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US Dollar
+0.093 +0.12%

Marin Katusa: Follow the Good Guys in Mining

The most valuable resource in a mining company is often the people. Good management can attract the right investors and add value regardless of the market. In this interview with The Gold Report, Marin Katusa, founder of Katusa Research, shares his litmus test for which mining companies are worth his hard-won dollars and which ones he is avoiding for the foreseeable future.

Gold vs. US Dollar YTD Chart

The Gold Report: You seem much more positive about gold right now than when we talked in June. Based on the chart you have on Katusa Research of the U.S. dollar versus gold and in the wake of the Federal Reserve's inaction at its last meeting, what's your thesis for gold for the rest of 2015?

Marin Katusa: As I said in the spring, I don't see the Fed raising rates this year. Using some simple game theory, for the Fed not to raise rates is the best decision. I still believe that. Gold has fared well compared to the price of the U.S. dollar, better than any other hard commodity. Gold is holding its own. The reality is, because the commodity markets are down, very little capital is being invested to replace the production of gold.

In the long run, I'm very bullish on gold. It's something I'm paying very close attention to through my fund. We've started writing checks on assets that I believe are very cheap and well priced in today's currency commodity markets and that I believe a major will want in its portfolio in a few years. Gold is the currency of kings and silver is the currency of gentlemen; it always has been, and always will be. When you see living legends such as Stanley Druckenmiller and well-known successful fund managers plowing hundreds of millions of dollars into gold, it's obvious gold is appealing at these prices.

TGR: Will the power of gold help the majors or the juniors more? [Read more...]

Gold Update: Space Mission Aborted, Rescue Landing Is Ahead

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals

One of our regular readers was among the few who openly rejected the idea of Gold’s reversal to the upside, he sees a lower bottom for the metal.

So let’s see why I changed my mind and now think that we are not going to rocket higher soon. Below is my previous post’s daily chart. I've added remarks to the chart to show what went wrong.

Gold Daily: Post-Mortem

Daily Gold Chart FOREX:XAUUSDO
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I supposed that after we received the first bull confirmation of higher lows, we can fly higher at a distance of the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio in the green CD segment. One can notice that we hit a new high last Thursday around the $1192 level. So why should we cancel the bullish scenario now? [Read more...]

Is This ETF Signaling Trouble Ahead?

Hello MarketClub members everywhere, today I'm going to be looking at SPDR Gold Shares (PACF:GLD) and showing you why it could be signaling trouble ahead for stocks, the economy and a whole host of other challenges.

GLD did something that was unusual recently by breaking over a three-year trendline. As you approach and trade the market in a technical manner, this is a significant event that should not be overlooked.

Another interesting aspect to GLD is that it just completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from its all-time high. I'm going to be looking at GLD in detail today and I will give you my precise analysis of this market and the reason why I think it can go significantly higher in the next 3 to 6 months.

I will also be analyzing the major indices and why they have been so choppy recently along with crude oil, the dollar and gold.

I highly recommend that you take a few minutes out of your day and watch the video!

Stay strong and disciplined.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

These Six Gold Companies Could Create Exceptional Wealth Sooner Than You Think

For smart investors watching the gold-Dow ratio rather than mainstream media headlines, this is an exciting time to be a precious metals investor. The world seems to be conspiring to push the price of gold higher, with continued zero interest rates, Chinese stock market volatility and more unrest in the Middle East. In this interview with The Gold Report, Gold Stock Trades Editor Jeb Handwerger lays out his short list of junior mining companies that have been actively adding value, and that will be in demand when all eyes are on the sector.


The Gold Report: In your last interview with The Gold Report, you said that a Federal Reserve interest rate hike would be the best thing for gold. As we now know, the board decided to keep rates at almost zero. How does that impact your projections for precious metals? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/Ve0yyyBBGr0/16780

Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals

One month ago I dared to call my Gold update "Major reversal," but I have enough reason for that. Today I prepared a short term daily chart with the focus being on the first bullish move and its correction.

Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Like a tree starting from a sprout, the new trend starts from the first counter trend move that has its threshold at the end of July. Gold's price has gained a weighty 9% (almost $100) in one month and has stalled at the $1170 level ahead of resistance. The gold market has been treading water within the 1077/1110 range for two weeks in a row and it looked like another consolidation was going to happen before the new drop down. But, surprisingly the price broke the upper bound and quickly cut through the $1100 level. It then had a small four-day break before it made the final jump to the $1170 level. This is the first serious counter trend move which I have labeled as the large green AB segment. [Read more...]

Conspiracy Facts Show Metal Prices Have to Rise

Even in a frozen metals price market, it only takes one event to shake off the paper manipulation keeping prices below what supply and demand fundamentals of a free market would dictate. And when that correction comes, it could happen quickly. In this interview with The Gold Report, The Morgan Report Publisher David Morgan shares his favorite ways to own leverage to metal prices upside while protecting against junior mining risk.

Gold and Silver Bars

The Gold Report: You and David Smith recently wrote a piece titled "Gold and Silver: Heading for a Blue Screen of Death Event." You compared the gut-wrenching panic of suddenly facing a computer that stops working with a precious metals market that seems frozen, in the case of gold, in sub-$1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) limbo. But then you suggested that, like a Windows operating system, the metal could be rebooted on its way to once again hitting $1,900/oz. What would it take for something like that to occur? How do you hit Control-Alt-Delete on a commodity? [Read more...]

No Fed Rate Hike Good For Gold, Bad Sign For Economy

The much-anticipated decision by the Federal Reserve Board at the Sept. 17 meeting to hold interest rates near zero was met in the resource community with a mixture of relief and disappointment. The 9-to-1 vote citing global economic pressure on inflation left open the possibility of a hike at the December meeting. The Gold Report asked the experts in the resource sector what this means for precious metals and oil prices, and what signs they are looking for that a different outcome will be announced in December.

Fed announcement

Joe McAlinden, founder of McAlinden Research Partners and former chief global strategist with Morgan Stanley Investment Management, was disappointed that the Fed "blinked." He called the decision irresponsible and attributed it to worries about China's growth. The veteran investor saw the status quo as bullish for precious metals and oil, but warned, "As the Fed continues to postpone moving towards normalization of interest rates, the potential for future inflation from years of excessive stimulation increases with every delay of the end of the zero interest rate policy."

He continued, "Based on today's decision, we now need to watch economic data from China and the performance of the markets themselves. I do not believe that the Fed's focus on those points is appropriate. Nonetheless, it is now clear that these will influence the timing of the next Fed move. Also, and more appropriately, we should be watching average hourly earnings, overall signs of strength or weakness in the U.S. economy, and the trend of the core PCE deflator." [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/I5CKvl2wC3A/16777

Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals

Today I prepared for you the year-to-date comparative dynamics of the metals versus the top financial instruments including the Dollar Index, crude oil and the S&P 500 index.

Gold Comparison Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above graph, half of the instruments started the year on an upbeat tune, lead by Silver and followed by Gold, Platinum and the Dollar Index. The other half started with a nose-diving fall, especially crude oil followed by Copper, Palladium and the S&P 500 bringing up the rear. [Read more...]

Joe McAlinden Reverses View, Predicts Recovery for Gold, Oil and Housing

With the markets in whiplash mode, Joe McAlinden, founder of McAlinden Research Partners and former chief global strategist with Morgan Stanley Investment Management, believes volatility is going to stick around for a while, and we might see a correction double of what we've had so far. In this interview with The Gold Report, McAlinden bucks conventional wisdom to argue that an interest rate hike is good for gold and oil, and lays out his investing strategy for this period of market uncertainty.

The Gold Report: For more than a decade, you led Morgan Stanley Investment Management's global investment strategy; now you own your own research firm based on your observations of the industry for more than 50 years. How do you explain the volatility in the markets right now and how should investors position themselves to prepare for what is coming?

Joe McAlinden: It has been a wonderful bull market, a wild ride going all the way back to 2007 when the market made its top. That was followed by a horrendous plunge. We've not only made that back, but the market has reached highs that were 36% above the 2007 highs. I had been concerned recently, however, that price-earnings ratios have become elevated and we are seeing other spooky similarities to the conditions that prevailed prior to the 1987 crash, including the absence of a more than a 10% correction for three years and a breakdown of small-cap stocks. The market could be vulnerable to some kind of major shock. I believe that the big shock is only beginning to unfold and that as it does, this correction will get considerably worse, perhaps double what we've had so far and maybe even worse than that.

TGR: What do you think the market expects the Federal Reserve Board to do? [Read more...]

Article source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/theaureport/Ajgh/~3/morCECMRT5A/16769

It's Not Over…

I believe that the "dead cat bounce" I discussed last week has occurred with the market action seen late last week. Many of the major indices have rallied back to their Fibonacci resistance levels which should hold the markets' upward momentum, at least in the short term.

If you're not familiar with our Fibonacci tool, you can learn about it right here.

Another big negative for the markets is that many of the world indices had their worst month in three years. Unless there is a miracle today, it would appear as though the month of August is going to go into the minus column for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

There is an old trading maxim which you may have heard, "don't try to catch a falling knife," that should be every investors' mantra for September.

One of the problems overhanging the market right now has to be the Fed and if they are going to raise interest rates in September. This uncertainty is not a good thing for the market and it would appear as though the Fed and the rest of the Central Banks are pretty much out of bullets in terms of helping the economy and the markets. [Read more...]

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