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Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IX)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part IX; come back soon for Part X.

Myth #9: Inflation makes gold and silver go up.

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

This one seems like a no-brainer. The government or the central bank prints more bonds, notes and bills, and prices for things go up in response. Gold is real money, so it must fluctuate along with the inflation rate.

Once again, it doesn't happen that way. Let's examine the history of inflation and the precious metals since the low of the Great Depression.

Inflation occurred relentlessly from 1933 to 1970, yet gold and silver remained unchanged over the entire time. True, the government fixed the price. But markets are more powerful than any government, and if the market had wanted precious metals prices higher, it would have made them go higher. [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

As I talked about in yesterday’s blog I am telling investors to remain neutral as I do believe gold prices will remain choppy to lower for the rest of 2014 as prices rallied $9 to trade around $1,200 per ounce as extreme volatility has entered this market and I think today’s price action was very impressive due to the fact that the U.S dollar was up over 50 points which is generally very bearish precious metals, however China cut their interest rate pushing many commodities prices higher. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but below their 100 day moving average moving higher despite the fact that the ECB looks like they’re going to utilize more stimulus which is remarkable in my opinion as I do think if the U.S dollar continues to move higher eventually that will be very bearish gold prices so sit on the sidelines as you do not want to trade a choppy market. This market is extremely volatile with big up price swings and down swings so avoid and move on to a trendy market like the S&P 500. Volatility in gold is amazing lately with many days of a $30 – $50 trading range which is incredible going into the holiday season, however if you remember last year gold’s low was near December 31st and we opened up the next day around $20 higher and I think the same thing will happen because of the fact that stock sales which are losers are sold to offset winning trades come the month of December so I still look for another leg down but still would sit on the sidelines at the current time.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
[Read more...]

How To Avoid The Mistake Most Investors Are Making

By: Brad Briggs of Street Authority

It finally ended...

The Federal Reserve recently announced that it would end its third (and possibly final) round of quantitative easing (QE).

This brings to close the $1.7 trillion that was pumped into the economy in this round alone. October marked the last month of the $15 billion in monthly bond purchases -- down from $85 billion when QE3 started in 2012 -- and ends the nearly six-year bond purchasing program.

You can see what the program has done to the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve:

The central bank's bond purchasing program has sent the stock market soaring... and hopefully you've been able to capitalize on this tremendous bull market. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30492618

Goldzilla

"History shows again and again how nature points out the folly of man" – Blue Oyster Cult, Godzilla

I would have written off the gold sector long ago in its ongoing bear market had I thought for one moment that gold's utility as insurance against the acts of monetary madmen/women in high places had been compromised in any way. On the contrary, the monetary metal is simply having its price marked down in a bear market while its value, especially given its current price and all that has gone on in the financial system over the last 3 years remains just fine.

Indeed gold, an element dug out of the ground for centuries, once as money and now as a marker to sound money systems will one day be shown to be a calm oasis from the fallout to global monetary shenanigans currently ongoing. At least it would be an oasis to those who have valued it as such. It is going to feel like a giant dinosaur (minus the kitsch value) ripping through a city built on paper to the multitudes who have taken the bait on the current too big to fail global inflationary operations. They will fail. Timing is the only question. [Read more...]

In The Week Ahead: This Stock's Breakout Signals More Gains Ahead in 2014

By: John Kosar of Street Authority

All major U.S. stock indices finished in positive territory for the fourth consecutive week, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which gained 1.6% and is now up 17.6% for the year. This index has been a major focus of mine since the Aug. 25 Market Outlook. Its move above major overhead resistance at 4,147 this month was an important catalyst for the recent strength in the broader market.

On a sector basis, technology, consumer discretionary and materials led. Utilities, energy and financials trailed the pack and finished the week in negative territory.

Cisco Systems Resuming 2011 Uptrend?

The recent strength and leadership shown by the technology sector resulted in a potential buying opportunity in Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO). I discussed the topic Wednesday on CNBC, just before the tech bellwether announced its fiscal first-quarter earnings.

CSCO, which is the 10th largest constituent stock comprising 3.3% of the technology sector index, broke out to the upside on Friday from 15 months of sideways action that indicated investor indecision.

CSCO Stock Market Outlook Chart

This breakout indicates that CSCO's larger August 2011 advance has resumed and targets a move to $32, 22% above Friday's close. This will remain valid as long as the upper boundary of the indecision area at $25.90 loosely contains prices on the downside as underlying support. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30492662

Are You Standing in Line Next to a Fellow Forex Trader?

Take a ride on a New York subway and you will quickly be able to pick out the stock brokers. These are the Brooks Brothers suits, and probably a briefcase, cell phone in the ear barking orders. Now pick out the Forex traders. That's not nearly as easy to do since they look just like everyone else on the subway.

Sure that Brooks Brothers suit may also be dabbling in currency trade, if he's smart, but so may the guy in sweats sitting next to him. That’s because unlike other markets, Forex has no prejudices.
Trading in the other markets is constrained by time and money. If you don't have the right amount of either, there is no getting in. Forex on the other hand allows for trading around the clock and with very little investment capital. This makes it ideal for anyone who is looking to add to their income.

Who Can Trade Forex?

Admit it, you were always fascinated by the idea of top investors who were making tons of money just by having some. The idea that your own money could be put to work to earn you more has always been fancied, and the reason why banks offer interest earning savings accounts. With the easy availability of Forex, you can expand on that premise and increase your wealth quicker.

Take a teacher for example. You already know they are underpaid, plus they have all these long breaks with nothing to do but read books and watch re-runs. Learning how to trade in the Forex market is ideal for this profession. Not only do they have the spare time before and in between classes to check on their trades they also have months of free time to learn how to get really good at it.

A teacher could find a broker that allows for just a few hundred dollars to get started in trading. With leverage, their investment, and of course return, will be increased allowing them to profit more than what they had in the account would have allowed. So think about it at your next meeting at your son's school. His teacher could be in on Forex trading too.

What about those professions whose hours as not as steady as a teacher's are? [Read more...]

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VIII)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part VIII; come back soon for Part IX.

Myth #8: Terrorist attacks would cause the stock market to drop.

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

I assume this is what economists mean when they say that something unexpected such as a terrorist attack would cause them to re-evaluate their stock market forecasts. At least, I doubt they mean that a terrorist attack would cause them to revise their estimates upward. It seems logical that a scary, destructive terrorist attack, particularly one that implies more attacks to come, would be bearish for stock prices. [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract had a wild trading session this Friday afternoon in New York trading as low as 1,146 down over $20 only to explode higher finishing up $29 to close around 1,190 in one of the wildest trading days I can remember, as prices hit a 2 week high. If you are currently short this market I would exit at the 10 day high which occurred today so currently I’m neutral this market sitting on the sidelines as I still think gold prices are headed lower for the remainder of 2014 as money flows will continue into the S&P 500 in my opinion, however when prices hit a 2 week high it’s time to move on and sit on the sidelines and wait for another trend to develop. The U.S dollar was sharply higher this morning which caused precious metal prices to be sharply lower in early trade, however the U.S dollar sold off somewhat closing up around 20 points as massive short covering in my opinion is what’s to blame for today’s price action. The trend now in gold is choppy to neutral as volatility is extremely high at the current time so make sure you use the proper amount of contracts making sure that you risk 2% of your account balance on any given trade as 1,200 is the next resistance level in the December contract.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
[Read more...]

Why Investing In Chinese Stocks Can Leave Investors Vulnerable To Risk

Something about the deal smelled fishy.

China Marine Food Group Ltd., a Chinese company then on the New York Stock Exchange, spent $27 million in January 2010 to acquire a firm whose main asset was "algae-based drink know-how." The weird thing: Three months earlier, the beverage formula had been valued below $8,800.

But when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission tried to review the deal, it got nowhere. The company's Chinese accounting firm refused to provide documents. And the SEC has been stymied since.

And China Marine? Its share price topped $8 in 2010. It's now around 12 cents.

The case represents a cautionary tale for investors eager to invest in Chinese companies on American exchanges. Chinese companies like Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), whose initial public offering this year set a record high, operate under lax standards compared with other stocks on U.S. exchanges. That means higher risks for investors. [Read more...]

Rocks to Riches with Thomas Schuster

The Gold Report: Thomas, the price of gold sank in October even as the stock market was rebounding. Can gold also rebound?

Thomas Schuster: Gold will rebound, it always has and always will. The mining market is almost violently cyclic. Deep lows are followed by spectacular highs. The tough question is when will the gold price rebound happen? There are a lot of nay-saying precious metal bears in the market right now. Many forecasters are predicting that gold will continue to trade within a narrow range around $1,1001,225/ounce ($1,1001,225/oz) over the next few years.

"Integra Gold Corp.'s project looks very promising."

But the fact is, on a global scale, we are not replacing reserves as fast as we're mining them. That simple fact supports only one outcome: higher prices. A recent report on gold production by SNL Metals Mining observes that when we look at the amount of potential future production from major discoveries made over the last 15 years, we could only replace, at best, 50% of gold produced during that same period. The report also points out that the average time to bring a newly discovered mine into production has been significantly increasing. For mines that went into production between 1985 and 1995, the average wait was eight years from discovery to production. For mines that went into production between 2006 and 2013, the average wait is 18 years.

There are many reasons for this more details are needed in feasibility work-ups, there are more stringent social and environmental standards, and more demanding permitting processes. Many of these mines are of lower grade. They are more remote, and require lots of capital for developing infrastructure and processing capacities. The capital market is poor at the moment; it is difficult to raise money and it takes more time to move into production than it did before.

TGR: Why was gold so high previously and what happened to the price, in your opinion? Why was it so high, and why did it fall so far? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/m7WQitTNCTk/16366

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