What Asset Allocation Can Do For You?

I have recently been reading a blog written by a registered investment advisor and affiliate of Abraham Bedick Capital located in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Andrew Abraham has been tinkering in the financial arena since 1990, has spoken at numerous investment conferences and provides commentary and analysis for various financial publications. His blog, Abraham Bedick Capital Management posts various trading tips as well as specific analysis of international and domestic markets. Worth a look for sure.

Thought you might like his post in November regarding asset allocation, it reminds me of one of Adam's "10 Golden Rules Of Trading," wouldn't you say?


What Asset Allocation Can Do For You?

Asset Allocation simply means distributing your money across various investment avenues in order that the poor performance of any one avenue or asset does not jeopardizes the entire investment plan and yearly return. Asset Allocation is one of the basic premises of having an investment plan. As basic of an idea, it is one of the rarest traits in a financial plan. Would you even consider getting on a plane without a flight plan and the pilot not knowing where he is going? It is an obvious answer.

Many times I have encountered investors that feel that they are well diversified. They feel that they fulfilled the premise of asset allocation with stocks, bonds,cash and a little real estate. They would own some Large Cap or Blue Chips, some mid caps,small caps and a sprinkling of some international shares or funds.

However, when you diversify across assets you give yourself a lot of leeway to counter market uncertainties. When the stock markets is progressing well, one probably cannot appreciate the importance of asset allocation. In fact, you may even feel that asset allocation is a hindrance when having all money in equities seems to be a smarter way to ride the stock market rally. It usually takes an adversity (such as a sharp fall in stock markets) to fully appreciate that having more than just stocks and bonds in your portfolio can be a big bonus.

The advantage of having different assets in the portfolio is that a decline in any one asset can be partially offset with the presence of other assets. Many times different assets react differently to the same set of factors.

This brings me to my plan on how to expand one's asset allocation... In many inflationary periods ( such as now) Managed Futures have excelled and propelled a portfolio. All one has to do is look at the price of oil. How much has it gone up? What about Gold?

How much of an allocation one should you own' is a little tricky, because it will vary from investor to investor and their risk profile. Depending on the exact plan such as money management, correlation and risk per trade different levels of volatility can be experienced. In inflationary times commodities trend upwards and in deflationary times commodity prices fall and trend downwards. I am not a proponent of one trading these vehicles themselves but rather in a managed account or fund. The volatility and leverage can be great. At a minimum one should consider managed futures for at least 5% of their portfolio.

These are very uncertain times and one owes themselves to be aware that they need to think outside the box and look to assist in protecting their investment portfolios.


Courtesy of Andrew Abraham of Abraham Bedick Capital Management

Two more ways to help your trading

Dear Traders,

Wow, what a week in the markets and it's only Wednesday!

I wanted to use today to point out a feature of our blog that you may or may not know about. You can receive alerts whenever there is a new post on the TradersBlog. If Adam has a hard night sleeping and does a midnight post on the 24-hour world of Foreign Exchange... you receive an email. If a little inspiration strikes us to do a video lesson on a Saturday morning... you receive an email. Never miss a post!

We value your loyal readership and the endless contributions you make to this blog everyday. I also wanted to say that I read all of the blog comments and I encourage you to pass trading tips to us and fellow traders as well as post constructive criticism on how we can make this a helpful site for investors of any skill level, age, gender, or trading style.

Subscribe to TradersBlog Post Alerts

Members Only - Sneak Peek of INO TV


In only five minutes I will take you on a tour of our new INO TV product. You will see the features of INO TV that can only been viewed as a member. After this video you will understand why this tool could be the BEST tool you will find on the web. Over +1,000 hours of seminars at your finger tips any time, any where.


Gold recoils from record highs; consolidation seen

(Recasts, updates with closing prices, market activity, changes dateline to NEW YORK, previous LONDON) By Frank Tang
NEW YORK, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Gold slipped further away from record highs after a choppy session on Thursday, extending the previous session's steep losses and hit by chart-based weakness and falling energy prices. The yellow metal could decline further in the near term, largely due to a possible recovery of the dollar, but losses should be limited by flight-to-quality demand amid credit worries and inflation concerns, market watchers said.
"The failure of gold to take out Monday's high at $914 was seen as a negative by a lot of traders. I just don't see this market turning around unless there is a news item coming out that takes people by surprise" said Adam Hewison, president of INO.com.

Spot gold fell as low as $876.90 an ounce, and was last quoted at $876.70/877.40 by New York's close at 2:15 p.m. EST (1915 GMT), against $885.60/886.30 late in New York on Wednesday, when it dropped 2 percent. It hit a record high of $914 on Monday. The most-active gold contract for February delivery at the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled down $1.50 at $880.50 an ounce. "$900 level is going to be a fairly important level for the market just to digest for the moment. I think we have to get more consolidation in the market to push it to the $950, $1,000 levels," Hewison said.

Weaker crude oil prices dented gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation. U.S. crude futures ended 71 cents lower at $90.13 a barrel on Thursday. "Given the recent volatility, wide intra-day price swings seem set to continue," said James Moore, precious metals analyst at TheBullionDesk.com.

The dollar slipped versus the euro on Thursday after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke repeated in a speech to the U.S. Congress' House Budget Committee that more easing may be necessary. Bernanke also said he will support efforts to craft a fiscal stimulus package and repeated the U.S. central bank was ready to act aggressively to counter recession risks.
Investors have priced in at least a half-percentage-point cut in the benchmark U.S. rate this month, with some saying the Federal Reserve could cut rates by three-quarters of a point. The Fed is scheduled to render its interest rate decision at the end of a two-day meeting from Jan. 29 to 30.

Zachary Oxman, senior trader with Wisdom Financial in Newport, California, said gold should consolidate in the near term, moving in a trading range between $870 and $900. "Any big corrections here are going to be met with some long-side accumulation buying," Oxman said. In research news, consultancy firm GFMS said on Thursday that the price of gold is expected to correct lower in the near term, but then surge as high as $1,000 an ounce later this year, as a weak U.S. dollar and lingering credit turmoil burnish the metal's investment appeal. Meanwhile, industry-sponsored World Gold Council (WGC) said on Thursday that higher gold prices and increased volatility hurt the consumption of gold jewelry in India, the world's top gold buyer, in the fourth quarter of 2007. In 2006, India imported about 715 tonnes of gold.

London-based ETF securities expected to more than double the money managed in its listed exchange traded commodity funds, including precious metals, to about $7 billion by the end of 2008. In other bullion markets, the key gold futures contract for December 2008 delivery on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) ended 26 yen per gram higher at 3,074 yen in a technical rebound after falling by the daily 120 yen limit on Wednesday. In industry news, Highland Gold Mining Ltd plans to raise gold output by at least 10 percent this year and is on track to hit 200,000 ounces of production by 2009, managing director Henry Horne said.

Silver rose to $15.86/15.91 an ounce, versus $15.84/15.89 late Wednesday, supported by news that BHP Billiton Ltd/Plc had stopped operations at its Cannington silver mine in Australia after a fatality earlier in the day. Platinum slipped to $1,555/1,560 from $1,559/1,564 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday, while palladium was down $5 to $366/371 an ounce. (Additional reporting by Atul Prakash, Daniel Magnowski in London)


*Reuters is a registered trademark and belongs to Reuters

If you lost the shirt off your back... maybe a MarketClub member will lend you theirs


The 4th quarter was just another nail bitting chapter in the story of “battered U.S. Financial institutions.” Although now international investors are helping to bail the water out of sinking companies like Citigroup and Merill Lynch, many investors lost their shirts with the dive that these companies took through Q4. With NYSE_MER falling 17.32% and NYSE_C dropping 36.1%, MarketClub members managed to profit with possible gains of 12.48% and 24.83% respectively.



World Rides to Wall Street's Rescue

By David Enrich , Robin Sidel and Susanne Craig of the Wall Street Journal

In the latest sign of America's sinking financial fortunes, investors from as far afield as Japan, Korea, Singapore, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have come to the rescue of Wall Street.

The list of players that agreed yesterday to pump a combined $19.1 billion of capital into Citigroup Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. spotlights a dramatic shift in power. After flooding the world with capital that fed both economic growth and excess, battered U.S. financial institutions now are turning to countries and companies that not so long ago were suffering through their own disasters.

Yesterday's infusions follow earlier investments into … Read the rest of the article here



Q4 MarketClub Member Results


Monthly triangle has been red since July 2007

Entry on weekly corresponding red - 10/15/07 @ 45.86
Exit on weekly green - 12/10/07 @34.65

Enter weekly corresponding red - 12/20/07 @ 29.5
Exit close of 4Q - 12-31-07 @ 29.32

2 Trades Up $11.39 /share

*Q4 per share dropped 36%, however MarketClub members used the triangles for a 24% gain

Monthly triangle has been red since February 2007


Entry on weekly corresponding red - 10/17/07 @ 69.91
Exit on weekly green - 11/30/07 @ 61.18

1 Trade Up $ 8.93 /share

*Q4 per share dropped 17.32%, however MarketClub members used the triangles for a 12% gain


These results were generated by using MarketClub's suggested method for reading the "Trade Triangles" for equities. Please see a video on the suggested method here.