What Are The Big Trends?

Today, the last trading day of May, I'm going to be looking at where the markets are in comparison to the last trading day of April.

Traders sometimes lose sight of the big picture and big market trends. That's where the monthly charts come in and are so useful.

If you just look at the action today you might think the general market was down for the month. The reality is that it's not down and is higher for the month. At the time of this writing, the S&P 500 index is up 1% for the month. The NASDAQ is doing even better and is up 2.4% for the month of May. The DOW is also positive with a gain of 1.3%. In fact, if you look at the charts, the S&P 500 is going to close at an all time monthly high - if nothing dramatically changes from now until the close. The same holds true for the NASDAQ which will be closing at its best levels ever on a monthly basis. Continue reading "What Are The Big Trends?"

HUI, Gold & Silver; Fun With Monthly Charts

Outside of the sound practice that is physical gold ownership in a time of monetary gamesmanship, the precious metals sector is all about speculation, at least according to 9 out of 10 chart jockeys and momentum junkies micro managing every short-term twist and turn.

Indeed, NFTRH manages gold, silver and the gold stocks on down to the short-term views as well, but that is only because the long-term views have stated that this is a time to be paying attention.  Do we pay attention because we have waited so long to promote our orthodoxy and finally be right as gold bugs?  No.  We pay attention when a chart tells us to pay attention.

While we manage the shorter-term views (both macro fundamental and technical) rigorously in the weekly report and interim updates, here I’d like to dial out to the big monthly picture with 3 large (click to expand as needed) charts of HUI, Gold and Silver to see their stories, which are the reasons we are managing shorter-term views.

HUI Gold Bugs Index

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First HUI monthly reviews the warnings to the analysis from 2012 and 2013.  They were very clear and should have kept people out of much of harm’s way with respect to gold stock speculation. Continue reading "HUI, Gold & Silver; Fun With Monthly Charts"