take advantage of any price dip while maintaining the proper stop loss risking 2% of your account balance on any given trade as gold has finally turned into a short-term bull market once again.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Last Week's Volatility Could Be A Harbinger Of Things To Come

There's a war going on right now and I don't mean overseas, I mean right here in the markets. Last week was a perfect example as the intraday swings of the S&P500 clocked in at a staggering 6.5%. Market volatility often is a precursor of things to come, and the irony of all this action was that the market closed with a loss of -0.65% for the week.

The net weekly change for the DOW was -0.53% and there was an even smaller loss of -0.42% for the NASDAQ. All three indices formed an important Japanese candlestick pattern, a weekly doji candle. Why is this important? A doji candlestick often signals indecision in the market. When the doji forms in an uptrend or downtrend, this is normally seen as significant, as it is a signal that the buyers are losing conviction when formed in an uptrend and a signal that sellers are losing conviction if seen in a downtrend.

What To Watch For This Week

A lower weekly close would indicate to me that the buyers are beginning lose control of this aging bull market. Here is the "line in the sand" for each of the indices that I am watching. Once below this line, watch for heavy liquidation to come in across the board.

DOW: 17.262
S&P500: 1,992
NASDAQ: 4.090

Gold Is Now Officially On The Move

You might remember on January 7th, I wrote a post on gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) and the key neckline level. The key neckline in gold was broken to the upside last Friday when gold closed out the week with a very positive 2.9% gain. I now have a confirmed upside target zone of $1,340, which equates to about $132-$134 on the ETF, GLD. To follow all of the entry and exit points for gold, check in daily with the World Cup Portfolio. [Read more...]

Practical Applications of Candlestick Charts

This audio lecture along with the downloadable PDF workbook covers and discusses practical trading approaches, including stop placement and trailing levels, risk parameters, money management and the psychology of trading any market with Japanese Candlesticks. The information derived by using this approach can directly influence the day-to-day decision process, which can enhance your awareness of the markets. You will learn the basics of Japanese Candlestick charting, as well as how to combine them with Western technical tools such as trend lines, DeMark Sequential, moving averages, stochastics, and may other standard technical tools.

Developed over three hundred years ago, this method of technical analysis is still relevant and an exceptional addition to Western technical analysis. By combining both approaches to market forecasting, one is able to take the best from both schools. Gary Wagner believes that the outcome from this combination is capable of extending the benefits of any methodology.

LISTEN NOW: Practical Applications of Candlestick Charts

Best,
The INOTV Team

The Obvious Advantages of Trading Forex over any Other Open Market

The sudden hype around Forex trading is not without good reason. Forex, which is the exchange of currency on the open market, provides a number of benefits that you won’t get from the stock market or other trading venues. Forex is fast, it’s fun and it has the potential to lead to big profits.

The Size of the Market

There is close to 2 trillion dollars being traded on the Forex market every single day. You don’t have that kind of liquidity in any of the other markets. With that much money floating around, there is no worrying about prices changing too much before you are able to enter or exit your trade.

With a market that is this large, it is also nearly impossible for prices to be manipulated by any one single group. This allows for a more accurate read of supply and demand as you analyze the market and your currency pairs.

Small Initial Capital

If you shop around brokers, you are going to find some that allow an initial investment of as low as $50. There is always potential to gain money in the Forex market, even when you are only putting up a small amount of money to start. [Read more...]

Strategy Trading Using Next Day Predictive Highs and Lows

We get a lot of questions here at INO.com about how to use highs and lows to predict market movement. As a treat to our blog readers we have asked Darell Jobman, a leading expert in technical analysis to share some his techniques. In this video workshop you'll discover how to putting indicator clues together to identify setups for a new trend. Darrell has been writing about financial markets for more than 35 years and has become an acknowledged authority on derivative markets and technical analysis.

Watch Now:Spotting Breakouts That Lead To Trend Reversals

Best,
The INO.com Team

Understanding the Basics of Technical Analysis

Whether you are trading stocks or currency, technical analysis is an advanced tool used to try and predict changes in your market and trade accordingly.

At the base of technical analysis is price history. You are studying the price of a currency, it’s up and downs, and looking for an obvious indicator that will tell you when another up or down is coming up. Think of it like trying to learn to read tea leaves to see the future – except there is real science behind it.

Using Charts For Technical Analysis

The most basic tool for technical analysis is your chart or graph. Whether you are looking at a line graph or candlesticks, the Forex trading chart is giving you a wealth of information. First, you can check the support and resistance. These are the points where it seems that the currency pair won’t cross. Is there a certain range in which the currency is moving? When you see a price making sudden movements in that range you can use the support and resistance to predict when it is going to change its direction again.

Trend lines can be used when there is a definitive pattern that you can follow. You can chart the trend line if it is moving in one direction to predict where the price is going to go using indicators.

For example, let’s say you are studying a candlestick chart -which you should as they give you more indicators in one convenient place. This type of chart can help you to find trends that indicate a major reversal is about to take place. One indicator you can look for is what traders refer to as “three white soldiers” which indicate a bullish reversal is pending. [Read more...]

Semiconductor Equipment Sector Update

By: Gary Tanashian of Biiwii.com

NFTRH 322 covered the usual range of markets, from US to global stocks to precious metals and commodities to currencies and indicators.  It also included an extended economic discussion about the realities of the strong US economy and its dangerous underpinnings.

The economic segment began with this look at the Semiconductor Equipment sector, which was our first indicator on economic strength exactly 2 years ago and will be an initial indicator on economic deceleration when the time is right.

Excerpted from the December 21 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 322:

Checking the Semiconductor Book-to-Bill ratio (b2b), this all-important forward looker came in pretty decent for November.  Per the data we reviewed in an update last week, the bookings, which is the most important component, was pretty good at $1.22 Billion compared to October’s $1.1 Billion.

The graph from SEMI does not include the November data.  I added an arrow showing the current level of the b2b.

semi.b2b

Our original graph is marked up as well to show the longer trend.  There is a spike up happening and this may or may not be related to an overall year-end sales spike in some high end capital equipment that happens like clockwork at the end of each year in Machine Tools (ref. sales graph below).  I do not have the level of knowledge about the Semiconductor Equipment industry to speak authoritatively about its more structural capital spending cycles.  So this is just a possibility to consider. [Read more...]

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