It's hard to believe that we just have one more trading day in January, which has been an extraordinarily volatile month and one that will certainly go down in the history books.
Many of the well-known large stocks are now in downtrends and are not likely to have major turnarounds anytime soon. One has to remember that the stock market looks six months ahead. While many of the companies are perhaps enjoying some good earnings, this may be the last good earnings season we see for some time to come.
On a brighter note, my trade in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) turned out well and it would now look as though Apple is going to be on the defensive for several months. I can see this stock continuing to erode down to perhaps the $80 level.
As a dedicated value investor, I'm always on the lookout for well managed companies with a strong product and solid fundamentals that have temporary problems that knocked its stock price down. By focusing on the long term outlook, you can find great stocks at deeply discounted prices for reasons that may no longer apply come next quarter.
The stock I'm talking about is Harley-Davidson (HOG). This $12 billion motorcycle manufacturer is an American icon and one of the most recognizable brands on the planet. The company also reported disappointing results in its latest earnings release and the stock tumbled down around $6 -- just shy of its 52-week low.