Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Once again it falls on the shoulders of the Federal Reserve to keep monetary policy loose. With expectations of 4 rate hikes in 2016, we are down to one at this moment in time. I doubt that the Fed has it in them to raise rates again in 2016, which means that 2017 is going to be a reset year for America. Not only are we going to see a new president, but the likely hood is we are going to see a reset of interest rate here in the US.
Last week, the surprise was the non-farm payroll figure showing 287,000 jobs created compared to 175,000 forecast. Look for this number to be revised downward in the future. The non-farm payroll figure was enough to jump start the equity markets pushing the S&P 500 (CME:SP500) to close within a point lower than its best ever close on May 21st, 2015 at 2,130.82. The DOW (INDEX:DJI) followed but was unable to overcome its highs at 18,351.36 on May 20th, 2015. Both of these indices are now in a positive mode according to the Trade Triangles. The only laggard in the group is the NASDAQ (NASDAQ:COMP) index which has moved into a neutral mode requiring a sideline position. Continue reading "Can Cheap Money Continue To Drive The Market?"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. I thought this would be a good time to review the events of the last seven trading days. First, we had Great Britain’s historic exit from the EU on July 23rd which immediately sent the markets of the world into a chaotic downward spiral with the DOW (INDEX:DJI) losing over 5% in just over 48 hours! After hitting a low of 17,063, the DOW abruptly reversed course in what I mistakenly labeled a “Dead cat bounce”. It was more like “Who let the cat out of the bag” as the markets proceeded to go up just as fast as they went down catching many traders on the wrong side of the market.
If you follow the Trade Triangles and I hope you do, you know that they were on the sidelines during this epic battle between the bulls and the bears where both sides were badly mauled and bruised. Having a position on the sidelines is a position - make no mistake about it. It's just as important as being long or short the market. If the market is undecided as to which direction it is headed why take a position in the market. Isn't it best just to stay on the sidelines until a trend develops that you can latch onto and make some big profits? Continue reading "This Is A Short But Important Trading Week"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The question today is, are you one board the gold train?
According to the Trade Triangle technology the gold train left the station on January 5th of this year at $1081.55. Since that time the gold market has steadily moved higher reaching its highest levels this past weekend as America celebrated its birthday.
The next question is, how many stops is the train going to make before it gets to its ultimate destination?
That's a tricky one to answer. However, I strongly believe that gold (NYMEX:GC.Q16.E) is going to continue higher for the better part of the year.
In today's video I will be looking at some specific target zones I have for this precious metal. In addition to looking at the gold market, I'll analyze the volatile nature of the major indices last week. I'm going to see if we can make some sense of the dramatic reversal both on the downside and upside.
Crude oil (NYMEX:CL.Q16.E) is under pressure this morning falling about 3%. I'll discuss the next support area for this market and share with you what I see in the future for this market.
Stay focused and disciplined.
Every success with MarketClub, Adam Hewison