Elliot Wave, Fibonacci and, Candlesticks: Part 2

Today's guest is Gary Wagner of The Forex Gold Forecast who shared shared part one of his unique triple-play of forex gold analysis in a blog post titled, "A New Technical Triad and Gold". In part 2 of his strategy, Gary explores what is now happening in the gold market and what we might expect before fall.

We hope you enjoys today's post and leave your comments for Gary below.


Where Might Gold Head This Summer

Trading the gold market might look easy when you consider that it has gone up $282 dollars in one year. However anyone involved in gold trading whether it be through Comex, Forex or Eft’s will tell you different.  This is part 2 of a blog which began on May 13, 2010 (you can find that post here).  In part one we spoke about the relevance of using Elliot wave, Fibonacci retracement and candlestick patterns as 3 tools well suited for market analysis and forecasting gold prices. This part two will continue where we left off. On May 13th we were nearing the top of wave 3 in Forex gold. Since that time we have completed that wave, seeing gold trade to a new historical high of first 1248, then after a correction (wave 4) to a new all time high in wave 5 of 1265.

Continue reading "Elliot Wave, Fibonacci and, Candlesticks: Part 2"

Do You Know the Expectancy of Your Trades?

Since 2007 when Scott Andrews of MasterTheGap.com started calling out daily gap plays in a live trading room, he has been helping traders learn how to use gap trading to their own advantage. He considers gap trading the "bread and butter" of his trading and even earned the nickname, "Gap Guy" due to his successes.

Today Scott is sharing tips on how to get the most out of your trades by showing you how to discern high expectancy trades from low expectancy trades. We hope you enjoy reading his guest blog post and leave a comment for him below.


This past week I had the great privilege of enjoying lunch with a fellow North Carolinian, Dr. Van Tharp, the world-renown trading coach and author of some of my favorite trading books: Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom and Super Trader. While trying not to ogle over him like a star-struck teenager meeting his favorite musician for the first time, my mind raced with the many pearls of trading wisdom he has espoused over the years.

Continue reading "Do You Know the Expectancy of Your Trades?"

The 6 Advantages of ETFs

ETFs, or Exchange Traded Funds, have increased in popularity over the last few years, and for a number of reasons. Today, Price Headley of BigTrends.com, is going to give us the low-down on everything we need to know about this increasingly utilized financial product.

We hope you'll enjoy today's guest blog post and perhaps consider adding ETFs or ETF options to your portfolio in the near future. As always, we're interested in hearing what you have to say about this post or your experiences trading ETFS in our comments section.


In recent years the popularity of ETF Options has exploded.  At BigTrends.com we have focused on ETFs for quite some time now.

The issue with ETFs and ETF Options has always been liquidity, but things have changed in that regard.  Due to the advantageous architecture of ETFs, more investors are hedging their portfolios with ETF options.  To understand the reason these vehicles are changing the options environment, let's take a look at the underlying securities and their benefits.

1. ETFs Trade Like a Stock - Unlike mutual funds or hedge funds which can only be entered or exited at the market close each trading day, ETFs can be bought and sold intraday.  They can even be day-traded just like stocks.  This advantage allows investors to make speculative bets on the direction of an index while still having the ability to exit the trade at any time of the day.  ETFs also allow short selling, as well as often being optionable. Continue reading "The 6 Advantages of ETFs"

Forex Fundamentals: The Other Side Of The Coin

Many of you know from reading the Trader's Blog that we often talk about, and advocate, technical trading. Today's guest blogger, Georgia Anderson of GAFNN.com, also looks at "the other side of the coin," fundamental analysis, but she uses it in a way that is almost technical.

In this post, Georgia is going to give us her perspective on forex and fundamental analysis by way of an input-output matrix.
Technical analysis or predicting the market by looking through the previous history a currency pair is a very useful and indispensable tool that every forex trader uses, however, fundamental analysis, like its name suggests, is more fundamental in nature, and tries to see what drives the forex market in the first place.

There are thousands of market drivers that move and influence the forex market and this fundamental data can be used in a very technical way. One way to take care of these is through the approach of an input-output matrix. This matrix contains information about the factor and its influence. In simple terms, the cause and effect due to one particular factor is captured as numbers in a matrix. By doing this for all the important factors, one can get an input-output matrix that well describes the future potential market movements. Continue reading "Forex Fundamentals: The Other Side Of The Coin"

Baseline for Active Investing

Today's author is Jackie Ann Patterson, the editor of BackTesting Report. Previously Jackie Ann showed us how to pick up on a potential trend change as well as how to recognize a mature trend using the MACD indicator. Today she has returned to the Trader's Blog to share a method for testing your trading strategy.

One of the ways that traders use to determine the success of a potential strategy is to use a baseline. A baseline is a benchmark or a standard for comparison. For example, some investors will use the gain/loss of the S&P 500 as a baseline of market performance. That may be useful for investing long-term in large-caps, but less applicable to active investing and shorter-term trading. This article shows you a different method of forming baselines and the win rate results for two types of stock market participants. Continue reading "Baseline for Active Investing"