S&P 500
1875.39
-4.16 -0.22%
Dow Indu
16501.65
-12.72 -0.08%
Nasdaq
4126.58
-34.88 -0.84%
Crude Oil
101.67
+0.23 +0.23%
Gold
1283.550
-1.400 -0.11%
Euro
1.381850
+0.000365 +0.03%
US Dollar
79.827
-0.033 -0.04%
Weak

Big Pictures: Stocks, Gold and the Miners

Ukraine war hype, China demand drop, GOFO mysteries… these are the short term noise inputs on the gold sector.

US Treasury bond yield spreads, gold vs. commodities (i.e. the 'real' price of gold), gold vs. the stock market… these are some of the fundamental considerations that actually matter and they have taken a hit since January.

It is easy to say 'I am bullish in the big picture' (measured in years) but it is not so easy to actively manage in the smaller pictures (measured in days, weeks and months) with all of the above noise inputs and more bombarding the poor individual player.

We use shorter term charts to manage the shorter time frames.  Daily charts have most recently indicated a bearish set up as bear flags formed across the precious metals complex (with the exception of silver, which never got going to begin with) last week.  Weekly charts continue to indicate that an extended and oh so grinding bottom may be forming, but that includes the potential for ups and downs, also known as volatility. [Read more...]

Chart of The Week - Gold

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

After a week where we saw a correction in stock index futures, we will be looking at June Gold Futures (NYMEX:GC.M14.E) to receive a possible flight-to-safety bid. The focus remains on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, where the prospect for violence is extremely high. This shifts the gold market’s focus from physical commodity fundamentals to safe haven issues. Further Russia-Ukraine tensions or continued pressure on stock index futures can provide an influx of buyers in the gold market.

On the technical side, gold has shown a lot of strength after rebounding from its April 1, 2014 low of 1278.3. Last Friday’s session was relatively quiet, consolidating and trading within the previous day’s range between 1324 and 1310.8. For this reason, along with multiple fundamental catalysts, I would be a buyer in June Gold futures and look for it to reach $1350.00 in the near future. [Read more...]

Tech Stocks Put The Market Under Pressure

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Monday, the 7th of April.

Last week we saw the tech stocks shave 4% off the value of the NASDAQ index in just 3 days and we are seeing further follow-through selling today. Technically the markets have been in strong bull trends for the last 5 years. Historically, very few bull markets have exceeded that length of time. This bull market may or may not be the exception.

There have been several Internet stocks that I have been talking about on this blog, mainly Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) which I have been bearish on, Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), Yelp (NYSE:YELP), and a host of others and they are all in bearish patterns. [Read more...]

The Odds Are In Your Favor To Trade Gold This Quarter

Using MarketClub's weekly and daily Trade Triangles, I have found that over the last 6 1/2 years, the second quarter of the year has shown the most consistent profits in gold. These past results showed a quarterly gain on average of $7,104.83 on one futures contract.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) enjoyed a nice move up earlier in the year, reaching a high of $1393.35 and has pulled back to an important Fibonacci support area. I want to watch this market very carefully and wait for the weekly Trade Triangle to turn green to get bullish on gold. That's not to say I am not longer-term bullish, it only means that my timing will kick in when the weekly Trade Triangle turns into a green Trade Triangle.

Besides the Fibonacci support area, the RSI indicator is also at a very low level, similar to that of December 2013. [Read more...]

Why Major Trends Are Important

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Thursday, the 3rd of April.

Indices

Major Trend : BULLISH
Intermediate Trend : BULLISH

One lesson I learned a long time ago in my trading career was to never fight the trend. Trends tend to persist longer and go further than most expect. Yesterday, the Dow 30 gave a signal that it was once again resuming its upward trend, joining the S&P 500 in a positive trend. The NASDAQ is in a neutral and sideways mode. Watch today’s video to see my upside target levels.

[Read more...]

Don't Keep Your Gold and Silver in the US, Says Marc Faber

Publisher Marc Faber discusses the fragile state of the US and global financial systems… how rising inflation will affect the average American… how soon the bubble will burst… and why gold and silver will triumph.

Here are a few highlights:

"The US is a country that likes to create trouble, but they don’t like to clean up things."

"We've now been five years into the bull market and the US economy bottomed out in June 2009. We already had a crack-up boom—not in the economy of the typical household, but in the economy of the super-well-to-do people, whose asset prices rose dramatically and as a result created a huge wealth inequality." [Read more...]

Gold Contrary Indicators

The gold sector is peopled by a high concentration of contrary indicators because it is a relatively (to the vast world of equities and bonds) small market that offers refuge from some of the damaging aspects of the spectrum of investment products that are supported by the manipulation of interest rates and printed (and digitally created) money supplies. Thus, gold has moral high ground if an asset can be thought to have morality.

More accurately, the people bullish on and promoting gold take high moral ground and that is where the emotional power comes from in this market. This power feeds upon the desires of regular people to not suffer the consequences of the 'evil' actions of those running a system that many do not agree with. Readers of this site know of course that I certainly don't agree with the setting and manipulation of interest rates by decree of man (and woman) in service to engineering desired outcomes in financial markets. [Read more...]

HUI Gold Bugs Index Symmetry

There is a growing presence out there talking about a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders (IH&S) on the HUI, which NFTRH has had going since mid-late last year.  Below is a simple view of it, with last week's 'Week 2 down' making perfect sense (symmetrically speaking) with 'Weeks 1 & 2 up'.

hui

NFTRH subscribers had a heads up (from both a sentiment and technical view) that it was time for traders to take profits and holders to prepare for corrective activity in and around the Ukraine hysterics that threw over the final upside (right side of the neckline). [Read more...]

Are The Markets Just Teasing Us?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Wednesday, the 26th of March.

It would appear as though most of the major indices have just been spinning their wheels and going nowhere fast in the past 4 to 5 weeks as they have all been in a broad trading range. This type of market action can lull investors to complacency, but for me it has always been a wake-up call to pay close attention to the market as something big is going to happen.

As I see it, the market is doing one of two things, it's either building a base to move higher or it's a distribution top – only time will tell which is the correct answer.

One of our members suggested that the Dow 30 could be making an inverse head and shoulders formation. Certainly this is possible, but I need to see a clear breakout to the upside to confirm this formation.

The other concern I have is the damage done to the NASDAQ earlier this week as it fell to a 6-week low. How this particular index closes on Friday is going to be very important in my mind. Again, I will be watching this market very closely for signs of either a continuation of the bullish trend or a top. [Read more...]

Get Out Of Gold Stocks -- Right Now

Few investments are driven by psychology and fear as much as gold. Concerns about ruinous inflation, global tensions or economic instability can send investors out of stocks and right into the seemingly safe harbor of gold.

Is the fear trade back on? A double-digit rebound in gold prices since the year began has led some investors to wonder if gold is poised for a great 2014 after a dismal slump in 2013 when gold prices fell more than $400 an ounce. Junior gold miners have fared even better: The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miner ETF (NYSE: GDXJ) is up roughly 35% in the past three months.

Much of the impetus for an upward move in gold prices was the building tensions in Ukraine, which led to concerns about potential military escalation. It's now apparent that financial sanctions, and not a deepening of a war posture, will characterize the hardening Russia/European Union relationship, and the risk factor is slowly receding. [Read more...]

Article source: http://www.streetauthority.com/node/30450147

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