Here's How The World Cup Portfolio Performed In 2015

There is no doubt about it 2015 will be viewed as a very tough year for most investors. Most of the large hedge funds were not immune to losing money with many of them going out of business. This is in sharp contrast to the easy money years of 2009 through 2014 when the Fed was dropping rates and printing money like it was going out of style.

Today I'm going to be looking at the World Cup Portfolio and see how it performed quarter by quarter market by market. The World Cup Portfolio was not immune to the challenges of 2015, but it did finish the year in the black.

While the World Cup Portfolio showed a positive return at the end of 2015, it was the lowest return that the portfolio has had since its inception. The 19.4% return for the year while positive and still very respectable by most measurements was somewhat disappointing by our standards.

So let's go through the markets quarter by quarter and see how the WCP was able to show a positive return when many others didn't. Continue reading "Here's How The World Cup Portfolio Performed In 2015"

I Was The Most Hated Guy On CNBC Today

I pulled some of that Fibonacci voodoo that we do on Apple and if the uptrend support does break around $96, Apple is headed into the lower 80's.

I did a video for CNBC.com and they tore me to shreds in the comments section. The last time I got this kind of reaction was when I said oil is headed towards $26.00 while trading $41 at the time.

From there we take a look at our options positions in the S&P and AMZN.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 2)

By: Elliott Wave International

Think of Trading and Investing as a Trip

Here's my advice: View the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.

You start the trip with a specific plan in mind, but conditions along the way may force you to alter course. As I mentioned earlier, alternate Elliott wave counts are simply side roads that sometimes end up being the best path.

Elliott's highly specific rules keep the number of valid wave-pattern interpretations to a minimum. Usually, you would consider the "preferred count" to be the one that satisfies all three of Elliott's rules and the largest number of guidelines. Your top "alternate" is the one that satisfies the next largest number of guidelines, and so on.

There are only three hard-and-fast rules with the Wave Principle: Continue reading "GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 2)"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the February contract settled last week in New York at 37.04 a barrel while currently trading at 33.33 down about $4 for the trading week hitting a 12 year low continuing its remarkable bearish trend. Oil prices have been very volatile as in Monday’s trade prices were sharply higher and then finished lower as there were concerns about Saudi Arabia and Iran causing crude oil prices to spike in early trade only to sell off sharply for the rest of the week as there seems to be no end in sight to where the bottom is. The problem with crude oil is China basically came out stating that their economy is definitely slowing down as that’s not only bearish crude oil or any commodities in general as there seems to be a worldwide slowdown occurring as even the stock market which has been incredibly resilient over the last several years is now starting to weaken dramatically. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Here's The Options Trade For A Major Gold Reversal

Volatility is exploding in the markets setting up a major short squeeze in gold. We've identified a key Elliott Wave and Fibonacci support zone that's being used as a launch ramp. We put together an interesting option play that will protect us from the downside with a small profit, but yield a major profit on a rip higher.

Let Todd Gordon of TradingAnalysis.com take you through his plan for the gold.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon