S&P 500
2051.82
-11.33 -0.55%
Dow Indu
17672.60
-141.38 -0.80%
Nasdaq
4757.20
+6.80 +0.14%
Crude Oil
45.59
-0.97 -2.14%
Gold
1295.29
0.00 0.00%
Euro
1.11443
-0.00597 -0.53%
US Dollar
95.261
+0.267 +0.34%
Weak

Want to Avoid Oil's Gloom? Turn to the Sun, Says Outsider Nick Hodge

The Energy Report: You call yourself an "outsider," and have founded an investment club of that name. In what sense are you an outsider?

Nick Hodge: Being an outsider stems from my upbringing. Both my parents were middle to lower middle class, and I never had anything given to me. I've always had to work for what I have, starting with a lawn-service business when I was 12 and working my way through college as a butcher. I look at the "mainstream" with a skeptical eye. I'm a contrarian. I'm not on the inside of big business, big banking and politics, and don't want to be.

The Outsider Club has been around for about a year now. I founded it after writing for several newsletters over the past decade about energy and speculative investments.

TER: What does being an outsider mean with regard to your views on energy?

NH: I'll give two examples. First is my belief in the peak oil theory. Second is my early adoption of a belief in renewable technologies, such as solar and smart-grid technologies.

TER: It would be safe to say you're not an admirer of our financial elite? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theenergyreport/caoK/~3/7eO8E2RMolM/16476

Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold?

The Gold Report: Quite a few analysts believe 2015 will be a year of great economic volatility, as foreshadowed by what happened with oil in 2014. Do you agree?

Eric Coffin: I do think 2015 will be pretty volatile, with the potential for nasty financial surprises. We've already seen bond yields go negative in Germany, France and elsewhere, and we could see big moves in and out of different asset classes.

TGR: Could the oil price collapse be a leading indicator of a global economic slowdown?

EC: That's an oversimplification. Economic growth in China has slowed and will probably slow some more. And China is the 800-pound gorilla of commodity consumption. Estimates for worldwide growth in 2015 have recently come down but not enough to justify the drop in the oil price.

"Excelsior Mining Corp.'s Gunnison project has extremely good logistics."

The main reason for the oil price crash is oversupply. U.S. supply has grown massively due to fracking and horizontal drilling, while Libya and Iran have both added a million barrels a day. These events have disrupted the equilibrium.

TGR: Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), has famously boasted he will do "whatever it takes" to save the euro. Greece will hold an election Jan. 25, and the polls tell there is a good chance the new government will reject its current arrangement with the ECB. If this occurs, can the euro be saved? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/y1oj6yeDBq0/16464

How to Tame the Volatile Financial Markets

No matter how volatile the market, a FREE report shows you five ways the Elliott Wave Principle can improve your trading

By Elliott Wave International

Up, down, up, down; 200 points higher, 300 points lower; rinse and repeat!

It isn't easy being an investor in the U.S stock market these days. Honestly, it feels more like being in a clinical trial for mood stabilizers. Or, as the market oracle himself Warren Buffett described it in December 2014:

"Mr. Market is kind of a drunken psycho. Some days he gets very enthused. Some days he gets very depressed. And when he gets really enthused... you sell to him, and if he gets depressed, you buy from him. There's no moral taint attached to that."

Moral taint, no. But, there is a pretty significant learning curve attached to that. To wit: You have to know in quantitative terms what "really enthused" or "depressed" looks like on a price chart -- before the mood swing. As in tangible, objective criteria that signals [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract are slightly lower this Friday afternoon in New York after settling last Friday at 1,216 currently trading at 1,260 as I’m currently recommending a long futures position while placing your stop loss below the 10 day low which is around 1,209 risking around $50 or $1,650 on a mini contract plus slippage and commission. Gold futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a 5 month high as the chart structure will also start to improve on a daily basis starting next week as the market has caught fire recently due to worldwide problems as money is pouring back into the precious metals and out of the S&P 500 in the beginning of 2015.

Yesterday the Swiss government announced they will let the Swiss Franc float rocketing that currency up while sending shockwaves through the bond and currency markets and it certainly looks to me that problems are here to stay here for a while as Europe is a mess and this could push gold up to the next resistance level of 1,300 – 1,320 so take advantage of any price dip while maintaining the proper stop loss risking 2% of your account balance on any given trade as gold has finally turned into a short-term bull market once again.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Play Defense With This Strategy In 2015

 

Over the holidays, I decided to drive to Orlando and give the Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) a few of my hard earned dollars. My 12 year-old son talked me into riding the Tower of Terror at Disney’s Hollywood Studios.

As a thrill ride, the Tower of Terror plays on three of humankind’s most basic fears: falling, the unknown and the dark. I wasn’t that concerned. In the investment biz, that’s just another day at the office.

But when it comes to the investing, I’ll be honest. I am a concerned about the stock market in 2015.

Here’s why: It’s all about earnings.

At the end of the day, an investor should buy a stock based on the underlying company’s ability to deliver quality, consistent earnings. Those earnings should also be purchased at a fair-to-discounted price as measured by a stock’s price-to-earnings ratio (PE).

In more bullish times, investors are sometimes a bit too optimistic about the future and will push stock prices and their attached PE’s higher. In bearish times, they often become too pessimistic and drive prices and PE’s down.

I took notice after working on this chart of peak PE ratios for the SP 500 Index.

The way the picture tells the story, we’re overly optimistic and at the same valuations as before the 2008-2009 crash.

So are we so positive? The current numbers don’t indicate a profoundly bullish market in 2015.

Consensus estimates for the SP 500's 2015 EPS are around $125. In 2014, the SP saw EPS at around $117.

If things go according to plan, the market would see EPS growth of about 6-to-7%. Curb your enthusiasm. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30500855

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract are currently trading higher by $8 in New York this Friday afternoon trading at 1,216 an ounce after settling last Friday at 1,186 up around $30 this week hitting a 3 week high as terrorism in France has occurred with Al Qaeda now taking credit for killing 12 people and possibly more sending gold prices higher as a flight to quality.

Gold prices are trading above their 20 and right at their 100 day moving average looking to breakout however the true breakout does not occur until prices close above 1,240 on a closing basis which could possibly happen next week as gold prices have been grinding higher despite the fact that the U.S dollar hit a 9 year high which is generally very pessimistic precious metal prices but with worldwide tensions currently prices are holding their own. Gold prices have been in a steady long-term downtrend after hitting 1,900 back in 2011 as the stock market seems to be relentless to the upside, however profit taking is hitting the S&P 500 today sending money back into the precious metal but be patient on this trade and wait for the true breakout to occur which could take several weeks hoping that the chart structure will be tight allowing us to place a tight stop loss minimizing the risk to 2% of your account balance on any given trade so keep an eye on the gold market as it certainly looks like something is about to develop in my opinion.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Chart of The Week - Corn to Move Higher

By: Chris Wilkinson of Longleaftrading.com

Corn has been in an upward trend since it put in its lows at the beginning of October. From there the chart has traded a series of measured Fibonacci levels all the way into profit targets each time. Last week's correction brings us right at the next Fibonacci sequence to take a long position and stick with this trend.

For a review of the previous Fibonacci sequence that traded into profit targets we draw the Fib tool from the lows of November 19th (362.5) up to November 28th highs (393.75). With this drawn you can see the market pulled back and found support right on the 50% level and traded directly into its first and second profit targets, the -23.6% Fib level and the -61.8% Fib level. See the Chart below.

4 Hour Chart Corn

Now that the previous move has corrected we continue to draw the next series until we get to one that fails the 61.8% level. A failure happens when we get a strong close on a large time candle. An hourly close or higher is sufficient to call it a failure. Normally smaller time frames will trade back and forth around those levels so I look to larger time frames for confirmation. If a failure happens it is assumed the trend is over and the next one begins in the opposite direction.

The next move found by using the Fibonacci tool is drawn from the support of the previous move. We use the lows of December 3rd (377.25) and draw it all the way up to the new highs on December 29th (417). See Chart Below. [Read more...]

Investing During the Era of Peak Gold Discoveries

The Gold Report: Brent, you've quoted Goldcorp Inc.'s (G:TSX; GG:NYSE) CEO, Charles Jeannes, saying that we've reached peak economic gold production. What led us to this point?

Brent Cook: That's a big question that really goes back to what was happening in the global exploration sector 20+ years ago. I don't want to get into the peak gold production idea but instead focus on the discovery curve and what's behind the problem we are seeing in the gold sector.

Why aren't we finding as many gold deposits as we used to, or at least as many economic deposits? In 1995 or so, the discovery boom in the gold sector peaked and that success is largely tied to the opening of large areas of earth that were previously off limits to serious exploration. Since then, exploration success and new discoveries have trended down. However, in terms of gold production, it's taken about 20 years for all those discoveries to work their way through the system to come into full production.

So what Charles Jeannes sees is that in 2015 or so, gold production is going to be tapering off as opposed to expanding. That's especially true given the current gold price and cost structure. A lot of these companies aren't making much money, or any money at all. They'll be shutting down loss-making projects over the coming years.

TGR: Are we running out of gold in the world, or did we just not make an investment in a timely manner, say, 20 years ago? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/NmcL8IW_xjQ/16436

The Obvious Advantages of Trading Forex over any Other Open Market

The sudden hype around Forex trading is not without good reason. Forex, which is the exchange of currency on the open market, provides a number of benefits that you won’t get from the stock market or other trading venues. Forex is fast, it’s fun and it has the potential to lead to big profits.

The Size of the Market

There is close to 2 trillion dollars being traded on the Forex market every single day. You don’t have that kind of liquidity in any of the other markets. With that much money floating around, there is no worrying about prices changing too much before you are able to enter or exit your trade.

With a market that is this large, it is also nearly impossible for prices to be manipulated by any one single group. This allows for a more accurate read of supply and demand as you analyze the market and your currency pairs.

Small Initial Capital

If you shop around brokers, you are going to find some that allow an initial investment of as low as $50. There is always potential to gain money in the Forex market, even when you are only putting up a small amount of money to start. [Read more...]

Where Have All the Statesmen Gone?

By: Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Investment Strategist

One of the most striking things about the Colder War—as I explore in my new book of the same name—has been the contrast between the peevish tone of the West’s leaders compared to the more grown-up and statesmanlike approach that Putin is taking in international affairs.

Western leaders and their unquestioning media propagandists appear to believe that diplomatic relations are some kind of reward for good behavior. But it’s actually more important to establish a constructive dialogue with your enemies or rivals than your friends, because that’s where you need to find common ground. Indeed, it’s been the basis for diplomacy since time immemorial.

Reassuringly, despite having been the target of the Ukraine crisis rather than the instigator, Putin still sees the West as a potential partner, not an enemy. Nor does, he says, Russia have any interest in building an empire of its own. In theory, if Putin is sincere, there should be plenty of room for cooperation, especially in the fight against terrorism.

As Putin said in his speech at the Valdai International Discussion Club in Sochi in October—whose theme was “The World Order: New Rules or a Game without Rules”—he hasn’t given up on working with the West on shared risks and common goals, provided it’s based on mutual respect and an agreement not to interfere in one another’s domestic affairs.

Putin has, of course, already shown that he can rise above the fray. By negotiating the destruction of Assad’s chemical weapons arsenal under international supervision, he did Obama a big favor and got him off the hook in Syria. [Read more...]

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