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Dow Indu
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Gold
1201.150
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Euro
1.23107
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88.969
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Strong

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract settled last Friday around 1,190 while currently trading at 1,223 this afternoon near a 6 week high as I’ve been recommending to sit on the sidelines in this market as volatility is way too high and the risk is also way too high in my opinion, however it does look to me like a bottom has been placed here in the short term with gold spiking from the 1,140 level last week and then rebounding around 100 dollars in the last 7 trading days which is incredibly impressive as the stock market is sharply lower this afternoon sending money back into the gold and precious metal sector. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but still below their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is lower as I will remain neutral as the chart structure is awful at this time, however if you do think gold has bottomed my recommendation would be to buy at today’s price level while placing your stop loss below 1,186 risking around $37 or $3,700 per contract plus slippage and commission but the risk is too high & does not meet my criteria so I will wait for better chart structure to develop but I have to admit its sure fun to watch.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL
[Read more...]

Are You Ready to Become a Full Time Forex Trader?

There is not a part-time trader out there who doesn’t dream of getting to the point where they can throw their day job to the wayside and trade currency from the deck of their pool. This is a legitimate fantasy that few will achieve, and for those that do it will be a hard road to get there.

There will be no chance of success at becoming a full time Forex trader until you honestly evaluate the following factors to see if it is viable in your situation:

Start Up Capital

How much is in your Forex account right now? $1,000? 2 grand? How much more can you add to it? Remember, pips don’t equal much when converted into cash and not even leveraging with that amount of money is going to make you self sufficient any time soon. Brokers don’t leverage more than what you have on hand to lose. [Read more...]

Economy Post-'Jobs’ Report; Real or Memorex?

Now it gets interesting because early in the bailout process the Fed talked about achieving certain employment milestones before hiking interest rates.  Here we are at the 10th consecutive month with 200,000+ job gains (321,000 in November) and the jobless rate down to 5.8% and still there is a question on when or whether ZIRP will be withdrawn?

Well I am a visual learner so I for one can never get enough pictures to inform my thinking.  Pardon the redundancy in this chart’s frequent appearances in NFTRH

sp500
Source: SlopeCharts

The rectangular red box is zero interest rate policy (ZIRP), which is 6 years old this month.  If we play it straight we would be expected to believe what the mainstream believes, that the “Great Recession” is a thing of the past and that something built of abnormal policy can proceed per normal metrics and assumptions when abnormal policy is removed.  I don’t buy it. [Read more...]

Gold Futures Rise Above $1,200 as Demand for the Metal Rises

By: FX Empire

After an early-session steep decline, Comex gold futures are now trading significantly higher. The early session sell-off was in response to trader reactions to the failure of the Swiss referendum to increase Swiss National Bank gold reserves; although the vote to not increase the reserves from 7% to 20% was anticipated, the market still dove nearly 2% as a result.

"We didn't think that vote was going to pass. Nobody thought that, but they've cleared the air," explained George Gero of RBC. He continued on to say that what brought gold back was the fact that there are three continents that have to stimulate their economies. The market was being pulled by buyers who are bargain hunters wanting to take advantage of the plunge in the price of gold, and then it was pushed back again by the dollar, as well as by deflation.

Comex gold futures for February hit $1,221 per ounce and then settled with a gain of 3.6% to $1,281. This has been the biggest swing since April of 2013. [Read more...]

Abenomics: From Faith to Failure

Why the biggest monetary stimulus effort in the world did NOT stop deflation in its tracks

By Elliott Wave International

When Shinzo Abe became the Prime Minister of Japan in December 2012, he was regarded with the kind of reverence that politicians dream about. He was featured in a hit pop song ("Abeno Mix"), hailed as a "samurai warrior," and featured on the May 2013 The Economist cover as none other than Superman.

But in the two short years since, Abe as Superman has been struck down by the superpower-zapping force of economic kryptonite. On November 17, government reports confirmed that Japan's brief respite from a 20-year long entrenched deflation was over as the nation's 2nd & 3rd quarter GDP shrank 7.2% and 1.6% respectively.

In the words of a November 20, 2014 New York Times article: [Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract are down $16 this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 1,192 an ounce after settling last Friday at 1,175 with huge volatile this trading week with Monday’s trade going as low as 1,140 before rallying sharply hitting a 4 week high as the volatility is as high as I’ve ever seen it due to the fact that crude oil prices have plummeted coupled with a strong U.S dollar as I’m neutral this market and I’m advising traders to sit on the sidelines and look for another market with better chart structure with less risk. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but below their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed and I do believe that gold prices will continue to head lower as money flows will continue to head into the S&P 500 which is hitting another record high today but the volatility is too high and the risk/reward at the current time is not in your favor in my opinion. The month of December in recent years has been bearish as ETF selling in the gold has put pressure on prices as investors want to take a tax break on losing trades before the end of the year and I think that will continue this year as well as I still see no reason to own gold at the current time.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL
[Read more...]

Don't Let The Government Decide When You Retire

By: Amy Calistri of Street Authority

I try not to be tempted by "click-baiting" headlines on the Internet. You know what I'm talking about -- the salacious, ridiculous, or shocking headlines that you click on, only to discover mundane articles that may or may not have anything to do with the headline.

But we all have our weaknesses; mine is information about retirement planning. This explains why I clicked on the U.S. News headline, "The Perils of Retirement at Age 65."

The article didn't provide me with many new insights. For instance, I already knew that even though you are eligible to start receiving Social Security retirement benefits at age 62, most people have to be older than 65 to receive "full" benefits.

What did surprise me were the comments people posted after reading the article. They fell into two general groups.

There was a group that couldn't bear the thought of working until the age of 65 and over: [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30493370

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures this Friday afternoon after the Thanksgiving holiday are sharply lower due to the fact that crude oil prices are down nearly $5 also pressuring the precious metals to the downside as gold in the February contract is currently trading down $29 at 1,167 after settling last Friday at 1,198 as I still remain neutral in this market as prices are trading above their 20 day but still below their 100 day moving average so avoid this market at the current time. In my opinion choppy markets are difficult to trade as the longer term downtrend line in gold is still intact in my opinion as a strong U.S dollar and S&P 500 continue to take money out of gold as the money flow continues to go into those 2 sectors as I still think there’s a possible retest of 1,130 in the month of December and if you remember in 2013 December was also a negative month to the downside as the stock market in my opinion will continue to climb higher throughout the rest of the year. The chart structure in gold is poor at the current time as prices have been choppy in recent weeks so look for a better market to trade and keep an eye on this and hopefully better chart structure will develop over the course of the next several weeks but I’m feeling that we will not be involved in the gold market until at least early 2015.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
[Read more...]

Every Day Is Black Friday In The World Of Forex

Gain the ultimate advantage with our FREE eBook "How to use the Wave Principle to Boost Your Forex Trading"

By Elliott Wave International

The foreign currency exchange market, known as forex, is the most liquid financial market on the planet -- liquid to the tune of $5.3 trillion traded per day!

That basically means every single day in forex is the day after Thanksgiving -- a.k.a. "Black Friday" -- with a stampede of traders pounding at the front door come opening bell, and then frantically racing up and down the market aisles in search of opportunities.

It's madness. Market turns are lightning fast. You have to be faster. You have one single goal: Get there before they're gone.

That goal, however, is difficult to attain if you're following the blueprint of mainstream financial analysis; which tells you to look outside the market for clues as to where prices will go next. The trouble with this strategy is that when you have your eyes focused outside the markets, you often miss high-confidence trade set-ups developing on the price charts themselves.

Take, for instance, the recent near-term performance in the euro/Canadian dollar exchange rate, forex name EURCAD. On November 20, the EURCAD took a nasty fall and continued slipping to a one-month low on November 21. Mainstream analysis identified the "cause" of the move after prices had already started to reverse: [Read more...]

Gold Is Setting Up For a Short

By: Chris Wilkinson of Longleaftrading.com

The overall fundamental theme for gold is still bearish. With the dollar rallying and commodities being dollar denominated, all else being equal, the price of commodities should decrease. The market looks to be pricing in low inflation to come and gold is used as an inflationary hedge. This is a bearish fundamental factor.

What we saw last week was very opportunistic upward movement that is helping set up the much larger downward trend that I foresee coming. The cash injections from the ECB and China should be short lived as the market will once again see these central banking efforts will not have a large impact on global inflationary numbers. Let’s look at the charts to plan our trade.

[Read more...]

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