Will Cannabis Stocks Soar Again?

The most important time of the quarter has arrived for cannabis stocks.

Earnings season is when companies reveal sales and earnings results for the previous quarter – and just as important, the company provides guidance on what investors should expect for the following quarter.

Quarterly earnings that beat expectations have a documented history of helping shares outperform the broader stock market in the following weeks and months.

On Wall Street, this pattern is known as the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD).

Post-earnings announcement drift is the tendency for a stock’s cumulative abnormal returns to drift in the direction of an earnings surprise for several weeks (or even several months) following an earnings announcement.

Here are some more details from Wikipedia.

Once a firm’s current earnings become known, the information content should be quickly digested by investors and incorporated into the efficient market price. However, it has long been known that this is not exactly what happens.

For firms that report good news in quarterly earnings, their abnormal security returns tend to drift upwards for at least 60 days following their earnings announcement. Similarly, firms that report bad news in earnings tend to have their abnormal security returns drift downwards for a similar period. This phenomenon is called post-announcement drift.

cannabis stocks

The power and reliability of the PEAD was on full display in the cannabis sector last quarter. An elite group of early cannabis leaders delivered impressive quarterly results that have been driving shares higher for the last two months. Continue reading "Will Cannabis Stocks Soar Again?"

The #1 Stock To Play Illinois Going Legal

Illinois continues to advance towards its goal to legalize recreational cannabis in 2019.

JB Pritzker, a major advocate of legalization, is leading the big push toward legalization. It was a staple of his campaign and now that he’s in office, Pritzker says his goal is to legalize recreational cannabis as quickly as possible.

Legislators have been busy working on a bill to move legalization down the pipeline, and it sounds like they are making a lot of progress.

Here’s an update that comes from the Belleville News-Democrat.

State Sen. Heather Steans and state Rep. Kelly Cassidy, both Chicago Democrats who have been working on marijuana legislation for two years, said they wouldn’t rush the process on behalf of revenue.

“Assuming that we want to have some revenue, I think we’d like to pass it by the end of May,” Steans said. “But I think both Representative Cassidy and I have been very clear that the revenue is not what is motivating or should drive this legislation, but obviously it’s a side benefit piece that can also come.”

Here’s where things get even more interesting. Continue reading "The #1 Stock To Play Illinois Going Legal"

Chicago Ready To Legalize Cannabis

Chicago just took a big step toward becoming the cannabis capital of the Midwest. Not only would that be good for the broader US cannabis industry – it would be great news for two young and promising cannabis companies operating a string of cultivation facilities and dispensaries all across Chicago and Illinois.

The catalyst for Chicago’s cannabis potential? Governor-Elect JB Pritzker.

Pritzker is a major advocate of legalization. It was a staple of his campaign and now that he has won Pritzker says his goal is to legalize recreational cannabis as quickly as possible.

According to a recent report from the Chicago Tribune, Illinois legislators are expected to introduce a bill as early as January that could be passed by May.

Sponsors plan to introduce a new legalization bill in January and hope to get it passed before the session ends in May. The proposed measure would allow the commercial sale and regulation of marijuana, similar to alcohol, for adults 21 and over. There would probably be a six-month waiting period for officials to draw up rules before issuing licenses for growing and selling it. Sponsors say existing medical marijuana companies would likely get the first crack at sales.

Illinois already has a booming medical cannabis industry. Continue reading "Chicago Ready To Legalize Cannabis"