Have you ever heard of the Super Bowl Indicator? Who do you want to win? Are you a Bear or a Bull?
How it works
The Super Bowl Indicator rules state that if a team from The National Football Conference (NFC) wins the Super Bowl, a bull market will prevail. If a team from American Football Conference (AFC) wins, a bear market will prevail.
The New England Patriots are from the AFC, and they will represent the bear market in 2015. The Seattle Seahawks are from the NFC, and they represent the bull market. If the Seahawks win the Super Bowl, there is an 80% chance that the markets will rise this year.
I don't know about you, but I want the Seahawks to win again this year.
There are two notable exceptions as of late:
2013 saw the Baltimore Ravens (AFC) win the Super Bowl, and the DOW rose 26.5%. This should have been a bear market.
2008 saw the New York Giants (NFC) win the Super Bowl, and the DOW fell 33%. This should have been a bull market.
Some notable DOW gains from previous years:
1975 saw a gain of 38% when the Pittsburgh Steelers won Super Bowl IX.
1989 saw a gain of 27% when the San Francisco 49ers won Super Bowl XIX.
2003 saw a gain of 25% when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won Super Bowl XXXVII.
With the big game coming up today, I thought it would be fun to revisit the Super Bowl Indicator and see who you think will win the Super Bowl.
Have a great time with friends and family watching the big game!
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