All-Time High - Growth Initiatives Propelling Disney

Disney (DIS) has broken out to all-time as their growth initiatives are beginning to bear fruit with Wall Street embracing its growth strategy and rewarding shares with a higher price-to-earnings multiple. Disney is firing on all cylinders; posting one record-setting blockbuster after another, wrestling away full ownership of Hulu, launching a branded streaming service, record revenue numbers via pricing power at its Parks and Resorts and remediation of its ESPN franchise with ESPN Plus. Disney’s Avengers: Endgame is taking the torch beyond the $2 billion box office milestone, a feat that’s only been accomplished four times, one of them being Avengers: Infinity War last. Endgame has its sights set on surpassing Avatar as the highest grossing movie of all-time. All the initiatives that Disney has taken over the previous few years to restore growth appear to be coming to fruition, namely it's Fox acquisition, and it's streaming initiatives. Disney continues to invest heavily into its streaming services (Hulu, ESPN Plus, and its Disney branded streaming service) to propel its growth and presence within this space. ESPN Plus launched less than a year ago and already has over 2 million subscribers. The company is evolving to meet the new age of media consumption demands of the modern consumer via streaming and on-demand content. I’ve been behind Disney for a long time, especially through this transition back to growth when the stock traded below $100 and I still feel that the company offers a compelling long-term investment opportunity given its growth catalysts that will continue to bear fruit over the coming years. However, given that the shares are at all-time highs in the backdrop of the longest bull market in history, caution is prudent.

New Star Wars Land

Disney has finally launched its much anticipated Star Wars: Galaxy's Edge at Disneyland in Anaheim, CA, with a dedication ceremony. The festivities included CEO Bob Iger and Star Wars legends including creator George Lucas and stars Mark Hamill, Billy Dee Williams, and Harrison Ford.

“Isn’t this fantastic?” Iger said as he came out in front of the full-scale Millennium Falcon. “I have been in this job for 14 years. There are some good days, but this is right up there with the best of them.” Continue reading "All-Time High - Growth Initiatives Propelling Disney"

Stocks Eyeing Gains For The Second Week In A Row

Hello traders everywhere. After disastrous May during which major indexes lost more than 6%, U.S. stocks have clawed back much of those losses. The recent rally was sparked last week when Federal Reserve officials signaled in interviews and speeches that they are watching the risks of a sharper-than-expected economic slowdown, a sign the central bank might consider lowering interest rates in coming meetings. We are currently 5 days away from the first of those meetings, be sure to keep an eye on the headlines for potential moves in the markets.

Last week the major indexes all gained over 3.8% for the week and this week all three indexes look to post gains for the second week in a row with the S&P 500 posting a gain of +.4%, the DOW +.3%, and NASDAQ follows with a gain +.7%.

The U.S. dollar will post a weekly gain of +.9% after losing -1.07% last week. Gold continues to march higher with a weekly gain of +.6%, but it cannot compete with Bitcoin which bounced back after losing -8% last week, gaining +7% this week.

The only major market that we track to post a weekly loss is crude oil, which will lose -2.5%. That marks the third week out of the last four that oil has had a losing week.

Key Levels To Watch Next Week:

Continue reading "Stocks Eyeing Gains For The Second Week In A Row"

It's A Good Thing That Cannabis Is Still Illegal In The U.S.

Investors interested in cannabis stocks are facing some very conflicting opinions.

On one side you have the skeptics. That’s the large group of voices shouting that cannabis is the worst investment ever.

On the other side, you have the get-rich-quick crowd. That’s the group of people who are convinced that owning cannabis stocks for a few years is a quick path to riches and early retirement.

The truth usually lies somewhere in the middle – and that’s true for cannabis stocks.

I think cannabis stocks are a good investment. I also think the cannabis industry is in a position to see a big expansion in the next two years.

While that might not send cannabis stocks to the moon, I do expect it to deliver market-beating gains for the sector that could give your portfolio a very nice boost.

Cannabis Is Still Illegal in the U.S. – That’s a Good Thing for Investors

In a recent article from Kiplinger titled Buy Marijuana Stocks Now? You’d Have to Be Stoned, the author suggests that investors should avoid the sector because cannabis is still illegal on the federal level. Continue reading "It's A Good Thing That Cannabis Is Still Illegal In The U.S."

How To Own Tesla While Reducing Your Overall Risk

Shares of electric car maker Tesla Inc. (TSLA) are down nearly 50% since December of 2018. That is quite a fall and one that attracts the attention of investors looking to buy a stock after it has shed a large amount of its value in the hopes that the stock price will rebound in the future.

We have seen Tesla’s stock crash before and bounce back even higher. This gives hopes that the company can turn things around and the stock will once again see the $300 handle. Regardless though of what the stock has done in the past, anyone considering investing in Tesla today should be cautious and try to limit their risk as much as possible.

One way of doing this is by simply buying an Exchange Traded Fund, which has a position in Tesla. That way if the stock continues to crash and eventually burns, your investment doesn’t take as much of a hit as if it would if you directly purchase shares of Tesla. On the flip side, if Elon Musk stabilizes the company and investors begin to believe his story, causing Tesla to climb higher, you reap the rewards, and the ETF will also move higher. While the move higher in an ETF may not be as substantial, it would still increase in value if it held a large portion of the auto-maker.

With that in mind, let us take a look at a few different ETFs that hold varying sizes of Tesla in their portfolio’s.

The first ETF is the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), which has Tesla as its top holding. Tesla represents 9.96% of the fund’s assets. The fund has 38 different positions, which are companies that focus on disruptive and innovative firms. Despite Tesla’s poor recent performance, the fund is still up 11.64% and down just a half of a percent over the last 12 months. ARKK would see a massive move upwards if Tesla regained the value it has lost, but due to its exposure to the electric car company, if Tesla does continue to decline, ARKK will certainly take a substantial hit. Continue reading "How To Own Tesla While Reducing Your Overall Risk"

Don't Get Trapped By Recent Dollar Weakness

Last week I promised to the reader who commented on the dollar index’s strength under my silver post, that I would write a separate piece about the king currency.

Here we are, and I will start from the very long term chart, and you will see why I answered in my comment that it all depends on which time frame we are looking at as these days as the dollar index is falling. Should we worry about it?

Chart 1. Dollar Index Futures Quarterly: Correction

Dollar
Chart courtesy of STOOQ.com

This is a long-term view of the dollar as almost 50 years passed since 1971. For the whole period, the maximum price was established in 1985 when the dollar index hit 164.7. After that, it dropped like a rock down to the 78.4 in 1992. And then we can see a huge correction that had reached exactly a 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 121.5 in 2001. That strength of the dollar turned out to be short-lived as another drop followed. This time it had fallen much faster as it quickly reached the former trough and after a small consolidation, the index slid further down to a new four-decade low of 71.1 in 2008 amid the financial crisis. Continue reading "Don't Get Trapped By Recent Dollar Weakness"