Is Gold as an Investment Finished?

Before delving deeper into that question, perhaps we should see what the mainstream media thinks.  In fairness to the MSM, we note there are plenty of articles on both sides of the debate.  Yet there has been some media piling-on since the recent hard breakdown in gold.  The aptly named Howard Gold explains:

The Case for Owning Gold Has Collapsed; Yellow metal could be headed much, much lower .

Gold could be headed not much lower, but much much lower.  This was written on April 18, when the value assigned to the monetary relic (AKA its nominal price) resided at $1391 per ounce.  So be warned, Mr. Gold advises that gold could go much much lower.  Gold bugs take heed; Mr. Gold himself has put the double ‘much’ whammy on you!

After critical support at 1524 was lost our first downside target of 1440 or so was sawn through like Balsa Wood.  Okay fine.  For those who micro manage every tick in the price of gold (I am not one), then here is the situation; the current little rebound must extend back up to and through the broken support level at 1440 or the next target in the low 1200’s is up next. Continue reading "Is Gold as an Investment Finished?"

Gold Wipe Out Highlights Unbiased Risk Management

The damage in the precious metals began back in November when the critical 460 support level was broken on HUI.  Anyone who did not acknowledge that the violation of this level (the neckline to the 2011 topping pattern) was important – or as NFTRH called it “abnormal” to a bullish case – was looking through rose colored glasses.

After that came a bottoming attempt, a failure in January, numerous bottom calls from around the gold analyst spectrum and a series of bear flags that served to reset over sold status just enough to fuel each new plunge. Continue reading "Gold Wipe Out Highlights Unbiased Risk Management"

Technical Analysis – Put Egos Aside & Respect the Charts

I would like to repeat the idea that it is best to subordinate yourself to markets at all times.  To put your ego aside or at least check it daily to make sure it is not leading you astray.  The gold bug ego for example, hardened by a solid decade-plus of relentless bull market is in my opinion too set in its ways on balance.  That is because it is an ego that knows it is right.

Au monthly chart, log scale Continue reading "Technical Analysis – Put Egos Aside & Respect the Charts"

Yin & Yang, Dow Jones & Gold

As human beings we try to intellectualize and get to the bottom of things.  We seek to find meaning in everything.  There must be a reason for what is happening at any given time.

Take for example the Dow’s stellar performance and gold’s lousy performance even as monetary policy has gone reckless on a global scale.  This goes against everything that humans who deal with the financial markets think they know.  But what if we are just getting back into symmetry? Continue reading "Yin & Yang, Dow Jones & Gold"

Perspective on Gold and the Stock Market

It has been a relentlessly bullish decade (plus) for gold vs. the broad US stock market as the previous stock bull market flamed out and the former Fed chief chose inflation as the preferred means of managing the US economy.  We are in the age of Inflation onDemand ™, with stock market performance the result of manipulation of interest rates and currency.

S&P 500 – Gold ratio monthly chart Continue reading "Perspective on Gold and the Stock Market"