World Oil Supply, Demand And Price Outlook, October 2018

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for October, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely bottomed in July at 2.806 billion barrels. It shows inventories rising in the third quarter, contrary to the normal seasonal trend. However, it forecasts that stocks will drop in December to 2.817 billion after the Iranian sanctions are expected to go into effect.

Throughout 2019, OECD inventories are generally expected to rise, ending the year with 98 million barrels more than at the end of 2018. The expected drop in Iranian production, due to the U.S. sanctions, is forecast to be more-than-offset by increases from other producers, such as the U.S., Canada and the Gulf states of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE.

oil inventories

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia has recently stated that KSA can produce at least 12 million barrels per day. If it does increase output to that level, this would be a major “surprise” to world markets since its production has never exceeded 11 million. Continue reading "World Oil Supply, Demand And Price Outlook, October 2018"

O, Canada! Huge Day For Cannabis Investors

O, Canada! What a historic moment for the cannabis industry!

Canada just became the first developed country in the world to legalize recreational cannabis.

Now that legalization has set billions of dollars in motion, Cannabis Stock Trades members are in a prime position.

We've been prepping our portfolios to capitalize on this giant day and it's finally here.

Cannabis stocks have a clear history of jumping higher before and after these key legalization dates.

Let's take a look at three recent examples.

1. Cannabis stocks soared when Colorado went legal on Jan 1, 2014.

On January 1, 2014, Colorado became the first US state to legalize recreational cannabis.

It was a breakout moment for the US cannabis industry – and it sent US cannabis stocks soaring. Continue reading "O, Canada! Huge Day For Cannabis Investors"

Gold & Silver: Fly or Die

The precious metals are busy finishing the anticipated pullback to the former support, which is almost within our grasp on the short-term charts. So, let it go and in the meantime we can look into the bigger charts with higher time frames to update the outlook beyond the short-term horizon.

Chart 1. Gold Monthly: 1122/1375

Gold Shines
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The monthly gold chart above answers some critical questions. The first one, why gold reversed ahead of $1000? The answer is the red horizontal line, which was set at the 2008 top and acted as strong support and breakdown of it would unleash severe volatility into the market as the next level of serious technical support is located in the $700 area (2006 top/2008 bottom). Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Fly or Die"

Global Tensions Add Stress To Tense Stock Market

Hello traders everywhere. After what felt like a small positive victory on Friday has quickly subsided after we woke up this morning to news of growing global tensions with Saudi Arabia and yet another sell-off in the tech sector, a falling dollar, and treasuries.

The dollar is trading near a two-week low against its peers after U.S. retail sales disappointed in September. West Texas crude oil traded around $71 a barrel, less than a dollar away from issuing a red weekly Trade Triangle, amid tensions between Saudi Arabia and the U.S. over the disappearance of a prominent journalist and gold is headed toward its fourth advance in five days.

200-day moving average

The DOW was in positive territory for most of the morning trading above its 200-day moving average, the only index to do so, but has slipped into negative territory this afternoon. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ are both trading below their 200-day moving average after opening the week in negative territory. While the NASDAQ has already triggered a new red monthly Trade Triangle the S&P 500 is holding on at the moment, but that could change if it continues to trade below the 200-day Moving Average. Continue reading "Global Tensions Add Stress To Tense Stock Market"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the December contract is currently trading at 14.64 unchanged for the trading week continuing its low volatility as prices have been stuck in the mud over the last month or so. I have been recommending a bullish position from around the 14.50 level & if you took the trade continue to place to stop loss under the contract low which was hit on September 11th at 13.96 an ounce. Gold futures hit a two month high in this week's trade as the U.S stock market was sharply lower as funds came out of equities and into the gold market as a flight to quality as gold is used as a safe haven as that has helped support silver prices here in the short term. Silver futures are trading above their 20 day, but still under their 100 day moving average which stands at 15.47 and for the bullish momentum to continue we have to break the 15.00 level in my opinion as I think that could happen in next week's trade so stay long and continue to place the proper stop loss. I think the volatility will come back into this market as historically speaking silver is very volatile, but that has not been the case in 2018 as I still think prices look very cheap especially compared to gold and crude oil as they are all inflationary commodities.
TREND: HIGHER - MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
VOLATILITY: LOW

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"