S&P 500
1922.08
-29.05 -1.49%
Dow Indu
16106.85
-267.91 -1.64%
Nasdaq
4687.36
-46.14 -0.97%
Crude Oil
46.26
-0.49 -1.05%
Gold
1119.65
-4.70 -0.42%
Euro
1.109865
-0.002815 -0.25%
US Dollar
96.330
-0.077 -0.10%
Weak

Hedge Your Dollars With Pounds?

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


Which currency is set to outperform? Is it the US Dollar or the Pound Sterling? Consider if you will that, despite some notable headwinds, the Fed is moving closer to a rate hike. For many, that suggests the Dollar as the best bet for the next 12 months. Especially with unemployment at 5.3% and core CPI now rebounding to 1.8% Year on Year. Yet some US data releases are still only "mildly" positive; for example gains in wages, slowed from 2.3% to just 2%.

On the other side of the Atlantic the Bank of England has signaled that it's warming up towards a rate hike, too. Yet, unlike in the US, gains in wages have been rising by 3.2% Year on Year. Moreover, GDP has been growing at a pace of 0.4% (QoQ) in Q1, far better than the negative figure posted by the US. So is the Sterling looking better than the Dollar? Not exactly. Then is the Dollar looking better than Sterling? The answer is, once again, not exactly. But here's the thing. [Read more...]

Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011

It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an "expert" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year.

It's time to kiss those predictions goodbye.

I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not quite how the markets work. You see, markets don't give a "Rats A**" about what forecasters say or what predictions economists make. The market is the only true voice out there.

Think about that for a moment. How many predictions do you remember that were even close to being spot on a year in advance? I remember several forecasts for 2010 and most of them were far from accurate.

Does it make any sense to trade on a year-end forecast, not knowing what can happen in this crazy world we live in? It doesn't make any sense to me or to other professional traders who never trade based on year-end predictions.

So let's get back to reality and take a look back on 2010 to see what the big trends are showing for 2011.

[Read more...]

Is it time for the dollar index to rally?

The dollar index, which put in a strong performance in the first six months of the year, pulled back from its recent highs and appears to be in defensive mode.

If you are not familiar with the US dollar index (USDX), it is an index, or measure, of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.

Its weighted geometric mean of the dollar's value is compared with these currencies in the following percentages:
* Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
*Japanese Yen (JPY), 13.6% weight

* Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
* Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
* Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
* Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight

In this short educational video, I point out what we see in the dollar index and the reason why we think a potential rally may be in the foreseeable future.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need for registration.

If you'd like to make a comment on this or any of our videos, please go to the Trader's Blog and let us know your thoughts.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

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