It just seems to this observer that the Greek kabuki dance is never ending. How can banks keep lending money to a country that is insolvent? That seems a little backward and just stupid to me. What do you think of the situation in Greece?
Here's the reality of the situation, Greece is going to default, the bankers may as well get ready to write off those loans as the money is not coming back. The next question is, whose next, Portugal, Spain or Italy? The next buzzword that is going to come out of all this is contagion. I think when Greece exits the eurozone it will be good for the euro longer-term. Think of it like when a company announces bad earnings and fires the CEO. The stock price has anticipated and discounted all the bad news and for the most part things get better over time for that company. The euro is the same way as pretty much all the bad news is out, except the actual exit of Greece from the euro.
Sooner or later it's going to come to crunch time and time is getting short. Angela Merkel and Germany are going to have to swallow their pride and make some important decisions very soon.
So onto the only economy that seems to be working and that is the US. Today I'm are going to be looking at the major indices to see if they are beginning to tire or getting ready for another upward push.
I'm also going to be looking at three stocks today. Continue reading "Surprise, Greece Has No Money"
Gold/EUR Is A Buy
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com
In my January post, I gave the recommendation to buy Gold versus the EUR at 1022 EUR, with a target for inverse Head and Shoulders pattern at 1208 EUR. As seen in the above monthly Gold/EUR chart, the target hasn't been reached so far, but the maximum advance of 138 EUR (14% between 1160 and 1022 EUR) was significant. Today I will update you on that idea with a new pattern that I found on the chart.
For 10 years, the Gold/EUR has been in a long-running uptrend (highlighted in green). The price had been elevating all the way up from 2005 charting clear zigzags and peaked only in 2012 at 1384 EUR level. Then we saw almost a 40% sharp fall from 1384 down to 856 EUR minimum. At the end of 2013, Gold touched the downside of the trend and one month later, at the start of 2014, the market rebounded from the support and found resistance at the magic 1000 EUR level where the price bounced off into a sideways consolidation between 900 and 1000 EUR. Continue reading "Buy Gold For Euros, Sell Copper For Dollars"
It's hard for me to believe that the newly installed Greek government is now calling for Germany to make reparations of some $250 billion because of what the Nazis did 75 years ago to Greece. Such is the world we live in.
Make no mistake about it, Greece is the Achilles' heel of the euro and just this morning Alan Greenspan, former head of the U.S. Fed, came out and indicated that it was just a matter of time before Greece exits the euro. I couldn't agree more with him, Greece is just an accident waiting to happen.
Unlike the United States, which is one nation with one currency and laws, the euro has been cobbled together with a number of countries that have nothing in common with each other. They don't speak the language, they don't have the same customs and traditions, and they certainly don't share the same discipline for work. Continue reading "Greece, Nazis And 3 Strong Sectors"
In light of the news from the land of the rising sun and the sinking currency, let’s reserve NFTRH 315’s only real charting for a big picture monthly view of currencies, to which we usually give just a brief update, and then some misc. big picture monthly charts [not included in this excerpt] as we try to gain perspective on things that may seem illogical to our rational minds.
Yen is losing the next level of support. BoJ saw that support too. I’ll bet they also took note of the big October bounce and found it unacceptable.
The Euro is losing the support zone after bouncing above it in-month. Continue reading "Let's Take A Look At The Currency Markets"
Hi guys, just back from vacation in Canada, had a great time. If you ever have the opportunity to get up to see the Canadian Rockies or ride on the Rocky Mountaineer I highly recommend it. Lake Louise one of the most famous spots in the Rockies because of its natural beauty still was frozen on June 1st. We also ran into many closed roads because of the snow.
It is good to be back and while I was away and see some of the markets have reversed, and some stay strong. Looking at the markets, I see that the strong upward trends in equities are continuing, and that's something we've been following for quite some time.
It also looks like the Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) market is now mixed, and the same goes for the Dollar Euro market. Strong trends persist in the crude oil market and will you be following these and other trends in today's video.
So let's get started and see what's going on in the markets right now. I will analyze the markets major and minor trends and share with you what I think is going to happen next week.
Every success with MarketClub,