Morning Energy Commentary

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

April crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off this month's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If April extends the aforementioned rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 94.46 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 92.51 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 94.46. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 97.49. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 92.51. Second support is this month's low crossing at 89.33.

April heating oil was lower overnight as it extends the decline off February's high. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bearish signaling that additional weakness is possible near-term. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 50% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 288.66 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 298.58 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 294.75. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 298.58. First support is the 50% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 288.66. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 280.52. Continue reading "Morning Energy Commentary"

Morning Energy Market Commentary

February crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends the rally off December's low, October's high crossing at 94.87 then the 62% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 95.29 are the next upside targets. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 91.26 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 94.87. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 95.29. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 93.19. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 91.26. Continue reading "Morning Energy Market Commentary"

Morning Energy Commentary

November crude oil was slightly higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past four days. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish hinting that a short-term low might be in or is near. Closes above last Wednesday's high crossing at 93.66 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If November renews the decline off September's high, the 62% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 87.19 is the next downside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 93.66. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 98.60. First support is the 62% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 87.19. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 84.29. Continue reading "Morning Energy Commentary"

Energy Market Commentary

November crude oil was higher overnight as it consolidates around the 38% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 92.39. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends this month's decline, the 50% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 89.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 95.77 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 95.62. Second resistance is this month's high crossing at 100.73. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 90.96. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 89.79. Continue reading "Energy Market Commentary"

Morning Energy Market Commentary

October crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past three weeks below the 62% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 98.27. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that October crude oil might be correcting more in time than price. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 93.95 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness. If October renews the rally off June's low, the 75% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 102.50 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 98.22. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 102.50. First support is the reaction low crossing at 93.95. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 91.97. Continue reading "Morning Energy Market Commentary"