Is Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) A Smart Takeover?

Aibek Burabayev - Contributor - Metals

Back in September, I wrote that the Stillwater Mining’s stock price was under pressure amid a weakening Platinum. The metal’s price action signaled that another drop below $1000 was in the cards. Indeed the metal price has lost “one digit” sinking to a low of $890 last month from the $1030 level when I wrote the post.

Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) followed the metal’s drop and fell from $12.43 to $11.19 last October, but then it started to rocket higher and hit the 2-year maximum at the $17.50 level last December despite the new low in the platinum price. The clear answer to this contradiction in the metal and stock price behavior came on the 9th of December, 2016. That day, “The Last Mohican” of pure American platinum-group metals (PGM) producers announced that it would be acquired by a South African company for $2.2 billion in a deal that requires U.S. government approval. The purchase price was set at $18 per share and this explains the robust growth of the stock price on the market. Continue reading "Is Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) A Smart Takeover?"

Stillwater Is Under Pressure As Platinum Can Lose One Digit

Aibek Burabayev - Contributor - Metals

Chart 1. Platinum Monthly: Roller-Coaster

Platinum Monthly Chart
Chart courtesy of

Platinum booked an almost 50% gain from the bottom at $811 level in January 2016 to the top at $1194 level last month as falling crude oil spurred the demand for cars especially with large engines which in its turn lifted the demand for catalysts. As you can see, there is always a winner if there is a loser.

Those magical days for the metal are gone the same peak month in August, and the price painfully lost $150 from the top as the price was rejected by the upper side of the red multi-year downtrend. This month we can see that the market was trying to climb back to the upside as the candle has a long upper wick but failed to grasp the gains and slid down to the black vertical support. The price has started to drill it already, and it’s highly probable that we can witness the break this month. The break and close below $1020 would confirm the break. The next stop could be only at the June’s low at the $952 mark where the metal would lose one digit and will only have a 3-digit price. Continue reading "Stillwater Is Under Pressure As Platinum Can Lose One Digit"

Metals Illustrated: Past And Future

Aibek Burabayev - Contributor - Metals

In my first post this year I will show you how metals have been moving the last 5 years and which levels you should watch in 2016 to be ready for actions. More illustrations, fewer words are ahead.

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years
Diagram by Aibek Burabayev; data courtesy of

Out of the past 5 years the following two years are outstanding: in 2012 all metals were in green and showed from 6% to 9% positive dynamics, and last year was totally red with double-digit percentage negative dynamics. Continue reading "Metals Illustrated: Past And Future"