It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an "expert" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year.
It's time to kiss those predictions goodbye.
I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not quite how the markets work. You see, markets don't give a "Rats A**" about what forecasters say or what predictions economists make. The market is the only true voice out there.
Think about that for a moment. How many predictions do you remember that were even close to being spot on a year in advance? I remember several forecasts for 2010 and most of them were far from accurate.
Does it make any sense to trade on a year-end forecast, not knowing what can happen in this crazy world we live in? It doesn't make any sense to me or to other professional traders who never trade based on year-end predictions.
So let's get back to reality and take a look back on 2010 to see what the big trends are showing for 2011.
Continue reading "Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011"
The dollar index, which put in a strong performance in the first six months of the year, pulled back from its recent highs and appears to be in defensive mode.
If you are not familiar with the US dollar index (USDX), it is an index, or measure, of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Its weighted geometric mean of the dollar's value is compared with these currencies in the following percentages:
* Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
*Japanese Yen (JPY), 13.6% weight
* Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
* Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
* Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
* Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
In this short educational video, I point out what we see in the dollar index and the reason why we think a potential rally may be in the foreseeable future.
As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need for registration.
If you'd like to make a comment on this or any of our videos, please go to the Trader's Blog and let us know your thoughts.
All the best,
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub