Outside of the sound practice that is physical gold ownership in a time of monetary gamesmanship, the precious metals sector is all about speculation, at least according to 9 out of 10 chart jockeys and momentum junkies micro managing every short-term twist and turn.
Indeed, NFTRH manages gold, silver and the gold stocks on down to the short-term views as well, but that is only because the long-term views have stated that this is a time to be paying attention. Do we pay attention because we have waited so long to promote our orthodoxy and finally be right as gold bugs? No. We pay attention when a chart tells us to pay attention.
While we manage the shorter-term views (both macro fundamental and technical) rigorously in the weekly report and interim updates, here I’d like to dial out to the big monthly picture with 3 large (click to expand as needed) charts of HUI, Gold and Silver to see their stories, which are the reasons we are managing shorter-term views.
Normally the summer months tend to slow down as most traders like to get away for a short break and a little R and R. This year however has been different, as turmoil in the world stage continues. You only have to look at what is going on in the Ukraine, which continues to escalate with Putin's quest to restore the old Soviet Empire. Over in the middle east, the picture is grim and the hatred between Hamas and Israel shows no signs of a resolution. With all that going on, you would think that nothing else could come along to upset the apple cart.
The biggest news this week in my mind was not the Ukraine or the conflict between Hamas and Israel, it was the theft of 1.2 billion usernames and passwords!
This astounding feat was accomplished by a small group of eight Russian hackers. As you may recall, the US and Europe upped their sanctions on Russia, and tit for tat, Russia turned around and cut imports from both Europe and the US. I am afraid that the theft of 1.2 billion usernames and passwords is just another escalation of cyber warfare that Russia is spearheading against the West. Continue reading "1.2 Billion Passwords, Putin and Cyber-Warfare"→
Today, I'm going to be focusing on gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO). It would appear as though this market had a number of cycles that are coming due and some that have just passed. It also looks as though all of the problems in the world haven't had any real powerful effect on gold. Normally in times of uncertainty, gold has been the go-to asset for most investors, but for some reason, not this time.
With today's strong upward market action, there have been a couple of technical indicators click over to the upside, these indicators are the forerunners of a larger, more extended move to the middle of September. By mid-September, gold could be trading at the $1,420-$1,430 level, if all of the technical indicators line up.
For many traders, gold has been somewhat of a disappointment in 2014, even though it is plus some $70 for the year. Many gold bugs were expecting much higher levels by this time, given all of the uncertainties with the banks and conflicts around the world.
The next 4 to 6 weeks could be very exciting in this precious metal and I expect this excitement to come in the form of a move to the upside. In this detailed video, I will show you exactly where the cycles are, plus the technical indicators that I'm watching closely for further confirming evidence that a bull move is underway.
Every success with MarketClub, Adam Hewison
After hitting the magical 17,000 level just around the time America was celebrating our country's 238th birthday, stocks and indexes have seen a pullback on quiet volume. The question is, are you seeing this as a buying opportunity?
In today's video, I will be looking at the major markets, a couple of stocks, and gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO), which I still believe is going to move higher. I will also be examining what's going on in crude oil and the Dollar.
If you missed my post yesterday on our two winning portfolios, you may want to check it out.
As always, we welcome your feedback on this video or any markets that you are following.
Have a great trading day everyone, Adam Hewison
The real price of gold, as adjusted by commodities is making some nice baby steps toward rebounding. Here is a picture of the gold ETF vs. certain key commodity ETF’s and markets, that show the progress of what would be the most desirable condition (a rising real price) for a healthy gold bull.