An ETF that closely tracks Natural Gas (new video)

In today's video I will be looking at an ETF that closely tracks the natural gas market. The United States Natural Gas Fund (PACF_UNG) is one of the more popular energy ETFs and a could be a great market to add to your portfolio as the "Trade Triangles" are catching profits from the spectacular moves.

In this short video I'm going to show you how our "Trade Triangle" Technology outperformed one of the smartest investors on the planet. I am of course referring to the legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens. I'm using his own results for his hedge fund BP Capital Management LP.

Check out his results here. Starting from March of 2008 with our results starting at the same time. I will let you draw your own conclusions on this one.

You can watch this video with our compliments and there is no registration requirements. We would love to get your feedback about this video on our blog.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
Co-creator, MarketClub

10 thoughts on “An ETF that closely tracks Natural Gas (new video)

  1. Hi Adam,
    As always another helpful video on the use of trade triangles. I have a request for visually improving the monthly and weekly green triangles on the charts. Instead of white lettering against a green background, could it be a deeper color "W" or "M". I feel this improvement would distinguish the triangles a lot better.... for me anyway on a 20" monitor.


  2. Hi Adam,

    there is alot of speculation that UNG will not fall any further. What your opinion?


  3. Hi Adam,

    I am a little concerned how on the downtrend one could have gotten into a series of losing trades. But then should one be trading when a downtred is in progress (how do we know in the first place?). How do we know that one is getting into a situation where all the trades will be losing trades? Will looking at indicators help? I see that in July 2008 UNG started trading below its 200/50/20 SMA and Parabolic SAR gave a sell signal at the end of July 2008. So looks like its safer to supplement trades traingles signals with some indicators. This again is not a foolproof solution but helps mitigate losses.

    Your thoughts?


    1. Trikaal,

      Thank you for your feedback.

      At MarketClub we strongly support filtering your trades. You can do this through the use of our monthly, weekly and daily triangles or you can use an indicator like a a parabolic or an MACD study to filter your trades.

      I hope this answers your question.

      All the best,

  4. This is interesting because a lot of people, myself included, have been trying to get in to catch bounces in natural gas ETFs (in my case, HNU, the Canadian version). This of course involves going against the trend, thus breaking a basic rule. The video is a good reminder that trading with the trend is the smarter way to go.
    Now one question, when an ETF tracks a commodity, can I not use the weekly triangles for trend and daily for timing (as is the case for commodities)? In particular with these double or triple ETFs, it seems that after a massive move down, the monthly triangles could be a long time coming. I read something about FAZ, for example, where it was explained that even if the financials test their ultimate lows, the ETF would not reach its previous highs.
    I'm rambling on a bit here, my main point was regarding which triangles to use. Though the ETF is like a stock, it tracks a commodity, so I was confused as to why the triangle use is different.
    Dan Martin

    1. Dan,

      Thank you for your feedback. Please see my comments to Patrick which I believe addresses your question.

      All the best,

  5. Hi Adam,

    Great video.

    You use only the monthly and weekly signals on this video.

    Which markets do you recommend trading off monthly/weekly and for which do you recommend using the weekly/daily signals?

    Do you consider the "score" less important when trading the longer term monthly/weekly and woudl you ignore the score in those instances as you did in the video?

    Best regards,

    Patrick Keith

    1. Patrick,

      Thank you for your feedback.

      This is a bit of a conundrum for some, but for ETFs which I consider to be stocks I like to use the monthly and weekly trade triangles.

      The reason for this is that these markets track, not exactly but overall they track the underlying commodity. If I was trading the basic commodity via futures, I would be using the daily, weekly triangles. It is just a different set of players for each market.

      Now you may want to use the weekly, daily triangles for something like this ETF. However I prefer to use the monthly weekly triangles.

      Anyway, I hope this addresses your question and answers your question in a satisfactory manner.

      All the best,

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