Top China Stock Picks to Buy Amid Economic Boom

Posted on by The INO.com Team

China's economy surged beyond projections at the start of 2024, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) escalating by 5.3% in the first quarter, an increase from the previous quarter's 5.2%, as the National Bureau of Statistics reported. The world's second-largest economy embraced a familiar strategy: significant investment in its manufacturing domain to invigorate growth.

This included a spree of new factories, propelling global sales of solar panels, electric vehicles, and various other products. Industrial production saw a 6.1% leap in the first quarter compared to the previous year, driven by robust expansion in high-tech manufacturing.

Notably, the production of 3D printing equipment, electric vehicle charging stations, and electronic components surged by approximately 40% year-on-year. Moreover, last month, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) expanded for the first time in six months, while the Caixin/S&P PMI reached its highest level in over a year, buoyed by increased overseas demand.

That said, China has established an annual growth target of approximately 5% for 2024. Additionally, authorities have implemented interest rate cuts to stimulate bank lending and expedited central government spending to bolster infrastructure investment.

Given this backdrop, investors can leverage the economy's solid momentum by considering buying fundamentally robust Chinese stocks poised to deliver substantial returns.

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD), the e-commerce operator behind Pinduoduo and Temu, has rocked both the Chinese and U.S. e-commerce sectors with outstanding earnings and upbeat long-term prospects. The company primarily focuses on bringing businesses and people into the digital economy. Its market capitalization stands at $164.93 billion.

For the fourth quarter that ended December 31, 2023, PDD’s total revenues increased 123.2% year-over-year to $12.52 billion. Its non-GAAP operating profit rose 146% from the year-ago value to $3.46 billion. Its non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders and non-GAAP earnings per ADS were $3.59 billion and $2.40, up 110.4% and 71.7% year-over-year, respectively.

Furthermore, cash inflows from operating activities for the quarter came in at $5.20 billion, an increase of 38.9% from the prior year’s quarter, primarily due to the surge in net income. Such financial prowess solidifies the company’s position in the market and sets a high bar for competitors.

Lei Chen, co-CEO of PDD, hailed 2023 as a “pivotal chapter,” attributing Pinduoduo's resilience in a sluggish Chinese economy and Temu’s burgeoning popularity in the U.S. to the company's strategic prowess. As Pinduoduo's affordable offerings resonate with value-conscious consumers amid economic uncertainties, the company's trajectory is becoming even more compelling.

Looking ahead, analysts expect PDD’s revenue to increase 97.8% year-over-year to $10.54 billion for the first quarter ended March 2024, and its EPS is expected to grow 47.8% year-over-year to $1.45. Moreover, the company has an impressive earnings surprise history as it surpassed consensus revenue and EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters.

Furthermore, for the fiscal year 2024, Street expects PDD’s revenue and EPS to increase 49.4% and 30.9% from the prior year to $51.37 billion and $8.45, respectively.

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU)

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU), a Chinese tech company specializing in Internet-related services, products, and artificial intelligence (AI), recently unveiled an array of cutting-edge AI models and toolkits. These advancements democratize AI development, empowering individuals of all skill levels to create transformative applications, a move poised to elevate BIDU's standing in the AI arena significantly.

One standout is ERNIE, BIDU's flagship AI model, renowned for its versatility across various applications. ERNIE Bot, a conversational AI bot built on this framework, has swiftly garnered 200 million users since its launch in March 2023, handling a staggering 200 million daily queries.

Baidu Comate, another innovation powered by ERNIE, has catalyzed innovation by contributing to 27% of new code within BIDU, serving over 10,000 companies, with an impressive 46% adoption rate. Additionally, Qianfan, BIDU AI Cloud's FM platform, has enabled over 85,000 enterprises to develop 190,000 AI applications, showcasing BIDU's wide-reaching impact in the industry.

BIDU's financial performance mirrors these technological triumphs. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, the company’s revenue grew 5.7% year-over-year to $4.92 billion. Its non-GAAP operating income surged by 8.9% from the year-ago value to $996 million, and its non-GAAP net income experienced a 44.4% year-over-year growth, reaching $1.09 billion.

Moreover, BIDU’s adjusted EBITDA showed significant improvement, increasing by 10% year-over-year to $1.28 billion.

Analysts foresee a promising growth trajectory for BIDU. Wall Street expects the company’s revenue to increase 6.3% year-over-year to $19.87 billion for the fiscal year ending in December 2024, accompanied by an estimated EPS of $10.74. Furthermore, BIDU surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters, which is remarkable.

For the fiscal year 2025, the company’s revenue and EPS are anticipated to grow 7.9% and 10% year-over-year to $21.43 billion and $11.82, respectively. These optimistic projections underscore BIDU's unwavering commitment to innovation and its potential for sustained success in the dynamic landscape of AI technology.

Baozun Inc. (BZUN)

Baozun Inc. (BZUN), a premier brand e-commerce solution provider and digital commerce enabler, has fortified omnichannel capabilities and expanded core product categories through high-level engagements. Collaborating with brand partners and key marketplaces, the company has crafted effective go-to-market strategies, acquiring over 50 new brands in 2023.

Implementing a new store concept transitioning from large-scale to boutique formats, BZUN enhances brand DNA and fosters immersive brand experiences beyond mere commercial transactions. In-store pop-ups and campaigns are further amplifying social engagement, enriching consumer experiences.

In addition, in January, the company authorized a new share repurchase program, allowing the repurchase of up to $20 million worth of outstanding American depositary shares (ADSs) and Class A ordinary shares over the ensuing 12 months, starting January 24, 2024.

During the fiscal 2023 fourth-quarter earnings call, BZUN unveiled the inauguration of 10 new stores, including a flagship in Guangzhou, alongside expansions in Shantou, Shenzhen, and Beijing. Notably, square meter efficiency surged 50% for newly opened stores, with existing ones witnessing a remarkable 19% spike in same-store sales.

For the fourth quarter that ended December 31, 2023, BZUN reported an 8.9% year-over-year surge in total net revenues to $391.61 million, marking a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss. The company posted an adjusted operating profit for E-Commerce of $16.60 million for the quarter.

Mr. Vincent Qiu, BZUN’s Chairman and CEO, said, “In 2023, we started our transformation journey, expanding into three business divisions. Throughout the year, we solidified our leadership in the digital commerce industry, and further enhanced operational efficiency. I am grateful for the resilience and adaptability demonstrated by the Baozun team amid the ever-changing market environment.”

“Looking ahead to 2024, despite macro uncertainties, we remain committed to sustainably executing our plans with diligence and patience. The improved health of our business fundamentals gives us confidence to enhance value proposition to our brand partners,” he added.

For the fiscal year ending December 2024, Street expects BZUN’s revenue to increase 3.2% year-over-year to $1.26 billion. Similarly, the company’s revenue for the fiscal year 2025 is estimated to grow 6.9% from the previous year to $1.35 billion.

Bottom Line

While U.S. stocks may offer stability in tumultuous times, diversifying into international stocks can yield significant benefits, especially in terms of portfolio risk management and solid returns. Financial advisors often advocate for familiarity with American companies, yet venturing into global markets, particularly China, can broaden investment horizons and unlock new opportunities.

This is because China is poised to reclaim its global significance, as per Bloomberg's analysis of IMF forecasts. Projections suggest China's economic resurgence will surpass the combined growth of the G-7 nations. China is anticipated to lead with an estimated 21% contribution to global economic growth from now through 2029.

In comparison, the G-7 nations are expected to contribute approximately 20%, while the U.S. falls short with 12%, nearly half of China's projected growth. Remarkably, 75% of global growth will originate from only 20 countries, with China, India, the U.S., and Indonesia accounting for over half of this expansion.

Investors can capitalize on this dynamic economic landscape by exploring fundamentally strong Chinese stocks poised for substantial returns. Among these, PDD, with its meteoric rise in e-commerce, BIDU, leveraging cutting-edge AI innovations, and BZUN, a leading brand e-commerce solution provider, stand out.

These stocks’ impressive financial performances, strategic initiatives, and optimistic growth projections make them compelling investment options for investors seeking exposure to the thriving Chinese economy.

3 Marijuana Stocks to Watch During Shifting Legalization Policies

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In recent years, the legalization of marijuana has sparked considerable controversy. While some see it as a positive development due to its perceived medical advantages and economic potential, others are wary of associated health hazards, increased availability to minors, and the risk of addiction.

Marijuana legalization across states varies significantly, with lawmakers either fully approving its use, permitting it solely for medical purposes, or enforcing penalties, including prison sentences, for its possession.

Nevertheless, despite the mounting concerns surrounding the disadvantages associated with the legalization of marijuana, as of April 2024, 38 states have legalized marijuana for medical purposes, with 24 of them also permitting it for recreational use.

With the anticipation of more states amending their laws to favor decriminalization of the substance by next year, a substantial segment of the American population aged 21 and above will likely gain access to marijuana.

Moreover, several other countries, such as Canada, Germany, Mexico, South Africa, and Thailand, have legalized marijuana. That said, the legalization of marijuana can provide a favorable regulatory environment for cannabis companies mentioned below.

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (CURLF)

With a focus on offering high-quality cannabis products catering to diverse consumer preferences, Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (CURLF) operates across 17 states and manages around 145 dispensaries and 21 cultivation sites.

The company emphasizes its presence in densely populated states such as Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, and Pennsylvania. CURLF kicked off the year by engaging in several strategic acquisitions to expand its market presence and drive sales.

For instance, in February, CURLF’s European division announced its acquisition of Can4Med, a prominent pharmaceutical wholesaler specializing in cannabinoid medications in Poland. This strategic initiative represents a major milestone for both entities and highlights CURLF’s dedication to improving patient access to premium medical cannabis products throughout Europe.

Meanwhile, in March, CURLF agreed to acquire Northern Green Canada (NGC), a vertically integrated Canadian licensed cannabis producer. This acquisition represents another significant milestone in CURFL’s expansion strategy, particularly in Europe.

Furthermore, this acquisition enables CURLF to enhance its European margins and extend its global footprint across North America, Europe, and Australasia (Australia/New Zealand).

Besides, the company reported a modest 1.5% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter net revenue, totaling $345.27 million. CURLF reported an adjusted gross profit of $160.40 million and an adjusted gross margin of 46%. Its adjusted EBITDA rose 24.5% from the prior year’s period to $83.01 million.

Looking ahead, analysts foresee a 1% year-over-year rise in the company’s fiscal 2024 first-quarter revenue and a 26.9% year-over-year rise in its earnings per share.

Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF)

Green Thumb Industries Inc. (GTBIF) is a national cannabis consumer goods company and retailer dedicated to promoting wellness through cannabis while contributing to local communities. The company also operates a growing network of retail cannabis stores called RISE.

GTBIF has 20 manufacturing facilities, 92 retail locations, and operations across 14 U.S. markets. With a market cap of roughly $2.94 billion, the stock has surged more than 73% over the past year.

During the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter, the company witnessed a 7.3% year-over-year topline growth, reaching $278.23 million. Its attributable net income came in at $3.22 million and $0.01 per share versus a net loss of $51.23 million and $0.22 per share in the same period last year, respectively.

While reflecting on the past year's performance, GTBIF’s Chairman and CEO Ben Kovler highlighted the company’s record revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $91 million. Additionally, GTBIF generated $225 million in cash flow from operations for the full year while investing over $200 million in capital expenditures to drive future growth.

Ending the year with a robust balance sheet, including $162 million in cash, the company returned a staggering $65 million to shareholders through share buybacks and debt repurchases. Furthermore, the board approved an additional $50 million for the share repurchase program, bringing the total remaining repurchase ability to nearly $60 million.

Looking ahead to 2024 and beyond, Kovler expressed optimism, citing the company's industry-leading brands, momentum, talented team, expanding customer base, and financial flexibility as driving factors for continued success.

Wall Street analysts also appear bullish for GTBIF’s upcoming first-quarter results, predicting an 8.2% year-over-year rise in revenue and an 18.5% year-over-year surge in earnings per share.

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF)

With shares up roughly 102.6% year-to-date, Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF) has emerged as a top-tier, vertically integrated cannabis company operating across multiple states in the U.S. Its strong market presence in Arizona, Florida, and Pennsylvania forms the backbone of its operations in the Northeast, Southeast, and Southwest regions.

However, the company’s final quarter of 2023 revealed a mixed picture. TCNNF’s revenue dropped 3.7% year-over-year to $287 million. It reported an adjusted net loss of $23 million and $0.12 per share, slightly improving from a net loss of $34 million and $0.18 per share in the prior-year quarter, respectively.

On the positive side, the company’s gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 54% and 31% versus 53% and 28% in the year-ago quarter.

Despite the mixed performance, TCNNF’s CEO Kim Rivers highlighted that the company is optimally positioned to capitalize on upcoming growth catalysts buoyed by its robust cash generation and a clearly defined strategy,

For the fiscal year ending December 2023, analysts expect TCNNF’s revenue to grow 2.2% year-over-year to $1.15 billion. Similarly, the company’s revenue for the fiscal year 2025 is expected to grow 6.5% from the prior year to $1.23 billion.

Moreover, CEO Kim Rivers recently expressed gratitude for the Florida Supreme Court's affirmative ruling on the Smart & Safe Florida initiative, which has been placed on the 2024 General Election ballot. If passed, the initiative will allow adults over 21 to purchase cannabis products for personal use, a development that could potentially strengthen the company’s financial position.

Bottom Line

As marijuana legalization policies across the U.S. and worldwide undergo significant shifts, investors have a unique opportunity to capitalize on the growth potential of the cannabis industry. Amid expanding legalization efforts, leading weed companies CURLF, GTBIF, and TCNNF could experience robust growth in the upcoming quarters.

To that end, investors could keep a close eye on these cannabis stocks for potential gains.

Top AI Stocks to Buy Amidst Nvidia's Plunge

Posted on by The INO.com Team

AI stocks have surged considerably this year, fueled by remarkable growth and enthusiasm for this breakthrough technology, with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) reigning as the dominant force. Its stock soared over 50% year-to-date, propelled by robust earnings. However, recent sell-offs hint that gains were primarily sentiment-driven and vulnerable to market dynamics.

NVDA’s shares nosedived by more than 14% over the last five days, surpassing the NASDAQ Composite Index's nearly 5% drop and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index's minor decline in the same period.

When stocks like NVDA and Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) experience monumental growth, even minor setbacks trigger profit-taking, leading to cascading sell-offs. A single adverse event can snowball into significant losses as investors rush to secure profits amid fears of a bubble burst, highlighting the fragility of market sentiment.

Investor concerns have mounted as SMCI plunged by up to 21% in the last five days, reflecting apprehension about its upcoming earnings report. Although the company scheduled the release for April 30, it refrained from preannouncing earnings, unlike in January for its second-quarter results.

Typically, companies preannounce earnings when results exceed Wall Street consensus estimates. The absence of such a preannouncement from SMCI has stirred concerns on Wall Street. Analysts fear the upcoming earnings report may not match the previous quarter's robustness and could fall short of expectations.

NVDA isn’t immune to broader market sentiment despite its size and buffering impact. NVIDIA's chips are integral to SMCI's server solutions, leading investors to correlate potential weaknesses in SMCI's earnings with NVDA. 

Additionally, NVIDIA’s elevated valuation exacerbates market sensitivity. In terms of forward non-GAAP P/E, the stock trades at 30.58x, 34.1% above the industry average of 22.80x. Furthermore, its forward EV/Sales of 16.68x is 520% higher than the industry average of 2.69x, and its forward Price/Sales of 16.81x compares to the industry average of 2.69x.

Considering these factors, investors might explore alternative AI stocks poised to outperform NVDA in the near future. Amid NVDA's decline, these stocks offer diversified opportunities to capitalize on the burgeoning AI industry's growth potential.

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), a leading tech company, posted stellar results surpassing analysts’ expectations, marking another quarter of double-digit growth in top and bottom lines. For the fiscal 2024 second quarter that ended December 31, 2023, the company’s total revenue surged 17.6% year-over-year to $62.02 billion and surpassed the consensus estimate of $61.13 billion. It reported a 32.5% increase in operating income to $27.03 billion.

Further, MSFT’s EPS increased 33.2% year-over-year to $21.87 billion and $2.93. That compared to analysts’ estimate of $2.77. The solid financial performance underscores the effective execution by MSFT's sales teams and partners, driving significant market share gains.

In addition to financial success, MSFT expanded its technological capabilities during the quarter. It integrated support for OpenAI's latest models, including GPT-4 Turbo, GPT-4 with Vision, and Dall-E 3, demonstrating its commitment to innovation and staying at the forefront of AI technology.

Furthermore, MSFT secured strategic partnerships and investments, enhancing its position in key markets. The company announced a $1.5 billion investment in G42, a leading UAE-based AI technology holding company, strengthening collaboration on AI initiatives and skilling programs globally.

Moreover, MSFT deepened its collaboration with Cloud Software Group Inc. through an eight-year strategic partnership agreement. This collaboration will drive cloud and AI solutions innovation, leveraging Microsoft Azure as the preferred cloud platform.

Looking ahead, analysts expect MSFT’s revenue to increase 15.3% year-over-year to $244.34 billion for the fiscal year ending June 2024. Its EPS for the current year is expected to grow 19.3% from the previous year to $11.70. For the fiscal year 2025, the consensus revenue and EPS estimates of $279.25 billion and $13.33 indicate increases of 14.3% and 13.9%, respectively.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has spearheaded innovation in high-performance computing, graphics, and visualization technologies for over half a century. The company's recent enthusiasm revolves around the general availability of AMD Instinct MI300X accelerators, boasting industry-leading memory bandwidth performance for generative AI.

AMD has made significant strides in expanding its AI software ecosystem as well. The company has unveiled the latest version of its open-source ROCm™ 6 software stack optimized for generative AI. AI ecosystem leaders such as Databricks, Essential AI, Lamini, and OpenAI leverage AMD Instinct accelerators to provide differentiated AI solutions.

The company has also announced the AMD Ryzen 8040 Series mobile processors, featuring an integrated neural processing unit (NPU) on select models for AI. In 2022, AMD pioneered the introduction of an x86 processor with an on-chip NPU with the AMD Ryzen 7040 series mobile processors.

Furthermore, the company unveiled the AMD Ryzen 8000G Series desktop processors at CES 2024, the industry's first desktop PC processors with a dedicated AI NPU. At Microsoft Ignite, AMD and MSFT showcased how AMD Instinct MI300X accelerators, AMD EPYC CPUs, and AMD Ryzen CPUs with AI engines enable new services and compute capabilities across various domains.

Such innovative product launches have propelled AMD's financial performance. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, AMD's non-GAAP revenue increased 10.2% year-over-year to $6.17 billion. Its non-GAAP gross profit grew 9.6% from the year-ago value to $3.14 billion. Also, the company's non-GAAP net income and EPS rose 12.2% and 11.6% from the prior year's period to $1.25 billion and $0.77, respectively.

Looking ahead, for the fiscal year ending December 2024, Street anticipates AMD’s revenue to increase 13.4% year-over-year to $25.72 billion, with its EPS expected to reach $3.60, marking a 35.7% rise from the previous year. These optimistic analysts’ projections underscore AMD's position as a leader in driving innovation in the AI computing landscape.

ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)

ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) excels in cloud-based platforms revolutionizing digital enterprise operations. Its AI-driven solutions empower businesses to streamline services efficiently, commanding a significant market presence. With more than 8,100 clients, including 85% of Fortune 500 companies, NOW's impact is profound.

In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, NOW showcased exceptional performance, reporting a remarkable 27% growth in subscription revenue and closing 70 deals exceeding $1 million. Moreover, platform workflows surged by an impressive 40%, underscoring its efficacy in enhancing operational efficiency and reducing costs.

The company’s fourth-quarter revenue increased 25.6% year-over-year to $2.44 billion, with non-GAAP income from operations seeing a 31.8% uptick from the year-ago value to $717 million. Additionally, its non-GAAP net income and net income per share came in at $643 million and $3.11, up 38.6% and 36.4%, respectively, from the prior year's quarter.

Moreover, NOW is forging strategic partnerships to integrate advanced analytics and AI capabilities to deliver tailored solutions. Strategic Collaborations with DXC and Amazon Web Services exemplify its commitment to innovation, ensuring industry-specific, AI-powered applications.

By expanding its alliance with EY organization and Visa Inc. (V), NOW is poised to revolutionize AI compliance, governance, and payment services. The acquisition of UltimateSuite further strengthens its automation and AI capabilities, driving operational efficiencies.

With continued generative AI advancements, NOW anticipates a promising 25% revenue growth in 2024, offering stability and long-term growth potential. Analysts predict the company’s revenue will grow 21.4% year-over-year to $10.89 billion for the fiscal year ending December 2024, with its EPS expected to total $13.09, marking a significant 21.5% rise year-over-year.

UiPath Inc. (PATH)

UiPath Inc. (PATH) operates within the burgeoning robotic processing automation (RPA) market, offering software solutions tailored to automate administrative tasks and optimize workflow processes. With a robust clientele exceeding 2,000 customers, each investing a minimum of $100,000 annually, PATH demonstrates its pervasive presence and appeal across diverse sectors.

Remarkably, PATH witnessed a 26% increase in its customer base year-over-year among clients spending at least $1 million annually, underscoring its widespread adoption among SMEs and major corporations. The trend aligns with the escalating demand for AI-driven solutions in recent years.

In the fourth quarter that ended January 31, 2024, PATH achieved notable financial milestones, with its total revenue surging by an impressive 31.3% year-over-year, reaching $405.25 million. This substantial growth was mirrored in its non-GAAP operating income, soaring by 59.6% compared to the previous year’s period, amounting to $110.52 million.

Furthermore, PATH's non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP net income per share rose 55.4% and 53.3% year-over-year to $128.51 million and $0.23, respectively.

PATH's recent attainment of authorized status within the Federal Risk and Authorization Management Program (FedRAMP®) also signifies a pivotal milestone, poised to expand the adoption of UiPath Automation Cloud™ Public Sector within federal government agencies. This accreditation reflects PATH's commitment to enhancing operational efficiencies through AI-driven automation, particularly within the public sector.

Additionally, the extended partnership between PATH and Google Cloud heralds promising prospects for customers seeking to embark on their automation journey. With PATH now available on Google Cloud Marketplace, clients can seamlessly access PATH's Business Automation Platform, leveraging Google Cloud's robust infrastructure to deploy and scale automation initiatives effectively.

As Wall Street anticipates a 19% year-over-year revenue surge to $1.56 billion for the fiscal year ending January 2025, coupled with a 7% growth in EPS to $0.58, PATH stands poised to capitalize on its innovative solutions and strategic partnerships, further solidifying its position as a frontrunner in the RPA landscape.

Bottom Line

The artificial intelligence (AI) sector's trajectory is remarkable, with the global AI market reaching $515.31 billion in 2023 and projected to soar from $621.19 billion in 2024 to $2.74 trillion by 2032, boasting a CAGR of 20.4%. This growth is fueled by increased AI applications, partnerships, small-scale providers, evolving business structures, and personalized service demands.

However, recent market volatility has prompted caution among investors, leading to a downturn in NVDA's stock. This vulnerability highlights the fragility of sentiment-driven gains, signaling a potential turning point for the stock. Meanwhile, alternative AI stocks such as MSFT, AMD, NOW, and PATH are poised for potential growth.

MSFT has demonstrated robust financial performance and technological innovation, while AMD's advancements in AI hardware and software position it as a leader in the field. NOW's cloud-based solutions and strategic partnerships offer stability and long-term growth potential, and PATH's success in the RPA market and strategic alliances underscore its promising future.

As investors reevaluate their portfolios amid NVDA's decline, these alternative AI stocks present diversified opportunities to capitalize on the industry's continued growth.

How Investors Can Seize Opportunities in NVDA Amid Market Volatility

Posted on by The INO.com Team

According to Todd Gordon, the founder of Inside Edge Capital, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a strong buy despite a recent pullback. The chart analyst also set a target price of $1,150 for the stock.

“I say that NVDA is just resting its legs gearing up for another move, but this time it's bringing more friends along for the run. There are quite a few different names in the semi-industry setup in a similar fashion telling me that once again the chips are ready to rip,” Gordon said.

Moreover, on March 13, Bank of America maintained its buy rating on NVDA and raised its price target from $925 to $1,100. As per BofA analyst Vivek Arya, Nvidia is expected to dominate the $90 billion accelerator market in 2024, unaffected by Google’s new CPU launch.

Last month, CNBC’s Jim Cramer suggested investors welcome an impending pullback. “I think people are right to expect a pullback here,” Cramer said. “But that’s not a reason to head for the hills. Instead, you want to raise a little cash, watch the market broaden — as it is doing — and then buy your favorite tech stocks when they come down.”

In Particular, Cramer said there may be an attractive opportunity to invest in one of his favorite stocks, NVDA. He hinted at his continued support for the tech giant over the years, even when the stock witnessed significant losses. While some on Wall Street might be growing weary of AI, Cramer emphasized that the future “runs on Nvidia.”

“If you don’t own Nvidia already, you know what? You’re about to get a sale,” he stated. “And if you do own it already, just stick with it, because it’s way too hard to swap out and then swap back in at the right level.”

Shares of NVDA have surged more than 75% year-to-date and nearly 223% over the past year. However, the stock has plunged around 3% over the past month.

Now, let’s discuss in detail factors that could influence NVDA’s performance in the near term:

Fourth-Quarter Beat on Revenue and Earnings

The chip giant reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings that beat analysts’ expectations. For the quarter that ended January 28, 2024, NVDA’s non-GAAP revenue came in at $22.10 billion, surpassing analysts’ estimate of $20.55 billion. This compared to revenue of $6.05 billion in the same quarter of 2022.

The company posted a record revenue from the Data Center segment of $18.4 billion, up 409% from the year-ago value. NVIDIA achieved significant progress in this business segment. In collaboration with Google, NVDA launched optimizations across its data center and PC AI platforms for Gemma, Google’s groundbreaking open language models.

Further, the company expanded its partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to host NVIDIA® DGX™ Cloud on AWS.

Regarding technological innovations, NVIDIA introduced several groundbreaking solutions, including NVIDIA NeMo™ Retriever. It is a generative AI microservice that enables enterprises to connect custom large language models with enterprise data, delivering highly accurate responses for various AI applications.

Additionally, NVIDIA launched NVIDIA MONAI™ cloud APIs, facilitating the seamless integration of AI into medical-imaging offerings for developers and platform providers.

The company’s Gaming revenue for the quarter was $2.90 billion, up 56% year-over-year. Talking about recent developments in the Gaming division, NVIDIA launched GeForce RTX™ 40 SUPER Series GPUs, starting at $599, featuring advanced RTX™ technologies such as DLSS 3.5 Ray Reconstruction and NVIDIA Reflex for enhanced gaming experiences.

The company also introduced microservices for the NVIDIA Avatar Cloud Engine, enabling game and application developers to integrate state-of-the-art generative AI models into non-playable characters, enhancing immersion and interactivity in virtual worlds.

NVIDIA’s non-GAAP operating income increased 563.2% year-over-year to $14.75 billion. Also, the company’s non-GAAP net income grew 490.6% from the previous year’s period to $12.84 billion. It reported non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.16, compared to the consensus estimate of $4.63, and up 486% year-over-year.

Furthermore, the company’s non-GAAP free cash flow was $11.22 billion, an increase of 546.1% from the previous year’s quarter. Its total current assets stood at $44.35 billion as of January 28, 2024, compared to $23.07 billion as of January 29, 2023.

During a call with analysts, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang addressed investor concerns regarding the company's ability to sustain its current growth or sales levels throughout the year.

“Fundamentally, the conditions are excellent for continued growth” in 2025 and beyond, Huang told analysts. He added that the continued demand for the company’s GPUs would persist, driven by the adoption of generative AI and an industry-wide shift from central processors to Nvidia's accelerators.

For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, NVIDIA expects revenue of $24 billion. The company’s non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be 77%.

Recent Announcement of AI Chips During Nvidia GTC AI Conference

NVDA announced a new generation of AI chips and software tailored for running AI models during its developer's conference at SAP Center on March 18 in San Jose, California. This announcement underscores the chipmaker’s efforts to solidify its position as the go-to supplier for AI companies.

The new generation of AI graphics processors is named Blackwell. The first Blackwell chip is the GB200 and is anticipated to ship later this year. It will also be available as an entire server called the GB200 NVLink 2, combining 72 Blackwell GPUs and other Nvidia parts designed to train AI models. NVIDIA is enticing customers by offering more powerful chips to spur new orders.

The announcement comes as companies and software makers still scramble to get their hands on the current “Hopper” H100s and similar chips.

“Hopper is fantastic, but we need bigger GPUs,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said at the company’s developer conference.

Further, the tech giant unveiled revenue-generating software called NIM, which stands for Nvidia Inference Microservices, to its Nvidia enterprise software subscription. NIM simplifies using older Nvidia GPUs for inference or running AI software and will enable companies to leverage the hundreds of millions of Nvidia GPUs they already own.

According to Nvidia executives, the company is transitioning from primarily being a mercenary chip provider to becoming more of a platform provider, like Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) or Apple Inc. (AAPL), on which other firms can build software.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs retained a buy rating of NVDA stock and raised their price target to $1,000 from $875. They expressed “renewed appreciation” for Nvidia’s innovation, customer and partner relationships, and vital role in the generative AI space after the company’s keynote.

“Based on our recent industry conversations, we expect Blackwell to be the fastest ramping product in Nvidia’s history,” the analysts said. “Nvidia has played (and will continue to play) an instrumental role in democratizing AI across many industry verticals.”

Bottom Line

NVDA surpassed Wall Street’s estimates for earnings and sales in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. The chipmaker has significantly benefited from the recent technology industry obsession with large AI models, which are developed on its pricey graphics processors for servers.

Moreover, sales reported in the company’s Data Center business comprise most of its revenue. NVDA’s Data Center platform is driven by diverse drivers like demand for data processing, training and inference from large cloud-service providers, GPU-specialized ones, enterprise software, and consumer internet companies.

Further, vertical industries, led by automotive, financial services, and healthcare, are now at a multibillion-dollar level.

The data center GPU market is projected to be worth more than $63 billion by 2028, growing at a staggering CAGR of 34.6% during the forecast period (2024-2028). The increasing adoption of data center GPUs in enterprises should bode well for NVDA.

Analysts expect NVDA’s revenue and EPS for the fiscal 2025 first quarter (ending April 2024) to increase 237.7% and 405.9% year-over-year to $24.29 billion and $5.51, respectively. Moreover, the company has topped consensus revenue and EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters, which is remarkable.

Furthermore, for the fiscal year ending January 2025, the company’s revenue and EPS are expected to grow 83% and 92.1% from the prior year to $111.49 billion and $24.89, respectively.

NVDA has achieved significant progress across its business divisions, and this year, it will bring new product cycles with exceptional innovations to help boost its industry forward.

Since the AI boom began in late 2022, catalyzed by OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Nvidia’s stock has been up fivefold, and its total sales have more than tripled. The company’s high-end server GPUs are essential for training and deploying large AI models. Notably, tech companies like MSFT and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) have spent billions of dollars buying these chips.

Recently, the chipmaker announced a new generation of AI chips and software for running AI models, giving customers another reason to stick to Nvidia chips over a growing field of competitors, including Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Intel Corporation (INTC).

While NVDA’s stock has declined nearly 3% over the past month, several analysts affirmed their bullish sentiment toward the stock and see a significant upside potential, owing to its booming AI business and new innovative launches to maintain its leading position in the face of rising competition.

Given these factors, investors could consider buying NVDA for potential gains.

Identifying Opportunities in Bitcoin Amidst Market Turmoil

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The cryptocurrency market experienced heavy selling last week amid an unprecedented Iranian drone and missile attack on Israel. Bitcoin (BTC) was down nearly 8% late on Saturday as U.S. officials confirmed the ongoing attack. As one of the few risk assets trading over the weekend, digital coins reacted immediately to the escalating tensions in the Middle East.

The crypto market also faced a decline following recent data reported earlier last week that showed inflation well above the Fed's 2% target in the first quarter of the year, which was not conducive to market sentiment.

Bitcoin, which had been trading around $70,000 on Saturday evening, dropped below $62,000, according to data from the Bitstamp exchange. By Sunday morning, it had recovered slightly, trading above $64,000. Other cryptocurrencies like Ether (ETH) also saw heavy selling, falling by up to 10% in certain cases.

Zaheer Ebtikar, founder of the crypto fund Split Capital, said the crypto sell-off would continue to be “contingent on further escalation” and that people would wait to see how markets react before making more moves. He added that leverage “has gotten completely overwhelmed in the last three days, so that’s caused prices to materially deteriorate” in digital assets.

The sell-off for bitcoin marked the most significant drop in more than a year, as reported by Bloomberg, with the coin recently setting new records, driven by inflows into U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs that continue to drive the crypto’s price action.

In January this year, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved 11 spot bitcoin ETFs, which helped make investing in the cryptocurrency more accessible by bringing more investors and assets into the crypto space.

Over the past few months, the market has benefited from billions of dollars of inflows to Bitcoin ETFs, and these significant inflows supported Bitcoin’s price surge above $73,000 around mid-March. Spot bitcoin ETF amassed net inflows of around $12.1 billion at the first-quarter end, as per BitMEX Research.

Blackrock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has emerged as the top performer so far, accumulating more than $13.9 billion in inflows since trading began in January. However, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is a key outlier with flow data, experiencing outflows of around $14.7 billion due to the relatively high fees associated with the offering.

Most Anticipated Crypto Event: The Bitcoin Halving

Investors in the cryptocurrency market are eagerly looking forward to the upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled to occur on April 20, which could potentially bring positive developments. This event will reduce the rate at which new coins are generated and thus lower the available amount of new supply, cutting mining rewards to 3.125 BTC.

Bitcoin halving roughly occurs every four years. It last halved on May 11, 2020, resulting in a block reward of 6.25 BTC from 12.5 BTC.

The event, the fourth in Bitcoin’s history, with previous halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020, involves cutting miners’ rewards in half to control the introduction of new bitcoins until the maximum limit of 21 million bitcoins is reached. Historically, halving events have resulted in higher Bitcoin prices.

For instance, the first Bitcoin halving occurred in November 2012, when the block reward was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC, and Bitcoin’s price surged from $12 to over $1000 within a year.

Similar trends were observed following the second halving in July 2026, when the reward was reduced from 25 BTC to 12.5 BTC, and the price climbed from about $600 to a peak of around $20,000 in 18 months. The most recent halving occurred in May 2020.

Although the initial price impact was not as significant as in past halvings, Bitcoin gradually trended upward in the subsequent months. By early 2021, Bitcoin reached unprecedented highs, exceeding $60,000 per coin, marking a five-fold increase from its pre-halving price of approximately $12,000.

Austin Arnold, a crypto market analyst and the founder of “Altcoin Daily,” projected a doubling of Bitcoin’s price within a year post-halving, potentially reaching between $100,000 and $150,000, guided by the fundamental principle of supply and demand dynamics.

Once April began, Bitcoin immediately marched toward the $73,000 mark it hit during the bullish crypto run in March. Almost all predictions made before April revealed this would be the case, as market sentiment grew bullish before the halving. However, the latest drop is scaring some investors.

Navigating Bitcoin's Uncertain Terrain: Strategic Insights for Investors Amid Regulatory Challenges and Price Volatility

Investing in Bitcoin carries inherent risks, primarily stemming from the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Price fluctuations can be dramatic and unpredictable, impacted by several factors, from regulatory developments to market sentiment.

Economic downturns, shifts in monetary policy, and geopolitical events can influence investor sentiment toward cryptocurrencies. For instance, bitcoin significantly declined last Saturday due to escalating geopolitical tensions. Following reports of Iran launching a massive air attack on Israel, the price fell from approximately $70,000 to $62,000, a more than 10% drop, with few altcoins declining 15% or more.

However, crypto markets recovered slightly the following day on news Israel and its allies shot down over 99% of the incoming drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles. Also, Bitcoin’s latest crash demonstrates that cryptocurrencies are not even a haven during wartime.

So, an in-depth analysis of how these global factors impact the cryptocurrency market reveals a delicate interplay between economic trends and cryptocurrency valuations, emphasizing the importance of a macroeconomic perspective when investing in Bitcoin.

Tools and methods such as sentiment analysis, monitoring social media, and analyzing trends are used to assess market sentiment. Understanding market sentiment can offer investors valuable insights into potential price movements, as positive sentiment can drive prices up, while negative sentiment can trigger sell-offs.

Also, the increasing trend of institutional investment in cryptocurrencies reshapes the market landscape. This year, bitcoin surged to unprecedented levels with positive sentiment across the market, driven by institutional demand, spot Bitcoin ETFs growth, and the upcoming halving event. Although after hitting new all-time highs in March, it has seen some corrections.

To navigate uncertainties and risks, investors must adopt strategies such as diversification, implementing stop-loss orders, and maintaining a long-term perspective.

Bottom Line

The recent decline in Bitcoin due to geopolitical tensions has highlighted the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Over the past few months, the market has primarily benefited from billions of dollars of inflows to spot bitcoin ETFs. The influx of these funds contributed to boosting demand for Bitcoin, leading to a surge in its price that consistently broke records, surpassing $73,000 for the first time in history.

The latest trend reversal in Bitcoin has prompted uncertainty about future market conditions and underscores the importance of cautious investment strategies and risk management in the volatile cryptocurrency space.

It's crucial to closely monitor market trends, sentiment, and regulatory changes while avoiding excessive reliance on leverage, which can magnify losses during downturns. Diversification across different assets and maintaining a long-term perspective can also help mitigate risks and navigate through periods of market turmoil.

Overall, a prudent approach that combines careful analysis, risk assessment, and strategic decision-making is essential for investors looking to weather the challenges and capitalize on opportunities in the crypto market.