S&P 500
2032.54
-24.55 -1.19%
Dow Indu
17405.61
-273.09 -1.54%
Nasdaq
4692.64
-79.12 -1.66%
Crude Oil
45.97
+0.82 +1.82%
Gold
1293.880
+16.130 +1.26%
Euro
1.136000
+0.011800 +1.05%
US Dollar
94.054
-0.871 -1.12%
Weak

Gold Update: Total Recast

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Dear INO.com readers,

Today Gold hit the $1300 level and I updated my chart for Gold, as it was price trigger for my previous bearish scenario.

In my first article last December I charted the line graph for Gold with a descending triangle pattern detected on this metal. My projection for the mentioned pattern was bearish with quite bold target levels.

What is up today?

The main rule for success is to not to be biased and always challenge yourself with making a brand new analysis from time to time, and surely when market is not going your way.

Today I prepared an absolutely new Gold graph to put fresh eye on it, now with candlesticks.

Gold Chart, small and big wedge chart patterns.

This time I detected a very interesting chart pattern called the “wedge.” This type of patterns is outstanding as it has an ambiguous impact on the market with either a continued or reversed outcome. Luckily, we have two wedges on the same time frame at once. Both are the falling wedge type because of the descending highs and lows. The big one is highlighted in green and the small is in black. Apart from it, we have two more rare technical species on the chart. [Read more...]

Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold?

The Gold Report: Quite a few analysts believe 2015 will be a year of great economic volatility, as foreshadowed by what happened with oil in 2014. Do you agree?

Eric Coffin: I do think 2015 will be pretty volatile, with the potential for nasty financial surprises. We've already seen bond yields go negative in Germany, France and elsewhere, and we could see big moves in and out of different asset classes.

TGR: Could the oil price collapse be a leading indicator of a global economic slowdown?

EC: That's an oversimplification. Economic growth in China has slowed and will probably slow some more. And China is the 800-pound gorilla of commodity consumption. Estimates for worldwide growth in 2015 have recently come down but not enough to justify the drop in the oil price.

"Excelsior Mining Corp.'s Gunnison project has extremely good logistics."

The main reason for the oil price crash is oversupply. U.S. supply has grown massively due to fracking and horizontal drilling, while Libya and Iran have both added a million barrels a day. These events have disrupted the equilibrium.

TGR: Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), has famously boasted he will do "whatever it takes" to save the euro. Greece will hold an election Jan. 25, and the polls tell there is a good chance the new government will reject its current arrangement with the ECB. If this occurs, can the euro be saved? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/y1oj6yeDBq0/16464

How The Oscars May Affect The Way You Look At The Markets

This past weekend I saw a great movie titled, The Imitation Game starring Benedict Cumberbatch and Keira Knightley, both of whom are nominated for Academy Awards, as is the movie itself.

The Imitation Game chronicles the life of Alan Turing, who is largely credited with developing the computers we use today. The story revolves around the incredible work that was done at Bletchley Park in England to break the German Enigma code. At the time, the Enigma code and machine were thought to be unbreakable. The breaking of this code helped shorten and end the war. Otherwise, I would be writing this post in German and not English (I was born in England right after WW2).

If you haven't seen the movie, I highly recommend seeing it and witnessing the extraordinary genius of a remarkable man named Alan Turing.

Why would I discuss and recommend a movie when MarketClub and INO.com are financial websites dealing with stocks and futures? The reason I bring this up is because I wanted to share with you some math today that can help you in the market.

Now don't worry this is not high-level mathematics, it has more to do with a remarkable sequence of numbers known as the Fibonacci sequence. [Read more...]

The Next Bombshell To Hit The Markets ... Greece

The big news of this past week has to be the Swiss National Bank (SNB) parting ways with the euro. Make no mistake about it, this was a game changer and the ramifications of SNB's actions will be felt for a long time to come.

The next big game changer will be Greece exiting out of the Euro and going back to its old currency the Greek drachma. It may not happen next week, or next month, but it will happen.

On to the markets - it has been quite a week for the indices, with the DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all down over 2%. The strong downtrend in crude oil was unabated, with crude closing down the week with a loss of 3%. The only two positives of the week, are the dollar index, which closed the week with a gain of 0.7% and gold which climbed to its best levels in over four months with a gain of 3.16% for the week. [Read more...]

Gold Is Sending A Very Strong Message, Are You Listening?

Hello MarketClub members and friends of MarketClub everywhere! Today, I have a brief market update on the general market and an in-depth analysis on gold.

2015 has not started off too well for the US equity markets, while the reverse seems to be true for the action in gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO). What's going on? Oil continues to slip, which most economists thought would be good for the economy, but it does not seem to be helping the market. This brings me to my next thought...

Do you know about the "January Barometer"? Since World War II, if the market closes down in January, the average price change was usually flat in the remaining 11 months. So while certain stocks may do very well overall if the market closes down this month, look for a less than stellar year.

As you can see, while stocks have been swooning, gold has actually been on the move to the upside. As I write this, gold is up almost 3% and we are only 6 days into January!

Take a look at the chart and you can see that gold has almost completed an important technical formation known as a "head and shoulders bottom", one of the most reliable formations in your technical arsenal.

A higher close today clearly breaks over the the all important "neckline" resistance level. Once over the "neckline," I can see gold moving based on the head-to-neckline measurement up to the $1,330 to $1,340 level.

Wishing you all the very best in 2015.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Investing During the Era of Peak Gold Discoveries

The Gold Report: Brent, you've quoted Goldcorp Inc.'s (G:TSX; GG:NYSE) CEO, Charles Jeannes, saying that we've reached peak economic gold production. What led us to this point?

Brent Cook: That's a big question that really goes back to what was happening in the global exploration sector 20+ years ago. I don't want to get into the peak gold production idea but instead focus on the discovery curve and what's behind the problem we are seeing in the gold sector.

Why aren't we finding as many gold deposits as we used to, or at least as many economic deposits? In 1995 or so, the discovery boom in the gold sector peaked and that success is largely tied to the opening of large areas of earth that were previously off limits to serious exploration. Since then, exploration success and new discoveries have trended down. However, in terms of gold production, it's taken about 20 years for all those discoveries to work their way through the system to come into full production.

So what Charles Jeannes sees is that in 2015 or so, gold production is going to be tapering off as opposed to expanding. That's especially true given the current gold price and cost structure. A lot of these companies aren't making much money, or any money at all. They'll be shutting down loss-making projects over the coming years.

TGR: Are we running out of gold in the world, or did we just not make an investment in a timely manner, say, 20 years ago? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/NmcL8IW_xjQ/16436

Caution, Caution, Caution

Here we are at the first trading day of 2015. You may remember one of my posts in December indicating that the markets can be quite dangerous over the holiday time period. Well, that same danger carries over in to the first week of January when many traders are just getting back from vacations and preparing to setup their trading desks for the New Year. Typically, I like to get serious about the market after the first full trading week of January is over and volume once again returns to the market.

At the moment, we're still in a very low volume period indicating that the markets can be extremely volatile on a moment's notice. You only have to look at gold in the last several days to see the extreme swings up and down that market is going through, which proves my point. This extreme kind of market action can happen in any market with little or no notice - so the word for today and next week is caution, caution, caution.

On A Personal Note

I hope everyone had a wonderful time with family and loved ones over the Christmas holidays.

I am very fortunate, thought some would say unfortunate, that right after Christmas I have a birthday. The 26th of December is my birthday, for those of you living in England and Australia, that's Boxing Day. I've gotten to the age when birthday presents really aren't my thing anymore as I pretty much have all the underwear and socks I will ever need. However, this year was different, as I did want something, something very special and close to my heart. [Read more...]

What's Ahead In 2015?

Here we are, the first day of 2015, thinking about what's ahead this year. There's no doubt about it, 2014 was a good year for most stock investors and we hope you got your share of the pie.

The big standouts to me in 2014 were the mega drop in oil prices and the fact that gold prices have lost two years in a row. The last time that happened was in 1997 – so what's ahead in 2015?

I think that 2015 will offer some amazing opportunities for smart, knowledgeable investors. The key to trading this year is to go with the flow and don't fight the market. I don't know of any market expert who, in January of last year, forecast a 40% drop in oil prices. I'm not sure I heard anyone predicting that gold prices were going to have back-to-back losses two years in a row.

What does that tell you?

The investors or gurus who hold fixed beliefs and feel compelled to defend their market opinions are doomed. Investors who hold rigid market opinions in 2015 are not going to fair well and enjoy positive returns. That's just my opinion, and I reserve the right to change it at any time.

Here is another timeless piece of advice for 2015: [Read more...]

Gold Versus Top Currencies! And The Winner Is….

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Long ago, Gold was an exchange medium and one of the very first hard currencies. In this post, I will show you YTD results of the competition between this former currency and the top 7 modern currencies. I selected the US dollar first, and the others are 6 components of US dollar index placed by weight: EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK and CHF. I bet some of you never even thought about such currency crosses for Gold.

On the above diagram, you’ll see DXY components in different extents. They lost their value against Gold and only the 'king currency' managed to survive and even gain a small profit. So the winner is US dollar and the top loser is Swedish krona, the net difference between them is 20%, impressive! [Read more...]

Gold Is Setting Up For a Short

By: Chris Wilkinson of Longleaftrading.com

The overall fundamental theme for gold is still bearish. With the dollar rallying and commodities being dollar denominated, all else being equal, the price of commodities should decrease. The market looks to be pricing in low inflation to come and gold is used as an inflationary hedge. This is a bearish fundamental factor.

What we saw last week was very opportunistic upward movement that is helping set up the much larger downward trend that I foresee coming. The cash injections from the ECB and China should be short lived as the market will once again see these central banking efforts will not have a large impact on global inflationary numbers. Let’s look at the charts to plan our trade.

[Read more...]

© Copyright INO.com, Inc. All Rights Reserved.