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Weak

High Oil Prices Are Here To Stay -- Here's How To Profit

American oil production is surging. Yet oil prices remain near $100 a barrel.

You may be wondering: When will all of this additional production finally overtake demand and push the price of oil down?

You can find one answer in the price of oil futures -- which say we can expect oil to fall to closer to $80 in the coming few years and stay there.

 

Is the market correct? Are oil prices heading south?

I think that the answer is no, for several reasons -- especially after I listened to a recent presentation by Bill Thomas, the CEO and chairman of EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG).

EOG is, by a considerable margin, the largest horizontal oil producer in the world. That means the company has access to the best data available on horizontal oil production and resources.

Put simply, EOG and Thomas believe that the futures market is all wrong about oil prices. The company is bullish on oil and focused on producing more of it.

What EOG sees -- and the market doesn't seem to grasp -- is that for all intents and purposes, the horizontal oil boom is coming from only two plays: the Bakken Formation in the upper Midwest and the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas. A slide from EOG's most recent investor presentation illustrates this clearly: [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30462447

Chart of The Week - Crude Oil

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

As the week starts, our attention turns to the June Crude Oil futures (NYMEX:CL.M14.E). After gaining nearly $7/barrel in less than a month, the market has recently consolidated around $103.50/barrel as it begins to decide which direction it will take. It appears that some of the recent slowing of the market is due to profit-taking, as the recent sharp up-trend may have gained too much too soon. There are a number of fundamental factors at play in the market, many of which seem to work in contrast with each other: support from Russia-Ukraine uncertainty, resistance from ample supply concerns, and improved demand prospects following solid US Economic data last week. With a number of different fundamental factors in play – and uncertainty over which fundamental factor the market will focus on moving forward – I will focus on the technical aspects of the market for a potential trading opportunity.

Thursday’s range last week was consolidated within the previous day’s range and a move above or below that range should give us good direction to go off of. [Read more...]

Oil closes near 2012 low today

By CHRIS KAHN
AP Energy Writer

(AP:NEW YORK) Oil prices dropped near their lows for the year following warnings of a "severe recession" in Europe and an apparent easing of tensions over Iran's nuclear program.

Benchmark U.S. crude on Tuesday lost 91 cents to end the day at $91.66 per barrel in New York while Brent crude fell by 40 cents to end at $108.41 per barrel in London. Both contracts hit a low for 2012 on Friday at $91.48 and $107.14, respectively.

Oil has declined almost every day this month as elections in Greece and France threatened existing plans to fix the [Read more...]

A Special Report on Crude Oil

Hello fellow traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with a SPECIAL REPORT ON CRUDE OIL for Thursday the 16th of February.

TRADING TIP: DON'T FIGHT THE MARKET … MOVE WITH THE MARKET

The New Bull Market --- it's OIL!!
Today we will use our Trade Triangle Technology and figure out Oil's next big move.

CRUDE OIL (APRIL CONTRACT)
BIG PICTURE: Strong Trend +100
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bullish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING: Trading Range (50 to 65) : Emerging Trend (70 to 80) : Strong Trend (85 to 100)

It appears as though the crude oil market is coiling up and getting ready to spring upwards. Here are my 3 main reasons for being bullish on crude oil.

# 1: All our Trade Triangles are green indicating that a very strong trend is in place.

# 2: Crude Oil tends to make major lows every eight or nine months (last major low in October) look at the weekly chart on the video and I'll show you this.

# 3: The Crude Oil market tends to make a major high every 11 or 12 months.

Presently we are about 6 to 7 weeks away from making a major high in Crude. This cyclic pattern, if it persists, should push Crude up and into a new 6 week high in late March or early April. A move and close on Friday over $103.38 should be viewed as very bullish for Crude Oil, indicating sharply higher levels to come in the weeks ahead.

DISCLAIMER: As with any market analysis there are no guarantees. Always use stops to protect capital and never trade with funds that you cannot afford to lose. With our monthly, weekly and daily Trade Triangles all in a positive mode, we expect to see further gains in Crude Oil.
-----------------------------
Watch today’s SPECIAL REPORT Crude Oil Video Here.
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Suggested Crude Oil Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
Futures & Options are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

What do you think is going to happen to Crude Oil in the next 6 to 7 weeks?

View Results

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I would like to hear your thoughts on Crude Oil. Please vote and if you wish leave a comment below.

Take care everyone,
Adam Hewison
President INO.com and co-founder of MarketClub.com

Forget the latest … Crude Oil Forecast

Forget the latest greatest… Stick to a tried-and-true method of trading.

Hi everyone,

Adam Hewison here for MarketClub.com.

Several years ago, I did a video about learning how to trade crude oil in 90 seconds. People laughed at us, but they're not laughing now as huge profits continue to pile up in the crude oil market thanks to this tried-and-true method of trading.

When you watch the video you must realize that we have upgraded the MarketClub interface to a much higher standard.  However, the concept of trading has remained the same.  The same rules apply now just as they did 4 years ago.

[Read more...]

3 Smart Indicators To Trade Crude Oil With Synergism

Now that we have "Silly Season" behind us, it's time to get serious about trading

In today's video we are looking at crude oil. This market has been a disappointment to a lot of traders as has remained in a broad trading range for the past 18 months.

The current trading range will eventually be broken and the market will move in the direction of the breakout. While our long-term indicator, the monthly "Trade Triangle" continues to be positive, short-term "Trade Triangles" are indicating weakness. With a score of -60 for February crude oil, we expect that this market will be range bound in the short term.

One of the indicators we discussed in an earlier video is in an oversold condition, indicating a potential rally from current levels could be at hand. That being said we would wait for some other combination of indicators to confirm that a move is underway. [Read more...]

Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011

It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an "expert" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year.

It's time to kiss those predictions goodbye.

I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not quite how the markets work. You see, markets don't give a "Rats A**" about what forecasters say or what predictions economists make. The market is the only true voice out there.

Think about that for a moment. How many predictions do you remember that were even close to being spot on a year in advance? I remember several forecasts for 2010 and most of them were far from accurate.

Does it make any sense to trade on a year-end forecast, not knowing what can happen in this crazy world we live in? It doesn't make any sense to me or to other professional traders who never trade based on year-end predictions.

So let's get back to reality and take a look back on 2010 to see what the big trends are showing for 2011.

[Read more...]

What's ahead for crude oil?

There's no question about it, 2010 has been pretty difficult for most traders in the crude oil market. This year has produced no discernible, lasting trends in this market. The trends it has produced have lasted little more than just 3 or 4 weeks at best.

So what's ahead for this market?

In today's short video we examine the fact that crude oil briefly traded over $90 a barrel before falling back. So what made the crude oil market reverse course and fall back? Was it selling, was it profit taking, a technical point, or something else? [Read more...]

No leaks in this crude oil market

The massive move-up in crude oil on Monday created a new dynamic for this in-the-news market. The move to two-month highs completed one of our favorite major technical formations.

In this short video, I share with you two conflicting indicators and which one I am choosing to go with. I think you'll find this video technically interesting as well as educational.

Please feel free to comment on our blog with your thoughts on this market.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements needed.

All the best,
Adam Hewison

President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

What's going on in crude oil?

We've had a number of requests to do a video on crude oil, so here it is. This market has been largely trapped in a broad trading range with support coming in around $70/barrel and resistance around $80-85/barrel. In this new video, I show you some of the other factors that could tip this market one way or the other.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register. I hope you enjoy the video and please leave your comments on our blog.

All the best,
Adam Hewison
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

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