Stocks Gain On Thin Trading Volume

Hello traders everywhere. The DOW came close to breaking the 25,000 level in early trading, which would have been the first time since early February that it had traded at or above that level. But it wasn't to be as it soon retreated from those highs to only be trading slightly higher on the day. The biggest contributor to sluggish trading is thin volume, overall trading volumes have been declining for some time with Friday and Monday being two of the lowest-volume days of the year at the NYSE. Have traders started the ole "Sell in May and go away" trend?

Trading Volume

The big news of the afternoon was that the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that states can allow sports betting, which gave a boost to some of the Vegas/gaming stocks. The ruling takes the U.S. a step closer to legal sports betting in numerous states, possibly even nationwide. Currently, the practice is legal only in select places such as Nevada, home to the gambling capital Las Vegas. While Nevada's Gaming Control board reported $4.8 billion in sports bets last year, the black market total is considered to be many times the legal market.

Mark Cuban told CNBC on "Squawk Alley."

"I think everyone who owns a top four professional sports team just basically saw the value of their team double," said Cuban, owner of the NBA's Dallas Mavericks.

Key Events To Watch This Week:

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,314 an ounce while currently trading at 1,321 up about $7 for the trading week still experiencing low volatility. At the present time I'm not involved in any of the precious metals but does look to me that gold may have bottomed out around the 1,300 level as that was tested on a half-dozen occasions while rallying every single time as I think the fact that crude oil prices are now at a 4 year high that will start to support the precious metals which still look cheap historically speaking. The U.S. dollar hit a four month high this week as that has been the main culprit pushing prices lower as the Iran deal was revoked and I think that will be a fundamental bullish indicator for gold and the precious metals down the road. The chart structure at the current time is improving as gold prices are at a two week high as we could be involved relatively soon, but at the current time prices are still trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is lower to mixed in my opinion. Money flows were coming out of the European countries and into the U.S dollar on fears of the Iranian deal being reversed and that has now happened as it could be "buy the rumor and sell the fact" as the U.S. dollar sold off over the last 2 trading sessions stopping the bleeding in gold prices so be patient & let's see what next week's trade brings.

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Disney's Growth and Netflix's Valuation Parity

Noah Kiedrowski - Contributor - Biotech - Disney's Growth

Content Juggernaut:

The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) just posted back-to-back record-shattering $200-plus million weekend openings at the box office in its Marvel franchise posting $202 and $258 million for Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War, respectively. Wall Street hasn’t seemed to notice nor recognize Disney’s box office feat as of late. Black Panther shattered all previous President’s Day weekend records and became the third highest grossing movie of all-time domestically and ultimately grossing $1.34 billion worldwide and becoming the eighth highest grossing movie of all-time. Avengers: Infinity War posted the biggest box office weekend of all-time with $258 million while breaking the previous record set by Star Wars: The Force Awakens by $10 million. Avengers went on to set a new worldwide record over its opening weekend, posting $630 million in box office gross. In its first 11 days of release, Avengers: Infinity War grossed over $1 billion worldwide, making it the fastest movie to reach that milestone without any help from the Chinese market. Disney is in its own league and competing with itself at the box office with its Marvel and Star Wars properties. Which begs the question, is content really king as Disney is ignored and Netflix has reached parity with Disney in terms of market capitalization?

Ant-Man and The Wasp, Solo: A Star Wars Story and The Incredibles 2 are around the corner. Meanwhile Disney's Parks and Resorts are posting strong growth while shoring up its stalling Media Networks segment with a confluence of growth catalysts via streaming with Hulu (30% stake and will likely be expanded to a majority 60% stake after the Fox acquisition), BAMTech, Sling, ESPN streaming service and a Disney branded service coming in 2019. Disney is closing the gap in streaming as Hulu grows much more rapidly than Netflix and in the backdrop, ESPN and direct to consumer Disney branded streaming service comes to fruition. Disney recently reported Q2 FY2018 revenue growth across every business segment with overall revenue growth of 9%. Disney offers a compelling long-term investment opportunity considering the growth, Fox acquisition, pipeline, Media Networks remediation plan, diversity of its portfolio, tax reform, share repurchase program and dividend growth. Continue reading "Disney's Growth and Netflix's Valuation Parity"

Weekly Gains On Tap For Stocks

Hello traders everywhere. For the first time in a few weeks, the stocks market is looking to post strong weekly gains. Friday morning kicked off with a bang as all three indexes were posting their strongest weeks since early March, but the push higher didn't last as the afternoon hit. However, it looks like they will all post weekly gains over 2% on the week. The S&P 500 and DOW both triggered new green weekly Trade Triangles on the recent market strength, but both still have red monthly Trade Triangles indicating that the overall long-term trend is still weak.

Is the dollars run over? After posting two weeks of over 1% gains, the dollar is posting its first weekly loss in three weeks with a loss of around -.10%. While it's not a huge loss, it does signal that some weakness has entered the arena after weaker than expected US inflation figures for April were reported.

Weekly Gains On Tap For Stocks

Crude oil has backed up last weeks gains with a +1.8% gain this week and continuing to trade above the $71 level. The move higher was exacerbated by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which caused concerns over potential supply disruptions down the road. Look for oil prices head higher as bulls exploit geopolitics to power the rally, but the question is, for how long?

Gold has jumped higher on the dollars recent weakness. After three straight weeks or significant losses gold is looking to close out the week higher with a +.50% gain. With geopolitical tensions gaining strength and a weakening dollar look for gold to head higher from here potentially.

Bitcoin continues to be trapped in a tight trading range, and it is posting its first weekly loss after four straight weeks of gains with a loss of -11.9%. As I've been highlighting, the 200-day MA is proving to be a tough level of resistance for Bitcoin to break and with this weeks loss the 50-day MA level of support at 8,262.19 is close to being broken to the downside.

Key Levels To Watch Next Week:

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That Elusive 3 Percent Yield

George Yacik - Contributor - Fed & Interest Rates - 3 Percent Yield

On Wednesday morning, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note moved back over 3%. In just the past five years, though, that has only happened twice before, but then only for a day or so. Is this the time the yield breaks 3% and stays there?

The most recent time before Wednesday, of course, was just two weeks ago. On April 24 the yield moved a hair above 3.0%%, then hit 3.03% the next day. It then quickly retreated below the magic number and hasn’t gone above it until now.

Before then, the last time the yield hit 3% – and I mean just – was at the very end of 2013 and the very beginning of 2014. It hovered right at 3% for a few days and then subsequently dropped sharply, eventually falling to well below 2.0% over the next year. The last time the note has been comfortably over 3% and remained there, was back in the summer of 2011.

What is it about that 3% mark that fixates investors – or rather, attracts them? Just like in 2013, that 3% figure seems to serve as a buy signal for investors.

Are they making a mistake? Is it really a buying opportunity, or just a bond market head fake? Continue reading "That Elusive 3 Percent Yield"