Before the release of the Non Farm Payrolls last week on Friday, US markets could not catch a break. Lower highs and lower lows were put in on the daily chart of the S&P 500 after the new high was printed on November 29th. On Thursday, stocks took the day to consolidate inside the prior days price range, but exploded to the upside at 7:30 cst. Markets were treated to a better-than-expected jobs number where 203,000 jobs were created and the jobless rate in the US hit a five year low. Additionally, Consumer Confidence in the US shot up to a five year high soon after the jobs numbers were posted. In short, LAST WEEK traders and investors used favorable reports as a reason to buy equities. The big question is whether the stock market will react the same way THIS WEEK, when data is released. We will have to wait and see. [Read more...]
Weekly Gold Report (December 2nd through December 6th)
We begin the final month of 2013 with a week full of important economic data. From every major market in the world, there are reports and interviews scheduled that collectively should provide some nice volatility over the next five trading days.
In the United States, we will hear from multiple FED Members throughout the week, including Bernanke, Fischer, and Evans. There are also scheduled releases of manufacturing, GDP, Consumer Confidence, and most importantly Unemployment figures from the Government and the Private Sector. [Read more...]
Weekly Gold Report (November 25th through November 29th)
New highs were seen in US equities last week as investors continue to bank on the FED maintaining their participation, at least until the end of the year.
Due to the shortened Holiday week in the US, we expect lighter volume across the board in the futures markets. Anyone that has traded Holiday markets over the years knows that low volume trading can either bore a trader to tears, or leave markets vulnerable to volatile, directional movement. Being aware of the potential for either scenario is important this week, and making arrangements for either is smart. [Read more...]
Weekly Gold Report (November 18th through November 22nd)
Welcome to another week that have the US FED in the drivers seat from beginning to end. I would love to take time to forecast a few economic figures released this week in Europe and the United States, but there is little reason to do so.
Last week we heard from Janet Yellen regarding the FED and the economy, and her dovish rhetoric stole the show. Traders and investors began buying equities the day prior to her speech and that continued during and after she made it clear that her stance was one that would be supportive of further easing. [Read more...]
While the markets are packed with data throughout the week, the most important numbers will come on Wednesday when the FOMC releases their Interest Rate Decision. We will also hear from the Bank of Japan later in the week, but that report is scheduled as tentative at this point. Aside from these two Central Bank announcements, we expect the scheduled data that includes unemployment, CPI, PPI, Industrial Production, Home Sales, and Retail Sales data to take a back seat. [Read more...]