S&P 500
2117.69
+4.76 +0.23%
Dow Indu
18080.14
+21.45 +0.12%
Nasdaq
5092.04
+35.98 +0.71%
Crude Oil
57.48
-0.26 -0.45%
Gold
1179.470
-13.300 -1.12%
Euro
1.087455
+0.005880 +0.54%
US Dollar
96.898
-0.413 -0.53%
Weak

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are closing down $18 this Friday afternoon to settle around 1,176 an ounce hitting a 5 week low as I’m now recommending a short position while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 1,209 risking around $32 or $1,000 per mini contract plus slippage and commission as the chart structure is solid at the current time. Gold futures finished down about $25 for the trading week as all the action is back into the S&P 500 which is hitting all-time highs once again this Friday afternoon as money is coming out all precious metals and into the equity market and that trend is going to continue as I’m recommending a bullish position in the equities at the current time as well. [Read more...]

Silver Price Could be Headed to $12

Written by: Octafinance.com

Even though we are long-term bullish on gold and silver we are negative medium-term. The Silver chart shows a technical setup with a possible target of a $12 per ounce.

Long-Term Silver Price Chart Still Positive

There is so much to see on the silver chart that we feel obligated to share our interpretations for the future price movement. We will start with the big picture. The whole move of 180%+ from $18 to $50 between 2010 and 2011 had only a minor correction. When the price crossed the upper channel of the long-term chart going back to 2002, it alerted us that silver is out of sync with normal markets.

Source: Rightedgesystems + Octafinance Interpretations

Of course as with any parabolic movement, the trend was not sustainable. Silver couldn’t break $50 per ounce barrier and sellers' came. The CME also increased the margins which forced all longs to cover (sell), as the sentiment was more than positive “98% of all traders were bullish silver” according to the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI). What happened after that is obvious from the chart, silver experienced a few technical setups that all broke down, reverting the parabolic movement to the upside down. Now based on the long-term support line formed during the last 13 years, we have a support around $11-$12 per ounce. [Read more...]

Avoiding Mental Sabotage

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his award winning book.

I have heard that 95% or more of all traders ultimately fail.

Have you ever wondered why?

Most traders will tell you it was the system or method they were using. They'll also tell you they had a few bad trades they couldn't recover from. Or their dog chewed through the telephone cord just as their computer crashed, and they couldn't get out of a losing trade. [Read more...]

Don't Let Fear of a 'Grexit' Keep You Out of European Stocks

By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

After nearly three years of extremely weak economic growth, the European Central Bank is finally delivering on Mario Draghi's pledge to do "whatever it takes" to get the region back on track.

The central bank is set to pump $64 billion into the economy through monthly bond purchases through September 2016. The quantitative easing program, alluded to in September, formally announced in January and started on March 9, may already be having an effect on the economy in terms of sentiment.

Q4 GDP growth of 0.3% beat expectations, and manufacturing data showed signs of life in March. Exports to the United States could get a big boost this year on a massive depreciation in the euro versus the U.S. dollar.

All things considered, I would say it could be a very good year for European stocks, and possibly most of 2016 as well.

There is one fly in the ointment. Greece is back in the headlines as officials were said to have informally approached the IMF to delay repayment on the country's debt but were denied. Thanos Vamvakidis, head of European G10 FX strategy at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, said the country may run out of money if a reprieve is not granted at the meeting of eurozone finance ministers on April 24.

How do we act on what could be a great opportunity in European stocks without running the risk that a "Grexit" wipes out returns? [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30546471

Three Currencies To Watch Versus The U.S. Dollar

By: Cory Mitchell, CMT VantagePointTrading.com

In forex trading, trade with the trend. Trends last a long time and tend to go further than people expect. Those who bought the EURUSD above 1.39 less than a year ago can attest to that, with the pair having traded as low as 1.0462 in March.

The U.S. Dollar (USD) isn't just strong against the Euro; it's strong against nearly all currencies, major and minor. For trades lasing longer than a few weeks, trading on USD strength--in alignment with the trend--is still the main play.

The USDCAD, NZDUSD and USDCHF are in a slightly different position though. Trading in the direction of USD strength is still a possibility, yet it's wise to have a few pairs to trade if the USD reverses. If the USD reverses, or even sees a deeper pullback, it is likely to be showcased in these pairs first. In fact, it has already begun.

USDCAD

The USDCAD hasn't given up much ground this year (relative to many other pairs), as it channeled between resistance just below 1.2840 and support just above 1.2350. [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are trading below their 20 day but barely over their 100 day moving average continuing its sideways pattern settling last Friday in New York at $1,204 an ounce while currently trading at the identical price unchanged for the trading week as the chart structure is starting to improve on a daily basis as prices have gone nowhere in recent weeks. The U.S dollar was down over 200 points for the trading week helping support the precious metals but the real breakout does not occur until prices break above $1,225 or on the downside around $1,180 as I do think a breakout is in the cards. The S&P 500 is down 25 points this Friday afternoon which generally sends money back into the precious metals, however in the old days gold would have reacted much more bullish than today’s trading action which has to be concerning if you are bullish as this market remains weak with no trend in sight so avoid as I want to look at other markets that are beginning to trend as choppy markets are extremely difficult to trade successfully. [Read more...]

Buyers or Sellers

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple and straight-to-the-point.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his award winning book.

A question I often receive is, "How can there be more buyers or sellers at one price? Isn't there a buyer for every seller and a seller for every buyer?"

The answer is yes, but people are forgetting one important thing. There is a bid and an ask (or offer), and only one of them can be traded at a time.

A bid is an expression of willingness to buy at a price; an ask (or offer) is an expression to sell.

If the ES is trading at 1200.50, the bid is either 1200.25 or 1200.50. The answer depends on which way the market has just traded. Let's make it easy and simply say the ES is between 1200.25 & 1200.50, making the bid 1200.25. In order for the market to move from 1200.25 to 1200.50, someone must pay up to get filled.

You may not be in a hurry and attempt to wait to buy 1200.25, but that will usually only happen when the bid/ask drops to 1200.00 & 1200.25 and you are actually filled on the ask. [Read more...]

EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random

By Elliott Wave International

How do you know what "your" forex market will do tomorrow?

You don't. We don't. Nobody does. All anyone can do is guess. But some guesses are more "educated" than others.

In a recent interview, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens, explained why for the past almost 30 years his favorite method to "guess" at the market's trend has been Elliott wave analysis:

Jim Martens"Markets are doing what they are supposed to be doing: inflicting the most pain on the most number of people. Markets fool the most number of people at the most unexpected moments, but by tracking Elliott wave patterns, sentiment (and the news) you can prepare yourself.

"What separates Elliott wave fans from the rest of the public is that the public has no basis for determining when the trend may be over."

Let's take a look at a recent example: namely, price action in EURUSD on April 5-7.

Since the mid-March low in EURUSD, Jim and his Currency Pro Service team have been tracking a "messy" Elliott wave pattern in the euro-dollar: a correction. "Messy," because corrections are just that: choppy, overlapping, often directionless moments when it's just plain hard to make heads or tails. [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are trading above their 20 but still below their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as I’m currently sitting on the sidelines in this market after prices settled in New York last Friday at 1,201 while currently trading at 1,208 up about $7 for the trading week as prices filled the gap that was created in Monday’s trade as the true breakout will be around 1,224 to the upside. [Read more...]

How the open can make or break your day

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple and straight-to-the-point.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his award winning book.

Today he’s going to talk about how the open of the market can make or break your trading day.

The open for any trading session can set the tone for the day’s trade. Barring any major fundamentals, it can signal whether or not traders are going to be primarily bearish or bullish, or neutral and cautious. The start of the day can set the stage for your own trades as well. Starting off with a winning trade or having the market move in your favor at the beginning of the day gives you a confidence level that can propel you to an extremely successful trading day. Having a negative tone or having the market move against your analysis and any open positions will probably color your judgment for the rest of the day. [Read more...]

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