Hello traders everywhere. The midterm elections are over, and the stock market is on the move higher. Are we going to get a long-term post-election rally or is this just a short-term bump? The S&P 500 has jumped above its 200-day MA for the first time in eleven days, but we're still waiting on a new green weekly Trade Triangle to exit a short position in the S&P 500.
The DOW broke above its 50-day MA and issued a new green weekly Trade Triangle at 25,817.68 pushing the Chart Analysis Score to +75 indicating that a long position may be in order for the DOW. We'll have to see if there's carry through at the end of the week or if this is just a short-term election euphoria bump.
The NASDAQ is trading just below its 200-day MA standing at 7,519.45 with a Chart Analysis Score of -70. Even if The NASDAQ trades above the 200-day in the coming days it still has some work to do to enter a sidelines position.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, the U.S. dollar is not buying into the post-election hype and traded as low as 95.48 before backing off the session lows. But it is still down on the day and is down .60% on the week. Continue reading "Stocks Rise After Midterm Elections"→
Hello traders everywhere. The NASDAQ continues to be pummeled by tech stocks, falling over 1% after posting a positive week last week. The reason for the drop? Big tech, Apple is grabbing the headlines with its shares falling over 3% to $198.17, bringing their monthly losses to 8.1% and five straight weeks of declines. That's the first time Apple's traded below $200 since July of 2018.
Other tech stocks retreated as well, including Amazon.com Inc. down 3.8%, Alphabet Inc. losing 3.2% and Nvidia Corp. falling 3.9%. Not shockingly, all of the FAANG are lower to start the week.
Hello traders everywhere. All three indexes are looking to post weekly gains on a nice little rally that happened this week. They were all looking to close above their respective 200-day MA's, but it looks like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ will fall just short, while the DOW is trading above it once again. Could the 200-day MA be the line of resistance for the two indexes? The last time that the indexes traded below the 200-day was back in December of 2015 and that trend lasted until March of 2016. We could be in for a rough close to the year if history holds true.
As we stand in early afternoon trading on Friday the S&P 500 is looking at posting a weekly gain of +2.3%; the DOW stands at +2.3% and the NASDAQ checks in with an increase of +2.7% even as Apple Inc. (APPL) missed earnings and is putting pressure on the tech sector losing roughly 6% on the day.
The U.S. Dollar and Gold continue to track each other consistently and are both relatively unchanged on the week. On the opposite side of trading, crude oil has dipped to its lowest levels in six months issuing a new red monthly Trade Triangle indicating that long-term trend has turned negative. Oil is posting a -6.6% loss on the week making this four straight weeks of declines. The reason for the drop is an abundance of oil in the world market which is relieving tensions over the coming Iranian sanctions by the U.S. Continue reading "S&P 500 and NASDAQ Still Below 200-Day MA"→
Hello traders everywhere. Happy Halloween! I hope that everyone has a safe and fun time with your friends and family. While the stock market currently has the best two-day gain since June of 2016 to close out October we need to remember that overall this has been a terrible month.
Even with the first back to back daily gains of October the S&P 500 will lose roughly 6.4% posting its first monthly loss in six months. -4.6% is the number for the DOW this month, while off the lows the month this is the first monthly loss in three months. The DOW is the only index of the three to have a green monthly Trade Triangle in play still, but our key level to watch is a touch higher at 24,122.23 where a red monthly Trade Triangle will trigger. The NASDAQ has suffered the most losing 8.6+ on the month, that will give the NASDAQ back to back losing months, which last occurred in March of this year.
Of the instruments that I watch daily the U.S. dollar and gold the only two to have a positive month with the dollar gaining 2.2% and gold having its best month in eight months posting a gain of almost 2%. On the flip side, crude oil is having its worst month since 2015, losing nearly 10% on the month. Continue reading "Spooky October Comes To An End"→
Hello traders everywhere. The Monday morning market rally in the U.S. market faded as we entered afternoon trading with evaporating tech gains leading the way which leaves the Nasdaq on track for its the worst monthly loss in ten years. The NASDAQ had been up as much as 1.7% on the day before Netflix (NFLX), and Amazon (AMZN) collapsed, both falling over 3% on the day.
However, the S&P 500 and DOW are back in positive territory for the year, if only just and albeit off their session highs. Although the stock market is in positive territory, for the most part, the S&P 500 hasn't had back to back daily gains all month, and that's been rare for the DOW.
If this Monday morning market rally can make it to the end of the day will it continue into tomorrow? Or will the pattern repeat?