Escalating Trade Tensions and Oil Production

Hello traders everywhere. The dominant topic of the week has been the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China after Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports and Beijing vowed to retaliate. But the market got a bit of a reprieve on Friday after OPEC agreed to a modest increase in crude oil production at their meeting in Vienna.

That move by OPEC helped the Dow Jones Industrial avoid what was shaping up to be it's worst daily loss (9 days) record in nearly forty years. The decision by OPEC has let the DOW post a daily gain led by the energy stocks, but it's still posting a weekly loss of -1.86% on the week, its second weekly loss of the month. Much like the DOW the S&P 500 is posting a weekly loss of -.70% and the NASDAQ has joined the weekly loss party for the first time in four weeks with a loos -.59% on recent weakness on Friday.

Trade Tensions Oil Production

Crude oil has jumped +5.6% on the week, but most of those gains are from today as it jumped +4.4% after news of the OPEC decision. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other top crude producers, meeting in Vienna, agreed to raise output from July by about 1 million barrels per day (bpd) after its de facto leader Saudi Arabia persuaded Iran to cooperate in efforts to reduce the crude price and avoid a supply shortage.

The real increase, however, will be between 600,000 to 800,000 bpd because several countries that recently suffered production declines will struggle to reach full quotas, while other producers may not be able to fill the gap in production.

Key Levels To Watch Next Week:

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Leading Cannabis Biotech Could Soar

Analysis originally distributed on Juney 13, 2018 By: Michael Vodicka of Cannabis Stock Trades

Blockbuster drugs are the holy grail of the pharmaceutical industry.

When annual sales of a hot new drug break the $1 billion mark, investors are usually rewarded with big gains.

This is what began happening in 2012 with Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD).

In 2013, the FDA approved Gilead’s hepatitis C drug Sovaldi.

In 2014, Gilead scored an FDA approval for another Hep C drug, Harvoni.

Both drugs went on to quickly hit blockbuster status – sending shares of Gilead soaring – jumping more than 200% in the next two years.

Cannabis Biotech

Today, the young cannabis industry is in hot pursuit of its first-ever cannabis blockbuster – and it looks like a winner could be crowned on June 27. Continue reading "Leading Cannabis Biotech Could Soar"

FAANG Stocks Push NASDAQ To Record High

Hello traders everywhere. The FAANG stocks, Facebook, Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, and Apple, are up between 0.2% and 3.4% on the day once again pushing the NASDAQ to a new all-time high over $7,800.00. In fact, not only is the NASDAQ posting record highs, so are Facebook, Netflix, and Amazon.

The move higher comes after the stock market was slammed on Monday and Tuesday, with the DOW erasing its year-to-date gains and presently trading lower for the year, after President Donald Trump's latest tariff threats against Chinese goods.

FAANG stocks

In other news, The 30-stock DOW is set to lose its last remaining original member, General Electric Co. (GE) The 126-year-old industrial conglomerate will be replaced by drug store retailer Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA) on June 26. Walgreens stock rose 5.3% on the news while GE stock has lost 1.5% after trading higher to start the day.

Key Levels To Watch This Week:

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US - China Trade Tensions Linger

Hello traders everywhere. On Friday, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would impose tariffs that could impact up to $50 billion worth of Chinese goods. According to Washington, the action comes "in light of China's theft of intellectual property and technology and its other unfair trade practices."

That move by President Trump prompted China to retaliate, with Beijing announcing its selection of duties on U.S. goods. The Chinese State Council's commission on tariffs and customs stated that a 25% tariff would occur in early July on $34 billion of U.S. products.

US - China Trade Tensions

The Chinese retaliation news helped to extend the Friday losses into Monday trading with the DOW dropping over 240 pts before bouncing off the lows with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ following suit.

Crude oil has bounced back from a tough Friday gaining over 2% on that day after as OPEC is said to be discussing a smaller-than-expected output increase with Russia. All eyes will be on the Friday OPEC meeting where Russia and Saudi Arabia are set to consider increases in crude oil production.

Key Events To Watch For This Week

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract are ending the week on a sour note down $26 an ounce currently trading at 1,284 filling the gap that I've talked about in previous blogs that occurred on December 21st at 1,284 as this market has now hit a 6-month low. The U.S. dollar continues to hover around its contract high as that's the main culprit for depressed prices as gold continues its bearish momentum in 2018 also pushing silver prices down $0.60 this afternoon as that is my only precious metal recommendation at the current time. Gold futures are trading under 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside breaking out of a 4-week consolidation as the volatility certainly has expanded as the entire commodity markets across the board today are lower as the Trump tariffs talks are throwing a wrench into the closet and who knows how this situation is going to end up. The next major level of support stands at 1,260 as there is still room to run to the downside in my opinion as all of the interest still remains in the U.S. equity market which is also lower today, however the NASDAQ 100 did hit all-time highs once again this week as money flows continue to come out of gold and into stocks as I don't see that situation changing as I still believe the stock market will remain strong for the rest of this year.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
VOLATILITY: INCREASING

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