During the past four years the month of July has generally been a positive one for the U.S. stock market. In 2012 the market witnessed its smallest percentage gain of just 1.25% for the month of July. As you can see during the past four years the general trend has been positive for the market in July, but the percentage gains have been decreasing annually since '09. During the month of July, the average gain over the last 4 years has been a very positive 3.34%. With our monthly trade triangles still in a positive mode I expect the month of July to be flat to slightly positive for stocks.
Here are the monthly returns for July, beginning in 2009. Continue reading "Are the odds in your favor for an upmarket in July?"