Hello everyone and happy Cinco de Mayo.
Let's start with Greece. It is an ongoing disaster that nobody wants to face, especially the bankers who may have to take a 50% haircut on their loans, that's if they're lucky. I think it was Citibank's former chairman, Walter Wriston, that said, "Countries don't go bankrupt." Welcome to the real world Walter. Greece is going to default or there is going to be a revolution in the country.
That leads us to the Federal Reserve. I'm not sure they fully understand and know what they're doing. I think this grand experiment of quantitative easing has gotten way out of hand. In hindsight, it looks like the Fed got the country into something that we didn't have a plan to get out of. The answer to this conundrum was always down the line and some time in the future. The Fed has had over six years to figure this out and there is still no plan to get out of it. "More data" is another way for the Fed to say, "we don’t know!" Ben Bernanke is gone and now has a new job with a hedge fund and Janet Yellen, the new Fed chairwoman, is another disciple from the same school of thought that Ben came from. So, what do you think? Do you think the Fed has any idea what it's doing?
Let's take a look at the markets. The big news is crude oil, which just cruises along to new highs. I guess all the pundits who were calling for oil to go a lot lower are now missing in action. I will also be looking at gold which has made a remarkable comeback in the last couple of days and see whether that is a harbinger of inflationary times ahead. I've said this before, the only way the Fed can get out of the pickle they are in is to inflate everything once again.
I will also check out the dollar and what it's doing, along with the major indices.
Be sure to leave a comment below this post and share with fellow members what you think of the Fed or the markets in general.
Every success with MarketClub,