Euro: No Longer a One-Way Bet

Lior Alkalay - Contributor - Forex

It’s been barely five months since the Brexit referendum and yet here we are again, another European referendum, another political battle. This time around, it is Italy’s future in the balance and the Euro’s integrity at stake.

This upcoming referendum, due on Sunday, is a vote for constitutional reform that will abolish Italy’s dual parliamentarian system. Currently, Italy’s Parliament has two chambers, the Senate and the Chamber of Deputies. And, peculiar as it may sound, both have the same powers, but rather than balance they simply paralyze one another.

Why It Matters For The Euro

So, that begs the question, why is a referendum in Italy so important for the Euro? In one word: Banks. In the past few months, the Eurozone economy has started to show some signs of life. Among the data releases, Eurozone Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.7, retail sales in Germany has their strongest monthly gain in five years, and the Eurozone trade balance surplus rose by 37.8% over last year. Even in Italy, the Manufacturing PMI is holding above the 50 level, signaling expansion. All of which is "courtesy of a low Euro” that benefits European exporters. And yet, core inflation in the Eurozone is incredibly low at 0.8% and credit activity is weak, with the M3 level turning stagnant. Even the ECB’s €80 billion in monthly liquidity operations have thus far been insufficient to revive credit growth which is essential for the Euro recovery. At the heart of the problem is Europe’s banking system and its need to capitalize. Continue reading "Euro: No Longer a One-Way Bet"

Optimism For Greece - Can It Last?

It started in the Far East and was immediately picked up by the European stock markets with many of them soaring over 3% for the day. All of which was overshadowed by the Athens Stock Index which was up over 8%. Can anyone say happy days are here again?

It would appear to this observer that the world wants a positive outcome from this self-induced Greek tragedy.

Last week, on Thursday to be exact, you may remember buy signals were triggered on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ based on the Trade Triangle technology. That signal did not apply to the Dow which remains a laggard. The Dow could join the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ should it trade above 18,169 this week. As of this writing, the DOW is about 30 to 40 points away from giving a buy signal based on the Trade Triangle technology. Continue reading "Optimism For Greece - Can It Last?"

Chart For Profit: Buy Gold, Sell Euro

Aibek Burabayev - Contributor - Metals

Dear readers,

This week I prepared for you an analysis of gold versus the euro and why it might be profitable choice.

My last post was also dedicated to the European cross of gold versus the Swedish krona and, for the time being, it managed to gain more than 200 SEK per troy ounce (already or more than 2%). The target is set for a 14% gain, so please be patient.

Today I am going to tell you about a chance to score a nice 18%. The chart above is a monthly candle graph of XAUEUR for the last 5 years. It was me who wrongly forgot about such a liquid metal cross with such an interesting chart pattern being shaped. But fortunately, today we still have a chance to buy gold versus euro. Continue reading "Chart For Profit: Buy Gold, Sell Euro"