Gold & Silver: Beware Of Correction

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


What goes up should come down. The precious metals are in a good bullish move, but one should be prepared for the possible downside corrections ahead as the natural phases of market cycles change again and again.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Channel’s Top Hurdle

Daily Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

When it comes to money, people start to excel in math, even if they didn’t in school. And so did I when it came to the market analysis, I started to understand both the beauty and power of geometry in the trends even though I didn’t like this subject in the school.

The price of gold made a tiny puncture on the upper side of the blue ascending channel but then retraced to close below it It’s another illustration of how powerful the trend channels can be. However, even if it gets broken, again, it will add more value as evidence of an even stronger price move.

There's almost $17 left for gold to hit the previous major top, but it vanished behind the channel’s top as does a setting sun behind the mountains. What’s next? It’s the perpetual question in the markets. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Beware Of Correction"

Gold & Silver: Gold Breaks Up As Silver Licks Wounds

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The broad weakness of the U.S. dollar supported precious metals and currencies. Gold has been saved from silver's Flash Crash destiny so far. Below are the updated charts for gold and silver.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Breaking Upside

Daily Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The experimental clone chart for gold that I posted in April amazingly finished its move down as planned although later than expected. The anticipated reverse to the upside followed the end of the consolidation highlighted with the gray rectangle. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Gold Breaks Up As Silver Licks Wounds"

Gold & Silver: Time Machine

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The Time Machine is the dream of many (especially those who bet on sports) and I’m excited to see if we will be able to travel through time shortly as physics scientists confirmed that it is possible. In the meantime, we could profit or at least be prepared for the future using the market’s time machine.

Last week a textbook example of a “Flash Crash” occurred in the silver market when the price dropped almost 2 dollars (10%) within a minute! It’s amazing that gold was untouched by this event creating an arbitrage opportunity as all discrepancies are subject to speculative trading. That’s why I put the silver analysis first this time to show the map for a possible gold move. By the way, it is quite often that silver is the principal instrument for market movement as it has less liquidity and therefore more opportunities for market “gangsters” or “pirates” to attack it.

Chart 1. Silver Daily

Daily Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

After silver breached the previous major low established last December at the $15.64 mark the map has changed. What was tagged as a first move up turned out to be a tiny countertrend conjunctive move within the small complex correction contoured with the red downtrend. The Flash Crash drop almost reached the downside of the red channel, which could finish that small complex correction. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Time Machine"

Gold & Silver: History May Repeat

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


People record history from ancient times only to find that nothing is new in this world and everything repeats in cycles, waves, high and low tides, and therefore it is quite useful to have those historical records to project the future as it is another human propensity.

It is always a big challenge to be the first in doing something as you face uncertainty, and those who go next can learn from the achievements and mistakes of the pioneers. A few days ago, my eyes caught an interesting similarity in the chart history of gold’s price, which could give us a clue of an upcoming price development and I am happy to share it with you below.

As you may already notice from time to time I post different experimental charts, which use a variety of uncommon approaches in analyzing the markets to expand the scope of our vision. In this post I used the clones of the historic moves, which could shed light upon future moves.

I squeezed the charts to let both legs of the current upside move to fit in the snapshots, that’s why I would recommend you to open both graphs in a separate window for a comfortable view. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: History May Repeat"

Gold & Silver: Gold Is Looking For Support As Silver Is Testing Resistance

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


We've entered the period where patience is paid generously as it is too early to buy the gold now and too late to buy the flying silver. I don't recommend a countertrend sell as corrections are very tricky and require an extensive experience. It is good just to sit back and watch the price action.

Chart 1. Gold Vs Silver 4H: Huge Divergence

4 Hour Chart Gold vs. Silver
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I refreshed the previous comparison chart, which starts from the low in the gold price established on the 10th of March.

Last week the gap between these top metals only widened with silver's gain almost exceeding two times that for the gold. The Gold/Silver ratio dropped severely from the 71.3 oz top (March, 23) to the 68.4 oz close last week losing almost all of the gains achieved in March. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Gold Is Looking For Support As Silver Is Testing Resistance"