S&P 500
1991.32
-1.05 -0.05%
Dow Indu
17024.12
-15.37 -0.09%
Nasdaq
4545.71
+13.61 +0.30%
Crude Oil
93.58
-0.38 -0.40%
Gold
1280.325
+2.335 +0.18%
Euro
1.32391
-0.00389 -0.29%
US Dollar
82.319
+0.160 +0.21%
Weak

Have You Tried Using Donchian Channels?

Donchian Channels can be useful in visualizing the volatility of a market's price action. If the price is stable, the Donchian Channel will be relatively narrow. If the price has large fluctuations, the Donchian Channel will be wider.

Using the 20 day default period, a move above the channel signals a new 20 day high. Similarly, using a 20 week period, a move above the channel would signal a new 20 week high. Markets that continuously touch or exceed the upper channel line show strength, while conversely markets that continuously touch or break below the lower channel line show weakness.

Learn how Donchian Channels can improve your trading here.

Coming Back From a Loss

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his weekly trading tip.

A friend of mine in the pit had been having a rough time of late when he asked me a typical question among us traders - How do I come back from a loss? Since he had been having a "rough patch" and not just one bad trade, I gave him the following advice that is to be used over a period of time.

First I asked him, "What does your trading journal look like - or maybe you don't have one?"

He didn't think it was necessary, which was his first mistake. It is critical to keep a trading journal.

In my journal I ask myself everyday "Did I follow my trading plan properly? Did I do anything wrong and if so, why?" If I did follow my plan correctly but I lost money, I am not hard on myself. Sometimes this happens! If I didn't follow my rules but still made money, however, that's a problem.

I highlight these days so I never repeat this fatal flaw. One of the worst things you can do is ignore your rules and make money, because then you feel that "winging it" is a good plan. It is not.

If this happens, you have to ask yourself; "Why didn't I follow my rules?" Was it lack of confidence in the system? Fear? Or did my ego want to be the hero that sold the high?" [Read more...]

Weekend Lesson: One -Time Framing

Straight from Trading Advantage's virtual lessons, Larry Levin guides viewers through the One-Time Framing Technique. Using a simple 30 minute bar chart, Larry helps define the steps that can help you identify short term trends. Discover Larry's technique - learned early in his trading career - through a series of clear signals on multiple S&P chart examples. Larry even shows viewers how to apply this technique when considering technical stops versus money stops. Step into Larry's world and learn more!

Watch Now: One Time Framing

Every Success,
The INO.com Team

HUI, Gold & Silver; Fun With Monthly Charts

Outside of the sound practice that is physical gold ownership in a time of monetary gamesmanship, the precious metals sector is all about speculation, at least according to 9 out of 10 chart jockeys and momentum junkies micro managing every short-term twist and turn.

Indeed, NFTRH manages gold, silver and the gold stocks on down to the short-term views as well, but that is only because the long-term views have stated that this is a time to be paying attention.  Do we pay attention because we have waited so long to promote our orthodoxy and finally be right as gold bugs?  No.  We pay attention when a chart tells us to pay attention.

While we manage the shorter-term views (both macro fundamental and technical) rigorously in the weekly report and interim updates, here I’d like to dial out to the big monthly picture with 3 large (click to expand as needed) charts of HUI, Gold and Silver to see their stories, which are the reasons we are managing shorter-term views.

HUI Gold Bugs Index

hui

First HUI monthly reviews the warnings to the analysis from 2012 and 2013.  They were very clear and should have kept people out of much of harm’s way with respect to gold stock speculation. [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures hit a 5 month low this week in New York finishing higher this Friday afternoon at 96.95 up around $.1.40 as I have been recommending a short position in crude oil for quite some time and if you took that recommendation when the breakout occurred around 98.70 make sure you place your stop at the 10 day low which also stands at 98.70 as prices have been pretty nonvolatile in the last week or so except for Thursday’s trade when oil finished down over $2 as the U.S dollar is pressuring crude oil and many other commodity prices to the downside. The next major level of support is around 94.50 a barrel and if that level is broken I think there’s a possibility prices trade as low as $90 as the U.S government wants oil prices to go lower due to the fact that Russia’s economy relies on high oil prices so if prices drop dramatically Russia’s economy goes in the tank and with all the sanctions against them that could change the current situation with Putin. Crude oil futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average so continue to play this to the downside as the chart structure is outstanding and take advantage of any rally making sure that you use a proper stop loss and proper money management techniques to limit your loss to 2% of your account balance on any given trade.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
[Read more...]

The Biggest Lesson from Microsoft's Recent Battle with the US Government

By: Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, InternationalMan.com

A court ruling involving Microsoft’s offshore data storage offers an instructive lesson on the long reach of the US government—and what you can do to mitigate this political risk.

A federal judge recently agreed with the US government that Microsoft must turn over its customer data that it holds offshore if requested in a search warrant. Microsoft had refused because the digital content being requested physically was located on servers in Ireland.

Microsoft said in a statement that "a US prosecutor cannot obtain a US warrant to search someone's home located in another country, just as another country's prosecutor cannot obtain a court order in her home country to conduct a search in the United States."

The judge disagreed. [Read more...]

Use Stops To Protect Your Capital And Lock In Profits

Stops are definitely important given the volatile conditions of today’s domestic and international economy. They are an enormously important part of a trader’s arsenal of trading tools and some traders confirm that stops are the most important part of their trading armor.

Learn more about using stops here.

Setting Up Your Forex Trade For Success With Stops and Limits

When trading in a market that is as fast paced as Forex is, preventing substantial losses is just as important as coming out ahead. You need to have systems in place as a part of each plan that not only will maximize your gains, but will also minimize your losses if your trade does not go as you thought it would.

There are simple strategies you should employ in each trade to make that happen for you. Fixing buy and sell setups will help you to control your risk while increasing your profitability. They work by fixing when you will enter a trade, and when you will exit. Regardless of whether you are gaining or losing.

Why is This Important?

Buy and sell setups take the human element out of the trade. Before you invest your money, you choose the terms that expose you to the least amount risk as possible. Once the trade begins, for better or worse you sit back and let your money ride. Trading in this way helps you to control those decisions you would make based on your emotions, such as pulling out too soon when you have shown some gain, or staying in the trade too long in order to try and reverse a bad trade. [Read more...]

"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters

Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999

By Elliott Wave International

Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.

Another way -- the way Elliott Wave International (EWI) prefers -- is real value, in terms of the things you can actually buy with your Dow shares, such as real money (gold) or a basket of commodities.

Clearly, one could ask: "Why is the Dow priced in real value important? I buy things with dollars."

Let's look briefly at the nominal (dollar valued) Dow vs. the real Dow. Then we can address why the Dow measured in real value matters.

On July 16, the nominal Dow reached an all-time closing high of 17,138.20.

"The value of the real Dow is not even close. Indeed, you may be in for a shock. The Dow priced in real money-gold-topped in 1999 and has collapsed 84% since then ... . Had the U.S. maintained honest money, the Dow would be priced at 266 today ... ."

The Elliott Wave Theorist, June 2014

Robert Prechter, founder and president of EWI, calls the collapse in the real value the "Silent Crash." [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the September contract finished basically unchanged for the trading week to close around 97.60 and I have been recommending a short position when prices broke 98.70 last week while placing your stop loss now above the 10 day high which is 102.10 risking around $4.00 or $2,000 per contract as the chart structure will improve dramatically in the next 2 days so if you’re lucky enough to get a rally in tomorrow’s trade take advantage will placing the proper stop loss minimizing your risk to 2% of your account balance. Many of the commodity markets were lower again today due to the fact that the U.S dollar hit a new 6 month high and I still do believe that the federal government wants lower oil prices because Russia’s economy is based on high oil prices and there’s no better way to hurt the Russians than push crude oil back down to $80 a barrel so continue to sell this market as I remain bearish. Crude oil futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average with the next major support around 96.50 if that level is broken I think you will retest the March lows of around 94.25 so continue to play this to the downside.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: Improving
[Read more...]

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