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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

As I talked about in yesterday’s blog I am telling investors to remain neutral as I do believe gold prices will remain choppy to lower for the rest of 2014 as prices rallied $9 to trade around $1,200 per ounce as extreme volatility has entered this market and I think today’s price action was very impressive due to the fact that the U.S dollar was up over 50 points which is generally very bearish precious metals, however China cut their interest rate pushing many commodities prices higher. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but below their 100 day moving average moving higher despite the fact that the ECB looks like they’re going to utilize more stimulus which is remarkable in my opinion as I do think if the U.S dollar continues to move higher eventually that will be very bearish gold prices so sit on the sidelines as you do not want to trade a choppy market. This market is extremely volatile with big up price swings and down swings so avoid and move on to a trendy market like the S&P 500. Volatility in gold is amazing lately with many days of a $30 – $50 trading range which is incredible going into the holiday season, however if you remember last year gold’s low was near December 31st and we opened up the next day around $20 higher and I think the same thing will happen because of the fact that stock sales which are losers are sold to offset winning trades come the month of December so I still look for another leg down but still would sit on the sidelines at the current time.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract had a wild trading session this Friday afternoon in New York trading as low as 1,146 down over $20 only to explode higher finishing up $29 to close around 1,190 in one of the wildest trading days I can remember, as prices hit a 2 week high. If you are currently short this market I would exit at the 10 day high which occurred today so currently I’m neutral this market sitting on the sidelines as I still think gold prices are headed lower for the remainder of 2014 as money flows will continue into the S&P 500 in my opinion, however when prices hit a 2 week high it’s time to move on and sit on the sidelines and wait for another trend to develop. The U.S dollar was sharply higher this morning which caused precious metal prices to be sharply lower in early trade, however the U.S dollar sold off somewhat closing up around 20 points as massive short covering in my opinion is what’s to blame for today’s price action. The trend now in gold is choppy to neutral as volatility is extremely high at the current time so make sure you use the proper amount of contracts making sure that you risk 2% of your account balance on any given trade as 1,200 is the next resistance level in the December contract.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract rallied sharply this Friday afternoon closing up $27 an ounce to finish at $1,170 after falling over 100 dollars in the last 2 weeks as massive profit taking sent prices to the upside as prices are still trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average settling last week at 1,170 finishing basically unchanged which is amazing in my opinion as Fridays come back was remarkable rallying over $40 from session lows. Gold prices are trading right near a 5 year low as major support is around 1,100 as the chart structure is awful at this time so I’m advising clients to stay away as the 10 day high is too far away with too much risk as the U.S dollar continues to move higher pressuring many commodities especially the precious metals but wait for the chart structure to improve reducing monetary risk.

I’m certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in gold as I believe the stock market will continue to grind higher for the rest of 2014 as money flows will continue to pour into equities and out of the precious metals so look for opportunities to sell while placing your stop above the 10 day high make sure that you only risk 2% of your account value on any given trade as volatility is extremely high as I think today’s action was just a kick back in price which was probably overdue.

If you really think about it what’s the reason to own gold at this time as equities continue to trade at all-time highs while paying dividends in many sectors were as gold is used as an inflation hedge and at this point in time deflation is a problem not inflation so avoid this market to the upside and take advantage of any rally to get short
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average plummeting for the 2nd consecutive trading session down another $30 at 1,168 an ounce hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the Japanese government stated that they are going to engage into more quantitative easing sending the Japanese Yen sharply lower against the U.S dollar therefore pressuring the precious metals today. Gold futures settled around 1,231 last Friday finishing down around $60 dollars as the trend is clearly to the downside, however the chart structure is very poor at the current time so I’m sitting on the sidelines in this market, however I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in the gold market as prices go lower in my opinion with a possible retest of $1,100 here in the near future. All of the interest is back into the S&P 500 once again as the stock market hit an all-time high as money is flowing out of the precious metals and many of the commodity markets and putting it back to work in the stock market and I don’t think that trend will end any time soon as the months of November and December are historically bullish for the S&P 500 and bearish for the gold market so continue to play this to the downside and take advantage of any rally making sure that you place the proper stop loss. As I had written in previous blogs I was always concerned of the fact that gold prices were not rallying with all the problems with Isis and numerous other catastrophes throughout the world & that made me nervous as prices now look very weak as there is no reason to own gold at the current moment.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the December contract are down $1 at 81.00 a barrel trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday at $82 down about $1.00 for the trading week hitting new multiyear lows as the oversupply situation continues to pressure prices to the downside. The chart structure in crude oil was terrible at the time of the breakout as I’ve been sitting on the sidelines, however I have not been recommending any type of bullish position in this market as I do think prices are headed lower and if you are short this market I would place my stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 85.13 as the chart structure is improving dramatically on a daily basis as a strong U.S dollar and record U.S supplies continue to put pressure on prices here in the short term. The fact that prices don’t have the giant spike ups due to the fact of turmoil in the Mid-East is a great thing as the United States in my opinion does not rely on Mid East oil like we used to so continue to sell rallies while placing the proper stop loss at 85.13 which is around $4,000 or $4 from today’s price levels as there is a high possibility that prices will trade down to the $75 level or even lower especially if the supply situation increases over the next several months as we are entering the non-demand season of winter. Saudi Arabia last week announced that they will not cut production as they are trying to squeeze U.S refineries to slow down their production because of lower prices hurting margins, however it doesn’t seem to be working at the current time as the trend is your friend in the commodity markets so continue to short this market.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the November contract had a wild trading week in New York currently trading at $83 a barrel after settling last Friday at 85.82 as prices actually breached the $80 mark before reversing in yesterday’s trade to settle down nearly $3 for the trading week. Crude oil futures are trading below their 20 day and $13 below their 100 day moving average telling you the trend is clearly bearish and if you are short this market place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 90.75 and that stop will be lowered on a daily basis as I missed this market and am currently sitting on the sidelines as the chart structure was awful when the breakout occurred so I’m kicking myself at the current time. I definitely am not recommending any type of long position in crude oil as I think prices will continue to head lower especially with Saudi Arabia coming out stating that they will not cut production as they are looking for lower prices to squeeze U.S output as this market still has further to go in my opinion and 79.78 in yesterday’s trade will be retested once again so continue to take advantage of any rally making sure you place the proper stop loss also maintaining a proper risk management of 2% of your account balance on any given trade. Crude oil prices have dropped from $104 a barrel in late June to today’s price levels dropping over $20 or 20% as consumers will definitely benefit when they hit their local gas stations and that should also help improve the U.S economy. The fundamentals in crude oil are extremely bearish as worldwide supplies are extremely high while supplies here in the United States are at record highs so it’s very difficult to rally as we don’t have the spike up in price like we used to when Middle East conflicts erupted which is a good thing for the United States.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures had a volatile trading week in New York still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday at 16.83 while trading this afternoon at 17.30 spiking $.50 higher on Wednesday due to the fact that the Federal Reserve basically stated that they will continue to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future sending the precious metals sharply higher, however they are unable to sustain those levels as silver prices are currently trading lower by 10 cents. If you took the original recommendation selling at 20.44 several months back continue to place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 17.72 which is only about $.40 or $2,000 risk per contract at these price levels as the chart structure has improved dramatically allowing you to place tight stops minimizing monetary risk. Many of the commodity markets continue to move lower, however the U.S dollar reacted negatively to the Federal Reserve statements helping prop up silver prices but I do think the U.S dollar is in a long-term bull trend so I still look for lower silver prices ahead so continue to place the proper stop making sure you risk 2% of your account balance on any given trade.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: OUTSTANDING
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the December contract settled last Friday at 17.53 currently trading at 16.75 down about $.30 in New York this Friday afternoon as the U.S dollar is up over 100 points this afternoon sending the precious metals sharply lower as silver has hit a 5 year low and if you took my original recommendation selling at the 4 week low of 20.44 continue to place your stop at the 10 day high which stands at 18.00 as the chart structure will improve on a daily basis. I remain very pessimistic silver prices and I do think that prices will continue their downtrend as the U.S dollar is very strong to the upside and I do not believe that trend is going to reverse so continue to sell rallies in this market placing the proper stop loss as the commodity markets in general over the last several months have been very pessimistic and I don’t think the bottom has occurred. Silver futures are trading far below their 20 & 100 day moving average continuing to grind lower as deflation in Europe and around the world is a real concern and that is also helping put pressure on prices here in the short term as nobody wants to step in front of a falling knife and that’s what’s occurring at this time as platinum prices are down another $45 this afternoon. I’ve been trading commodities for over 20 years and the one lesson I try to harp on is the fact that you must be a trend follower & the trend is to the downside because it’s easier to trade with the path of least resistance rather than trying to pick a top or bottom.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday at 17.84 going out this Friday in New York around 17.55 finishing down about $.30 hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the U.S dollar continues to pressure silver and the rest of the precious metal complex. If you took my original recommendation several months back when prices broke 20.44 which was the 4 week low continue to place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 18.85 and that will start to improve late next week as the chart structure will tighten up, but I still believe prices look vulnerable even at these multi-year lows. The trend is your friend in the commodity markets and the trend in the U.S dollar is clearly higher and that’s pessimistic all commodity prices, but if you have missed this trend sit on the sidelines as you have missed the boat as you do not want to chase markets that is why I like to find the trend as early as possible as my rule states a 4 week high or a 4 week low has to occur before entering.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
[Read more...]

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract continued their bearish trend down another $7 this afternoon in New York currently trading at 1,220 an ounce trading far below their 20 & 100 day moving average as I’ve been recommending a short position when gold prices broke 1,278 which was the 4 week low at the time and if you took that recommendation make sure you place your stop above the 10 day high as I think there’s a high probability that prices will retest December 31st 2013th low of 1,186 in the coming months. The U.S dollar continues to make new highs against the foreign currencies which is very pessimistic gold prices also due to the fact that the Federal Reserve is ending quantitative easing as there is very little bullish fundamental news as all the interest currently is in the S&P 500 which is hitting another all-time high so continue to play this to the downside and if you are not in this market on the short side sit on the sidelines and look for any rally to get short while placing your proper stop loss of 2% of your account balance on any given trade.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
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