Big Surprise at NETFLIX?!?! Guess what our Trade Triangles did?

Hello fellow traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 26th of January.

NETFLIX picks up 600,000 new subscribers and
  ...
Today we look at NETFLIX (NFLX) with our Trade Triangles and see if we got this one right.  What do you think? Watch the video and decide for yourself.

3 stocks on our radar today:
JC PENNY (JCP), LSI CORP (LSI), and TERADYNE INC (TER).
MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology looks at these three stocks.

Always remember
DON'T FIGHT THE MARKET … MOVE WITH THE MARKET

Now, let's go to the charts and MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.
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S&P 500 INDEX
BIG PICTURE:  Strong Trend  +90
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bullish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

We continue to lean towards the warm side of this market and providing that the $1315 level holds up, we expect to see this market move higher in the future. We now have an upside target in the next two or three months between $1370 and $1400 for this index. That is not to say it will be straight up from here, we would expect to see pullbacks and expect the $1300 level to act as support. With all of our Trade Triangles green, a bull market is underway.  Long and Intermediate term traders should now be holding long positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
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Watch today’s S&P 500 Video Here.
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Suggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
2 x Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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SILVER (SPOT)
BIG PICTURE: Emerging Trend  +70
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bearish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

The sharp upward movement in silver yesterday was spurred by comments by Fed Chairman Bernanke. This sharp move did not change our long-term monthly Trade Triangle, which we consider to be the bigger trend in this market for long term traders. We think this market is at the top of a trading range cycle, but has not provided conclusive proof that the cycle has indeed topped out. With our long-term monthly Trade Triangle negative, we expect to see this market run out of steam around current levels. With a Chart Analysis Score for silver at +70, silver could be moving into an emerging trend. Long-term term traders should be in short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines.
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Watch today’s Silver Video Here.
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Suggested SILVER Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
Futures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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GOLD (SPOT)
BIG PICTURE: Trading Range +70
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bearish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

Comments from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke were all that was needed to push gold prices sharply higher. Yesterday's sharp upward move did not change the negative monthly Trade Triangle we have for this market. With a Chart Analysis Score of +70, gold could be developing an emerging trend to the upside. We are reluctant to chase gold at these current levels. That factor along with our monthly Trade Triangle which is still negative continues to act as an inhibitor for this market on the upside. Long-term term traders should be in short positions in gold with appropriate money management stops. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines.
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Watch today’s Gold Video Here.
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Suggested GOLD Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
Leveraged ETF’s:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
Futures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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COPPER (MARCH)
BIG PICTURE: Strong Trend +100
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bullish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

The trend is your friend and with all three of our Trade Triangles green, we expect to see this market continue to improve in the weeks and months ahead. As we have said in the past, copper generally reflects economic conditions, and as such is influenced by equity prices.  Look for support at the $3.70 level.  The market action looks as though it has created a large base to move higher in the future. Upside target zone for copper is $4.00. With a Score of +100, we are in a strong trend for this commodity.  Long and Intermediate term traders should now be holding long positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
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Watch today’s Copper Video Here.
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Suggested Copper Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long JJC)
Futures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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CRUDE OIL (MARCH)
BIG PICTURE: Trading Range -55
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bullish | Intermediate Term = Bearish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

The crude oil market continues to consolidate over the $98 level and with a Chart Analysis Score of -55 today, this market has moved into a trading range. We are longer term positive on this market, however it must move over resistance at $104 to get its upside momentum into high gear.  With our daily and monthly Trade Triangles in positive modes, we expect we will see further market consolidation in crude oil. Long-term traders should be long this market with appropriate money management stops.
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Watch today’s Crude Oil Video Here.
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Suggested Crude Oil Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
Futures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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DOLLAR INDEX
BIG PICTURE: Trading Range -60
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bullish | Intermediate Term = Bearish | Short-Term = Bearish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

It only took the Fed opening its mouth to crash the dollar.  Once again, we think that debasing the currency is a good thing for the country. This has been the policy of the United States for the past 30 years. Only our monthly Trade Triangle remains long this index and remains in a bullish mode. Long term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.
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Watch today’s Dollar Index Video Here.
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Suggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX
BIG PICTURE: Trading Range +60
TRADE TRIANGLES: Long-Term = Bearish | Intermediate Term = Bullish | Short-Term = Bullish
MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: Trading Range 50 – 65 | Emerging Trend 70 – 80 | Strong Trend 85 – 100

The market action yesterday, based on Fed speak, pushed this index over the critical $316 level. This completed a classic head and shoulders base which is capable of taking this market higher. We would now look for the $316 level to act as support. Our long term Trade Triangle remains negative for this index, while our intermediate signal is green and calling for higher prices. Long-term traders should hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
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Watch today’s REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Video Here.
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Suggested REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short CMD)
Futures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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This is Adam Hewison for MarketClub and I'll see you tomorrow, right here with my mid-day update.  Have a profitable trading day.

Take care everyone,
Adam Hewison
President INO.com and co-founder of MarketClub.com

13 thoughts on “Big Surprise at NETFLIX?!?! Guess what our Trade Triangles did?

  1. I got the parameters for the daily MACD (5,35,5) from "One Shot One Kill Trading" by John Netto. Been trading spot gold, silver and the major FX pairs with it seeing very good results. Wanted to share the wealth! Enjoy, and I recommend the book highly.

  2. I do not look short term, but I do pretend to do temporary trading just to see how I would do. I actually do very well, but I just stick with silver/gold. But, Monday, I pretended to invest in JCPenney, and Netflix.
    I would get out of JC Penney by next week, in fact, take your winnings and put it into netflix. As long as netflix can keep up their servers/business/etc. Movie download is the wave of the future. JCPenney is the next Sears.

  3. Last comment on Risk...EWA ( Australia) up almost 23% too since the low of October...just looking a bit overbought...a lot of money is flowing into Australia now.

  4. Hi Adam I think you missed it with Gold ,it is in the next up cycle ,just look at Feb to June for last 4 years

        1. Yes we must look at history as well ,Iam not a short term trader . I would like to see where I will be at end 2012

  5. FXI has cleared a key resistance point too and doing great since a few days back too! FXI + EWZ + Copper + CRB = high risk back on...JNK and LQD spreads are narrowing...I wonder if we will get whipsawed out of these positions just as fast I we got back in! Triangles doing really well on this front too...

  6. Hello to all and to Adam,

    I bought JCP yesterday too and was so happy with it's performance. When I look at it's chart it seems to me that it created a gigantic head and shoulder formation with a neckline at $34.5. With this, it seems to me that the target zone for this is $45.5, which looks like very high. Is my analysis correct?

    Thanks!

  7. Hi Adam. I bought JC Penny yesterday on your recommendation and made a very good profit. Wahoo. But what now? Would you sell and wait for it to come down a little before investing for the long term? Thanks

    1. Re: USD..."this too shall end"...never has there been a fiat currency that has survived the test of time or interventionist policies!

Comments are closed.