The headlines about exchange-traded funds suggest there are no limits to the growth of these low-cost, easily traded alternatives to mutual funds.
Among the recent developments: ETFs have attracted at least $100 billion in new cash for each of the past six years, growing at a far more rapid pace than traditional mutual funds. ETF assets have doubled over the past three years to $1.4 trillion, with one study projecting they'll hit $3.5 trillion by 2016. ETFs have recently begun to appear as investment options in 529 college-savings plans and 401(k)s.
Yet obstacles are beginning to appear. It has become more difficult for fund companies to launch ETFs that are significantly different or lower-cost than what's already on the market.
"We're close to a tipping point in terms of numbers," says Todd Rosenbluth, director of ETF research at S&P Capital IQ. [Read more...]

Morning Energy Commentary
June crude oil was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off April's low, April's high crossing at 98.06 is the next upside target. Multiple closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 91.93 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is April's high crossing at 98.06. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 99.52. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 93.85. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 91.93.
June heating oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned rally, the February-April uptrend line crossing near 295.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 284.23 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. [Read more...]