S&P 500
1921.22
-29.91 -1.53%
Dow Indu
16102.38
-272.38 -1.66%
Nasdaq
4686.37
-47.13 -1.00%
Crude Oil
45.71
-1.04 -2.23%
Gold
1121.72
-2.63 -0.23%
Euro
1.11535
+0.00267 +0.24%
US Dollar
96.248
-0.159 -0.20%
Weak

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,134 an ounce while currently trading at 1,122 down about $12 this week trading below its 20 and 100 day moving average near a 2 week low as I’m currently sitting on the sidelines as this market remains choppy with poor chart structure. The monthly unemployment report number was released this morning in the United States adding 173,000 new jobs which was below consensus having very little impact on gold prices today as I still see no reason to own gold currently as the risk/reward is not your favor so look at other markets that are starting to trend. Gold prices had a significant rally in the month of August bottoming out around 1,080 then rallying to 1,170 which was impressive in my opinion due to short covering and a flight to quality as the stock market has experienced volatility in recent weeks sending money out of stocks and into gold as a safe haven but things have settled down putting short-term pressure on gold. [Read more...]

Up Or Down From Here But Still Making Money?

Let's face it traders, nobody knows where the market is definitely headed next. But using certain market analysis methods we can put the probabilities in our favor to calculate where we should, and probably won't go, next - which is all you need to make money with options.

In this video Todd Gordon of TradingAnalysis.com uses the tools of Fibonacci and Elliott Wave to outline the most likely path for the S&P 500 and sets up one options trade in the SPY to profit from two different outlooks in coming weeks.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract settled last Friday at 1,159 while currently trading at 1,133 in a wild and volatile trading week as I’ve been sitting on the sidelines as the chart structure is terrible at the current time as the risk/reward is not your favor so look at other markets. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but still below their 100 day moving average rallying about $90 from their monthly low around 1,080 up to 1,170 in Monday’s trade as the stock market has sent shockwaves throughout the commodities and especially in gold. This market remains extremely choppy as I like trading markets with very tight chart structure as this will take some time to develop so keep an eye on this market but there is no recommendation at this time. [Read more...]

Selling This Fierce Bear Market Rally With Options

Yesterday, Todd Gordon of TradingAnalysis.com went on CNBC and told Melissa Lee that the NASDAQ could drop 30%. And today's short squeeze is setting up as a classic bear market rally and we're into the trade. Let Todd take you "inside" the charts and his trading account to show you how he's trading it with options.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Look for Value Opportunities and Put Your Capital to Work Selectively in this Market

The Gold Report: When we talked in November, you warned that there would be downward pressure on gold this year. What are you anticipating for the balance of 2015 and into next year?

Florian Siegfried: We were being cautious in November when we published guidance that indicated gold could trade as low as $1,070 per ounce ($1,070/oz) as a support zone. And that is pretty close to where it is trading right now. But I think that we have to distinguish between the paper price of gold and the physical price, which trades at a premium. For example, the U.S. Mint currently sells gold at around $1,400/oz.

"Pretium Resources Inc.'s Brucejack is one of those mines that brings a long mine life and high grade in a safe jurisdiction."

This suggests that there is some tendency toward increasing premiums in the market for physical metal. Where we go by the end of the year is a difficult question because it's always hard to catch the bottom of the market. But a look at the last three or four years gives us some clues. Hedge funds were maximum net long in gold at the peak of 2011, and now they're maximum net short, which could be a good contrarian indicator (see chart above).

It looks as if $1,080/oz could be the bottom. It's not defined yet, but the sentiment is definitely at extremes.

The turn in gold will come from short covering, and the short covering will come when the bearishness really reaches a climax event. Probably we are there, but we will have to wait and see. It is difficult to make a call for year-end because there are so many factors influencing the gold price, and sentiment is extremely negative. The trigger for moving up could come from the bond market, which is in a difficult spot right now. Liquidity is down. Yields and credit spreads are rising. When something goes wrong there, where will the conservative money go to? I don't think it is going to go back into government funds. As investors lose confidence, that could be the trigger for gold. We are probably going to see this in the fall, by September or October. I think the bond market is about to turn around.

TGR: What are some of the other triggers you're watching? Are you monitoring the U.S. Federal Reserve and whether that rate hike happens in the fall? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/Yj6Wo8VGpQ0/16738

Oil's Slippery Slope: How Far Will Prices Fall?

By Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.

Recall crude oil's dramatic 2008 price collapse. The high that year was in July at $147.50 a barrel. By December, the price had plummeted to $30.28.

This chart shows how Elliott Wave Theorist subscribers were warned ahead of time. [Read more...]

Supply and Demand Will Rescue Gold Soon

The Gold Report: The gold sector entered full-blown panic mode in July with the Bloomberg analysts forecasting a dip below $1,000 per ounce ($1,000/oz) this year, and Deutsche Bank forecasting $750/oz. Is this just fear feeding on fear, or is there something else going on?

Jeffrey Mosseri: It is fear feeding on fear, but there are two other things going on. The first is the strength of the dollar, and the second is the weakness in the price of oil. Combined, these two factors have greatly and negatively affected the prices of all metals in U.S. dollars. Over the past year, gold is up 2040% in many currencies.

TGR: In the last couple of years, the idea that the price of gold is being manipulated downward is no longer dismissed entirely as a conspiracy theory.

"Commerce Resource Corp. recently announced excellent drilling results at its Ashram rare earth deposit."

Douglass Loud: I wouldn't want to use the word "manipulation," but you could have an analyst predicting a gold price of $1,050/oz, followed by someone on the trading desk shorting it down to $1,050/oz, without any collusion.

TGR: How big a role does China have in setting the gold price? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/7AjSm7ArB80/16736

Is It Too Late To Buy Netflix?

By: Melvin Pasternak of Street Authority

While old media stocks like Viacom (Nasdaq: VIAB), Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) and 21st Century Fox (Nasdaq: FOXA) were hit with bad news and huge losses last week, Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) scored three straight record closing highs before succumbing to profit-taking on Friday.

Shares have been on a tear, more than doubling in the past four months. I'm sure plenty of investors are kicking themselves for missing the boat, but it's not too late. When a stock makes a new all-time high, especially a high-momentum growth stock like NFLX, it tends to keep moving higher. And Friday's sell-off provides an attractive short-term entry level.

Netflix is being driven by strong growth domestically and abroad. On July 15, the video streaming giant reported better-than-expected second-quarter earnings of $0.06 per share on revenues of $1.64 billion. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30588757

Despite Low Rates, Housing Rebound is Weak

By: Elliott Wave International

A June 28 headline on CNBC reads, "Homeownership rate drops to 63.4%, lowest since 1967." The report goes on to say "The number of occupied housing units grew, but all on the renter side."

What does this change mean for the future of real estate in the U.S.? Will the recent rebound in mortgages and real estate prices continue?

Listen to this clip from Steve Hochberg's recent presentation at the San Francisco MoneyShow to get Elliott Wave International's unique perspective on the future of the U.S. real estate market (don't miss the link at the bottom to watch 4 more clips from Steve's presentation):


Market Myths Exposed

Free Club EWI Video Series
"Economic Crisis Meets Investor Opportunity"

Watch select portions of a live talk given by Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg to a packed house at the San Francisco MoneyShow.

You'll see a compelling argument -- supported by charts, facts and figures -- for an imminent financial and economic collapse in America.

Log in to watch Steve's eye-opening presentation now, 100% free >>

Need a login? Complete your Club EWI profile to get instant access to this free resource >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Despite Low Rates, Housing Rebound is Weak. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,095 an ounce currently trading at 1,095 as this market has been incredibly nonvolatile at the current time as prices have gone nowhere over the last three weeks as I’ve been recommending a short position from 1,170 & if you took that trade place your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 1,103 risking around $8 dollars or $250 per mini contract plus slippage and commission as the chart structure is outstanding. I have been trading the commodity markets for a longtime and I can’t remember gold trading in such a nonvolatile manner as prices continually go nowhere which is putting me to sleep as I’m getting frustrated in this market because as a trader you want to look at markets that are moving but the risk/reward is in your favor so I will just keep the proper stop loss and if you are stopped out move on and look at other markets. [Read more...]

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