Why There's Upside To Silver's Four-Year Lows

Posted on by admin

By: David Sterman of Street Authority

Even as investors were re-embracing stocks in 2010 and 2011, they scored really big gains with one of the hottest commodities in the world: Silver.

The precious metal soared in price from under $20 in August 2010 to nearly $50 an ounce by the next spring. In the hindsight, the silver spike was a classic bubble, fueled by inflation concerns that simply never materialized.

Though few people could have guessed that silver would be capable of a 150% nine-month gain, few also would have predicted that the eventual slump in silver would be so extended. Silver prices fell back below $30 an ounce by the start of 2013, and they've been in freefall ever since. A snapback to 2011 peaks is out of the cards.

You can get a sense of just how painful the silver slump has been by glancing at the performance of key exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The leveraged (2-times and 3-times) funds have been among the market's worst performers.

And when it comes to the silver producers themselves, it appears as if sentiment has utterly collapsed. In recent weeks, industry share prices have slumped another 20%-to-30%. In contrast, the pullback in gold prices and shares of gold miners has not been nearly as severe. Continue reading "Why There's Upside To Silver's Four-Year Lows" →

If You Want To Know What's Going On In The Markets...

Posted on by The INO.com Team

If you want to know what's going on in the markets, just look in the mirror. In one moment, investors are bullish and the next moment, very bearish. It just shows you the skittish nature of the market that we are in.

How do you feel about the market? Leave a comment below and tell us how feel.

Despite last week's wild gyrations, the markets closed lower for the week. This is the big picture you really want to watch and pay attention to. Looking at the S&P 500, as it represents a broad swath of the markets, this index closed out last week at 1,982.85, down 1.3% for the week. This was the lowest close in this index in over six weeks, not exactly a stellar picture. Again, when you look at the bigger picture, a clearer picture emerges of what's going on.

The same dismal story can be applied to the NASDAQ that closed down 1.44% for the week, closing at 4,513.44. Last week's close represents the lowest close for this index in six weeks, again not a good sign.

The Dow also closed lower for the week but still managed to have its third-highest weekly close in history. This morning the DOW gave its first serious indication that things are beginning to come apart as it joined the same picture as both the NASDAQ and the S&P 500. A weekly Trade Triangle flashed a exit and sideline position for this index. Now, just like the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, the DOW is indicating that you should be out of market at the present time and on the sidelines.

In other markets... Continue reading "If You Want To Know What's Going On In The Markets..." →

Today's Top 50 Trending Stocks

Posted on by The INO.com Team

What does a successful trader do that an unsuccessful trader can't seem to master? They quickly find and get in and out of the winning trades with expert precision. Who does this better than anyone else?  Smart money of course!

More importantly, "Smart Money," such as big banks and large financial institutions, have the capital and agility to persuade large and medium cap stocks to move in a preferred direction. It may sound like they have the upper hand, but individual traders can join them in a move and profit from the ride relatively easily.

The hardest part is finding where the smart money is hiding. So how can you, as a trader, find where the smart money is going to strike next? The answer is simple: You find the top trending stocks! Strong trending stocks have major volume, a clear direction, and sufficient liquidity - this is usually where the smart money is. Wouldn't it be nice to find a list of current, strong trending stocks?

Now you can. Access Today's Top 50 Trending Stocks.

Our latest tool, "Top 50 Trending Stocks," is a dynamic report that compiles a list of the market's strongest movers. This could help you find the stocks that will make a tremendous difference to your portfolio for Q4 of 2014.

No cost and instant access!

It's time you started trading like the smart money - Access Today's Top 50 Stocks list now!

 

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part I)

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By: Elliott Wave International

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

That's a crucial question to your financial well-being. This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part I; come back soon for Part II.

The Fundamental Flaw in Conventional Financial and Macroeconomic Theory

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

Every time there is a recession, observers grumble about economists' methods. The deeper the recession carries, the louder the grumbling. The reason that widespread complaints occur only in recessions is that economic forecasters as a group never, ever anticipate macroeconomic changes. Their tools don't work, but consumers of their commentary do not notice it until recessions occur, because that is the only time when everyone can see that the methods failed. The rest of the time, when expansion is the norm, no one notices or cares.

The recent/ongoing economic contraction is the deepest since the 1930s, so the complaints about economists' ideas are the most strident since that time. Figure 1 shows how one publication expressed this feeling following four quarters of negative GDP.

Figure 1

Ironically, once the economy begins expanding again, everyone forgets about their old complaints. The media resume quoting economists, despite their flawed methods, and they are once again satisfied that their ideas make perfect sense.

Conventional financial theory relies upon the seemingly sensible ideas of exogenous cause and rational reaction. Papers are packed with discussions of "exogenous shocks," "fundamentals," "input," "catalysts" and "triggers." Stunningly, as far as I can determine, no evidence supports these ideas, as the discussion below will show. Continue reading "Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part I)" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday at 17.84 going out this Friday in New York around 17.55 finishing down about $.30 hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the U.S dollar continues to pressure silver and the rest of the precious metal complex. If you took my original recommendation several months back when prices broke 20.44 which was the 4 week low continue to place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 18.85 and that will start to improve late next week as the chart structure will tighten up, but I still believe prices look vulnerable even at these multi-year lows. The trend is your friend in the commodity markets and the trend in the U.S dollar is clearly higher and that’s pessimistic all commodity prices, but if you have missed this trend sit on the sidelines as you have missed the boat as you do not want to chase markets that is why I like to find the trend as early as possible as my rule states a 4 week high or a 4 week low has to occur before entering.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →