Tag: Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX)

Who Is Going To Bet Against George Soros?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The big question today is, who is going to say George Soros is wrong? This is the same man who bet against the Bank of England in 1993 and made over a billion dollars! That is when a billion dollars used to be worth a whole lot more than it is now.

One expression I heard many years ago in the early part of my career is, "they don't ring a bell at the top of the market." It's one of the best expressions I have ever heard in the marketplace and it's true, nobody tells you exactly when it's the top of the market.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Whether this is the top, or we are close to the top, it really is too early to say. However, there is a certain feeling in the air of uncertainty and that alone can cause stocks to go down. Continue reading "Who Is Going To Bet Against George Soros?" →

All Aboard The Gold Train

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Yesterday, the Trade Triangles issued a green weekly Trade Triangle for gold. Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) now has three green Trade Triangles indicating that it's ready for the next upward leg in this long-term bull market.

As I have pointed out before, this quarter is the highest-rated quarter with an 83% success rate for gold trades using the Trade Triangles. Let me just be clear that this does not mean that this particular trade is guaranteed to be successful, but the odds are heavily in your favor.

I've added two charts below, a daily chart and a quarterly chart to illustrate the last time gold was in a prolonged bull market. That bull market started in Q1 of 2009 and continued for 11 quarters ending in April 2011. On the quarterly chart, you will see that every quarter for those 11 quarters the market closed higher than the previous quarter. If that same scenario plays out again, gold has 9 quarters to go.

Quarterly Chart of Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO)

Key To Quarterly Chart

1) The start of the 11-quarter bull market
2) The RSI indicator moves to its highest levels in 3 years
3) Gold is 2 quarters into a long-term bull market

While the quarterly chart gives us a view of the big picture of how gold has acted in the past, the daily chart shows you how to use the Trade Triangles. For intermediate-term trading, you use the weekly Trade Triangle, which we just had a signal with yesterday, as the trend indicator and the daily Trade Triangle for exit and entry signals. If you are a long-term trader, then you want to rely on the monthly Trade Triangle, which has been positive for quite some time. Continue reading "All Aboard The Gold Train" →

It's A Leap Year So Watch Out!

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In Ireland, February 29 is Bachelor's Day - a traditional holiday when women propose to men. Scotland began the tradition in 1288 by passing a law permitting women to propose and if refused, the man had to pay a fine. Only in Europe.

Leap years are also election years, as every politician knows, four years is just enough time for the electorate to forget all their broken promises from last time around. Plus, we all must take a giant leap of faith when you go to the polls.

Okay, back to the markets. It is hard to believe that we are rapidly coming to the end of the second full trading month of 2016. The first two months have been extraordinarily volatile with triple digit swings becoming the norm. As we move into March, I expect to see the markets begin to settle down somewhat.

So what's trending so far in 2016? Continue reading "It's A Leap Year So Watch Out!" →

Can Google Overcome Apple As The Most Valuable Company In The World?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Welcome to the first day of trading in February. If it is anything like January, it's going to be quite a month.

After the close today, Alphabet, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) will announce its earnings. If it is a blowout and Google surges $25, it will then become the most valuable company in the world - not bad for a company that was founded on September 4, 1998 and has only been around for 17 years. It took Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) which was founded April 1, 1976, almost 40 years to become the world’s most valuable company.

Today, Google flashed a buy signal putting both the monthly and weekly Trade Triangles in unison. That indicates there are good odds that Google will beat its earnings estimates after the close. There are no guarantees, but the odds would favor being long Google before the close.

Let's take a look at the rest of the markets which are not having such a good time of it. The dramatic rally on the last day of trading in January was more a function of short covering than anything else. Most stocks and indices are in a longer-term bearish trend based on MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology. Continue reading "Can Google Overcome Apple As The Most Valuable Company In The World?" →

Crude Oil Crashes Through $30 And The Market Follows

Posted on by The INO.com Team

This is turning out to be a very expensive week for investors who are still holding long positions in this market. As I warned late last year and all this year, I felt the market was and is going to be volatile and more than likely going lower.

Let's go back several years to the first quarter of 2009 when the equity markets bottomed out and began their six-year climb to the stars.

If you look at the S&P 500, you can see that it made a low on the week of March 2, 2009 at 683.38. Six years later on the week of July 13th it closed at a high of 2126.64. I want to look at the market using the Fibonacci tool and see potentially where this index might be headed on the downside. A classic 38.2% Fibonacci retracement takes this index back to 1,574, (it closed at 1,921.84 yesterday). A 50% retracement would bring the S&P 500 back down to 1405.51 and a 62% retracement would take it all the way back down to 1236.24.

The S&P 500 closed last Friday at 1922.03 Continue reading "Crude Oil Crashes Through $30 And The Market Follows" →