Pendulum Experiment No.3: An Early Victory!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In the blink of an eye, we have reached the middle of the year, and it’s time to see how our third Pendulum experiment worked out.

I’ll start with the poll results from 6 months ago that show your bets.

Chart 1. Poll results

INO Poll Results
Graph courtesy of INO.com

The majority of you bet on Silver, and you won as you can see in the chart below. It looks like the Nikkei index is not your star whatsoever. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment No.3: An Early Victory!"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been a Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the April contract settled last Friday in New York at 35.92 while currently trading at 38.90 a barrel up around $3 for the trading week continuing its bullish momentum as prices have now hit a 9 week high. Crude is trading above its 20 day but right at its 100 day moving average as the trend is still relatively mixed in my opinion as the commodity markets in general have all bottomed out as volatility certainly has come back into the currency market pushing the commodity markets like a yo-yo in recent weeks. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

The monthly unemployment report came out at this morning stating that we added 203, 000 new jobs which was construed very bullish sending the stock market higher and gold lower due to the fact of tapering possibly happening as soon as March as the unemployment rate is now 7.0% as traders see no reasonable to own gold as the economy here in the United States and around the world are improving dramatically sending the S&P right near record highs once again today and selling off gold by $4 at 1,228 currently here on the night session this Friday afternoon in New York. Gold is trading below its 20 & 100 day moving average continuing its bearish trend hitting a 5 month low with major support at 1,210 which was hit twice this week and rebounded but it looks to me that we almost certainly have to retest 1,180 which was last summer’s low.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Cotton Futures-- The cotton market continues its downward trend finishing lower for the 9th consecutive trading session in New York breaking major support at 78 currently trading at 76.65 trading below its 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a new 10 month low and in my opinion prices are possibly heading down the 70 in the next several weeks. The problem with cotton as with many of the soft commodities as there is very little demand at this time continuing to pressure prices & I recommended selling this market when it broke 82 and this has been successful trade at this point but remember to place your stop above the 10 day high in case the trend changes but I do believe prices are headed substantially lower as harvest is progressing on a daily basis bringing in more and more supply. The chart structure in cotton when prices broke out at 82 was outstanding risking around $1,200 at that time so I hope some people are listening out there and continue to stay short as prices are still expensive in my opinion. TREND: LOWER –CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Cotton Futures-- Cotton futures for the December contract was down sharply this week settling at 83.11 last Friday down over 375 points this week in New York continuing its bearish momentum after breaking down at 82 last week currently trading at 79.30 basically unchanged this Friday afternoon. Prices are still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a 9 month low & I’m still recommending a short position placing your stop above the 10 day high which at the time was about a $1200 risk but at today’s current price is around $2,500 remembering cotton is a very large contract. In my opinion it looks that cotton prices will retest the 78 level possibly even heading lower as there is weakening demand & excellent crops around the world pushing up supplies at this time despite the fact that the U.S dollar hit a 1 1/2 year low having very little effect on cotton prices at this time. The USDA will come out with crop estimates next week and it’s been quite some time for fresh news to appear due to the government shutdown and that should guide short-term price direction. TREND: LOWER –CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery"