How to Determine When the Market is Really Trending

S&P Trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC, has agreed to share one of his favorite trading secrets as  a special treat to our viewers. Determining a trend can often be tricky. Get Larry's expert opinion on how to keep it simple. If you like this article, you won't want to miss his secret one-time framing technique!


How to Determine When the Market is Really Trending

How often have you looked at a chart and tried to determine whether or not the market is really trending? How many times have you been fooled by your Stochastics or RSI indicators? How many times have you sold because your oscillators were screaming overbought then watched the market dip a little and then continue higher, stopping you out for another loss? One of the most important things you are probably trying to figure out with any given market is if it is in a trend, and in which direction that trend is moving.

Find the trend and make friends with it

Swimming upstream is difficult, and that kind of battle is probably why you’ll often hear traders say, “The trend is your friend.” But spotting a real trend can be tricky, especially for first time traders and chart observers. You don’t need really fancy calculations or trading software to spot a trend in a market, and if you find it, don’t fight it.

Guess who bought the dip? That's right, the floor traders and the other professionals

If a market is really trending, there will always be reactions against the prevailing trend. Those are the signals most floor traders love. They know that many investors in the general public will fall for the "fade" nearly every time. So how do you know whether or not what you are seeing is a real trending market or not?

The basics are very simple. A market in an uptrend will likely have higher highs and higher lows. The opposite is true for a downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows tell you when the market is in a downtrend.

You never want to go against these situations.


1) We never get long or buy in a downtrending market.
2) We never sell or go short in an uptrending market.

It's just like stepping in front of a freight train.

A market on a move higher will attract new buyers and selling forces will help establish higher highs. When the price dips, more buyers will come in on what they perceive as a value entry point, delivering those higher lows. On the downside, selling pressure will cause lower lows and any move above those results in more sales, topping off those lower highs.

Find support and resistance and find trading opportunities
Once you have determined the overall trend, you can look for support and resistance points. Knowing these price levels can help you follow the trend, buying on dips in a market that might be trending higher or selling on pops when the prevailing trend is likely lower. It doesn't get any better than that!

Did you like this trading tip?  Click HERE for a technique Larry used to make over 1.9 million dollars in the market:

Best Trades to you,

Larry Levin
Founder & President- Trading Advantage 

Disclaimer: Trading in futures and options involves a substantial degree of a risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

How to Determine Where the Real Support and Resistance is Everyday

Larry Levin is no novice to the markets, in fact he's a pretty well-known by traders worldwide. We've asked Larry to give Trader's Blog readers some tips he uses to find daily support and resistance levels and he gladly agreed. Be sure to comment and let us know what you think and some things you use to find key market levels.


Secret Trading Tip #29
From the Desk of S&P Trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC

How to Determine Where the Real Support and Resistance is Everyday

Understanding support and resistance levels is an extremely important skill in any market, and it's absolutely critical if you plan on trading the S&P and NASDAQ E-Mini markets. Professional floor traders are aware of an entire range of major and minor support and resistance levels before the market opens each day. They also know how to calculate new levels as the trading day progresses. Continue reading "How to Determine Where the Real Support and Resistance is Everyday"

Fibonacci Range Expansion Trading Zone

Our guest today is Tom Strignano, a former Chief Bank Dealer with 25 years experience. He has also been featured on The Forex Signals. Follow Tom as he shows you a technique he developed back in the 1990's incorporating Adam's favorite Italian mathematician, Leonardo Fibonacci.


The Fibonacci Range Expansion Trading technique is one that I developed back in the early 1990s when I was moving away from lagging indicators like RSI, MACD, moving averages etc. I had no success using those indicators and came to the conclusion that either I didn't understand them, or that they simply didn't work. The only thing that I had any success with was trendline breaks, Fibonacci points, and standard pivots with the reading of pure price action. I was taught that in order to be successful in this business of trading, you need a few components.

According to my mentor and senior treasurer, Aldo Pizzoferrato, trading required BMG, or Brains, Money, and Guts. You need the brains to anticipate market momentum and to be a step ahead of the herd. You need capital to advance, and finally, you need the guts to believe in yourself and your systems. Therein lies the problem for most traders. Most traders operate on the simplest level. They have no real trading plan and view charts and price action using gut feel or really just guesswork. Aldo stressed upon me that the most effective approach was acting like a quarterback of a football team. I need to send the signals, by reading the market and finding weakness in the markets’ defenses. He would always say, “Don't just receive the signals, send the market some feedback.” I had learned that trading is not a spectator sport. In other words, the most effective approach is in the development of systems that generate buy and sell signals. I had to move from "chart artist" to a true technician. Continue reading "Fibonacci Range Expansion Trading Zone"

Finding an Edge with Support and Resistance

Today I would like to introduce Karen of Wealth Wizard World. Karen is an experienced trader who took an interest in the markets at a very young age has continued since then. Through her own blog and website, Karen shares what she has learned in her twenty-plus years and today she has agreed to share this knowledge with Trader's Blog readers as well.


I’ve traded for many years - about 20 to be precise. During the early years, I read everything I could get my hands on and tried several methods. The lessons learned were not what to do, but what not to do, and yet I was looking for something more.

There are lots of indicators to use and chart patterns to watch. What bothered me was that I realized that indicators lag. They respond to the movement of price.

Chart patterns work very well for some people, but they didn’t do much for me. I saw several head and shoulders patterns break to new highs; flags, pennants, and wedges break opposite of what they were supposed to do. What was an eager, studious, young trader supposed to do?

Continue reading "Finding an Edge with Support and Resistance"

Using Gann Swing Charts In Futures Trading...

Looking at a chart is like looking at a complex painting. Everyone has their own interpretation. Likewise, being able to see trade setups takes a trained eye and everyone has their own approach. Today, Duncan from Swing Trends is going to show us how he uses Gann Swing Charts to analyze futures.
One of the largest problems in trading any kind of financial instrument is how to analyze price action. Present 10 different traders with a given candle chart and ask them to classify market trend, support and resistance and chart patterns and the chances are you will receive 10 different looking sets of analysis in return. Not only is it likely that traders will differ substantially in the important areas identified, present the same trader with the same chart, at a different time, it is highly likely that the two charts you will now have will be different to each other. Continue reading "Using Gann Swing Charts In Futures Trading..."