Crucial but often overlooked, money management practices can mean the difference between winning and losing in the market.
-Placing Stop Order- It's helpful to think of these by their more formal name, stop-loss orders, because that is what they are designed to do – stop the loss of money. Stop orders are offsetting orders placed away from the market to liquidate losing positions before they become unsustainable.
Placing stop orders is more of an art than a science, but adhering to money management rules can optimize their effectiveness. Stops can be placed using a number of different approaches; by determining the exact dollar amount a trader wishes to risk on a single trade; as a percentage of total equity; or by applying technical indicators.
Realistically, methods may overlap, and you'll have a certain amount of leeway in deciding where to put a stop, but always be wary of straying too far from the basic asset allocation parameters established earlier. For example, if a trader is long one S&P 500 future at 450.00, a based on his total equity he has a $2,500 to risk on the position, he might place a sell stop at 445.00, which would take him out of the market with a $2,500 loss ($500 per full index point, per contract). Buss after consulting his charts, he discovers strong support at the 444.55, a level he believes if broken will trigger a major break. If this level is not broken, the trader believes, that rally will continue. So he might consider putting a stop at 444.55 to avoid being stopped out prematurely. Although he's risking an extra $225, he's staying close to his money allocation percentages and modifying his system to take advantage of additional market information.
Of course, the size of a position will affect the placement of stops. The larger the position, the loser the stop has to be to keep the loss within the established risk level. Also consider market volatility. You run a greater risk of getting stopped out in choppy, “noisy” markets, depending on how far away stops are placed. This can cause unwanted liquidation when the market is actually moving your direction.
Now suppose our hypothetical trader, who started with $50,000, is now looking at a $10,000 gain (which happened to be his goal for this trade) on a long position. What should he do? That depends entirely on his trading goals. He can take the $10,000 profit and, assuming he leaves the money in his trading account, turn to other trading opportunities. If he desires, he can increase the size of his trades proportionally to his increase in trading equity. This would give him the potential to earn greater profits, with the accompanying risk of greater losses.
He also could choose to keep the size of his trades identical to what they were before he made his initial profit, thus minimizing his risk (as he would be committing a smaller percentage of his total equity to his trades) but at the same time bypassing the chance for larger profits. If his winning positions had consisted of more than one contract and he believed the market was still in an uptrend, he could opt to take his profits immediately on some of the trades, while leaving the other positions open to gain even more. He then could limit his risk on these remaining trades by entering a stop order at a level that would keep him within his determined level of risk, as well as protect his profits. He does run the risk of giving back some of his money if he is stopped out, but counters that with the potential for even larger gains if the market continues in his direction.
Good money management practices dictate stop orders be placed at levels that minimize loss; they should never be moved farther away form the original position. You should accept small losses, understanding that preservation of capital will in the long run keep you in the market long enough to profit from the wining trades that make up for the losers.
Trading in the real world almost never seems to go as smoothly as it does on paper, mainly because paper trading typically never figures in such real world factors as commission, fees and slippage. “Slippage” refers to unanticipated loss of equity does to poor fills (especially on stops) that can result from extreme market conditions or human error. Factoring these elements into your overall money management program can help create a more realistic trading scenario, and reduce stress and disappointment when gains do not seem to be as large as they should be.
-One Final Note- Do your money management homework before you start trading. This helps you decide what to trade and how to trade it. On paper, money management sounds so obvious and based on common sense that its significantly overlooked. The challenge is to apply its principles in practice. Without money management, even the most astute market prognosticator may find himself caught in a downward trading spiral, right on the trend, but wrong on the money.
7 thoughts on “Traders Toolbox: Money Management Part 3 of 4”
I found your comment very interesting, and informative. Could you tell mem, what time frame do you mean by trading? Day trading? Or week, month? Your reply would be appreciated.
Professionals know where the majority of stops are set ... they have access to that information. It's not that they see YOUR stop, it's that you are likely to set stops in predictable places, along with thousands of other traders. Market makers can mark the market up or down at will, but generally do so only if they can predict the effect of doing so with a high probability. A "shakeout" is a common technique that is used to take out stops and can even be a good indicator that a stock is going higher after the shakeout. An "upthrust" is another technique and can indicate significant weakness to follow.
For me, it comes down to whether I am "trading" a stock or "investing" in a stock. If I'm trading and the price moves against me, I want to be out and move on to the next trade. If I'm investing (longer time frame than trading), then I don't want to be shaken out of a stock that has good fundamentals just because the professionals see an opportunity to run stops. I might still place a stop in an "investment" trade, but it would be 15% or even 20% below the current price to avoid manipulative shakeouts. In the event of a "flash crash", like we had, even this stop would be hit, so avoiding being shaken out of a stock is not entirely preventable. The game is rigged in favor of the guys that can see all the information, see it first, and even manipulate price if they want. The only recourse left to the average investor, like me, is to try to learn to see the market the way they see it and to recognize the patterns left by their activity.
Hi Jim ... your experiences and question very much mirror mine. Particularly for CFD trades; so I place a stop relatively close to my entry price, in anticipation that these 'synthetic' traders see an opportunity to profit at my expense. Just as the market looks like reaching my entry - I cancel the stop and watch it. Invariably I enter the trade which is purposefully set just outside support or resistance so that the market will generally, tend to move back into the existing trend channel (profit for me.) At that point, when I'm comfortable I reset stops and targets.
This seems to prevent many "whipsaw" losses. However, Synthetic market traders often widen the spread to get you one way or the other and I have closed several accounts if I detect that sort of behaviour.
some guys use a mental stop rather than exposing their hand.maybe set the stop beyond your mental stop as a fail safe .
I try to use stops, but whenever I do (like today on silver), the market always, I mean always, seems to bounce off of my stop order and turns higher. Today, I lost $500 because my stop loss was hit at even a lower price than I set, which was a decent stop to avoid a small drift down, because it hit at the market open, then bounced up. If I just held out, then I would be in a better position to decide if it is time to sell. Do market makers see my stop and purposely drive the market down to push me out ??
It sure looks like you hit the nail on the head, I have lost so much money by putting my stop loss at 9%,I wonder if there are a very good set of rules on stop loss so that the average investor can keep up with the sharks. Raymond
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