Treasury Secretary Yellen's Gaffe

You kind of knew this was going to happen eventually. You’re just probably surprised it happened so fast and so publicly.

After serving as Federal Reserve chair for four years, until February 2018, and now Treasury Secretary since January, Janet Yellen could probably be forgiven for forgetting what position she holds. After all, in addition to being located in Washington, both the Fed and the Treasury pretty much work hand in hand, with the former directing monetary policy and the latter handling fiscal policy. Under the pretense, they’re both independent of each other.

But last week, Yellen let the cat out of the bag and ignited a one-day mini taper tantrum in stock prices, which is a little hard to understand, given that she only said what everyone else was already thinking. (But as we know, a gaffe is when a politician or government official accidentally tells the truth).

“It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn’t overheat, even though the additional spending [proposed and already enacted by the Biden Administration] is relatively small relative to the size of the economy,” she said in a prerecorded interview at the Atlantic’s Future Economy Summit.

Later on, of course, she walked that back a little, telling the Wall Street Journal, “I don’t think there’s going to be an inflationary problem, but if there is, the Fed can be counted on to address it,” she said.

It was certainly much ado about nothing, but it raises an important question, namely: Other than raising interest rates, either directly or indirectly, what exactly can the Fed do to fend off higher inflation? Continue reading "Treasury Secretary Yellen's Gaffe"

Bitcoin: Make It Or Break It

One of our readers requested the update on cryptos, including Ethereum, this week. Here we go.

The leading coin has taught us excellent lessons recently. I shared with you a bullish setup for Bitcoin a month ago. In the following update, I recommended to move the stop loss higher from $50k to $55k area to cut the risk after the breakout and increase the risk/reward ratio to sound 2.7.

The price indeed broke above the confirmation level of $61782 and quickly reached the new all-time high in the $65k area, but then it failed to advance.

Bitcoin

We have the first lesson here from the RSI. As we can see on the sub-chart, the indicator did not confirm the new all-time high as it established a lower peak instead. This built the Bearish Divergence then, and the outcome you already know, the price collapsed dramatically. Continue reading "Bitcoin: Make It Or Break It"

Could Silver Futures Hit $30?

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 25.87 an ounce while currently trading at 27.48 up over $0.60 for the week, continuing its bullish momentum as prices are near a 2 1/2 month high.

I have been recommending a bullish position from around the 25.85 level, and if you took that trade, continue to place the stop loss under the two-week low standing at 25.74 on a closing basis only as the proper exit strategy. The next major level of resistance stands at the 28.00 / 28.25 level as that could be broken in next week's trade, and if that does occur, I think we will test the 30 level soon.

I also have a bullish platinum recommendation, and I think gold and copper will continue to move higher as I see no reason to be short this sector. The U.S dollar has hit a two-month low this week as that is a bullish factor towards silver coupled with the fact that the 10-year note has hit a two-month low in yield at 1.53% as this market fundamentally and technically speaking has everything going for it, so stay long.

TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
VOLATILITY: HIGH

Copper Futures

Copper futures in the July contract is trading higher for the 3rd consecutive session, up another 1260 points or 2.75% at 4.7285 a pound, hitting an all-time high this week as this gravy train continues its bullish momentum. Continue reading "Could Silver Futures Hit $30?"

Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 5/9/21 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

Stock Market Forecast SPY Daily Chart

The S&P 500, (analyzed here using SPY) had created a topping process as I have been commenting on, and was on the 4th day of bearish activity when a new blast of buying took the market out to new highs.

This completes my forecast the other day when I said... Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"

Should You Own Cryptocurrency?

The short answer: Yes.

I’ll get to the reasons why it should be a part of just about every investor’s portfolio in just a moment.

I’ll also get into why, if you do take the plunge into crypto, do so gingerly.

But before we get started, take a look at the first three installments in this multi-part series about blockchain and cryptocurrency. We talked about why they’re so important, what they’re all about, and what they really mean to you.

Feel free to take a look at these when you get a sec. But they’re not needed to get a deep understanding into what we’ll talk about today.

So, let’s get to it. Here are just a few reasons to own cryptocurrency... Continue reading "Should You Own Cryptocurrency?"