Tag: third quarter

Broadcom (AVGO) and Micron (MU): Top Picks for Data Center Investment Surge

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The expected record spending on infrastructure by cloud computing leaders such as Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) this year highlights the escalating investments in artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, a trend likely to benefit chipmakers significantly.

Bank of America (BofA) analysts forecast that cloud service provider capital expenditures will reach $121 billion in the second half of 2024, bringing the total to a record $227 billion in 2024. This figure marks a 39% increase compared to the previous year.

c, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) are predicted to more than double their spending compared to 2020 levels, while Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is expected to increase its capital expenditure nearly sixfold. The proportion of this spending allocated to data centers is already around 55% and is anticipated to rise further, reflecting the critical role of data centers in supporting advanced AI applications.

While NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stands out as the dominant player in the AI GPU market, BofA analysts have highlighted Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) and Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) as compelling alternatives for investors seeking to benefit from this trend.

In this article, we will delve into why Broadcom and Micron are well-positioned to capitalize on growing investments by cloud service providers in AI data centers, evaluate their financial health and recent performance, and explore the potential headwinds and tailwinds they may encounter in the near future.

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)

Valued at a $732.45 billion market cap, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is a global tech leader that designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. Broadcom’s extensive portfolio of semiconductor solutions, including networking chips, storage adapters, and advanced optical components, makes it a critical supplier for data centers.

Moreover, Broadcom’s leadership in networking solutions, exemplified by its Tomahawk and Trident series of Ethernet switches, positions it as a critical beneficiary of increased AI data center spending.

In May, AVGO revolutionized the data center ecosystem with its latest portfolio of highly scalable, high-performing, low-power 400G PCIe Gen 5.0 Ethernet adapters. The latest products provide an improved, open, standards-based Ethernet NIC and switching solution to address connectivity bottlenecks caused by the rapid growth in XPU bandwidth and cluster sizes in AI data centers.

Further, Broadcom’s strategic acquisitions, such as the recent purchase of VMware, Inc., enhance its data center and cloud computing capabilities. With this acquisition, AVGO will bring together its engineering-first, innovation-centric teams as it takes another significant step forward in building the world’s leading infrastructure technology company. 

Broadcom’s solid second-quarter performance was primarily driven by AI demand and VMware. AVGO’s net revenue increased 43% year-over-year to $12.49 billion in the quarter that ended May 5, 2024. That exceeded the consensus revenue estimate of $12.01 billion. Revenue from its AI products hit a record of $3.10 billion for the quarter.

AVGO reported triple-digit revenue growth in the Infrastructure Software segment to $5.29 billion as enterprises increasingly adopted the VMware software stack to build their private clouds. Its gross margin rose 27.2% year-over-year to $7.78 billion. Its non-GAAP operating income grew 32% from the year-ago value to $7.15 billion. Its adjusted EBITDA was $7.43 billion, up 30.6% year-over-year.

Further, the company’s non-GAAP net income was $5.39 billion or $10.96 per share, up 20.2% and 6.2% from the prior year’s quarter, respectively. Cash from operations of $4.58 billion for the quarter, less capital expenditures of $132 million, resulted in free cash flow of $4.45 billion, or 36% of revenue.

When it posted solid earnings for its second quarter, Broadcom announced a ten-for-one stock split, which took effect on July 12, making stock ownership more affordable and accessible to investors.

Moreover, AVGO raised its fiscal year 2024 guidance. The tech company expects full-year revenue of nearly $51 billion. Broadcom anticipates $10 billion in revenue from chips related to AI this year. Its adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately 61% of projected revenue.

Analysts expect AVGO’s revenue for the third quarter (ending July 2024) to grow 45.9% year-over-year to $12.95 billion. The consensus EPS estimate of $1.20 for the ongoing quarter indicates a 14% year-over-year increase. Also, the company has surpassed the consensus revenue and EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

In addition, the company’s revenue and EPS for the fiscal year ending October 2024 are expected to increase 43.6% and 12.4% from the previous year to $51.44 billion and $4.75, respectively.

AVGO’s shares have gained more than 29% over the past six months and around 74% over the past year. Moreover, the stock is up nearly 40% year-to-date.

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)

Another chipmaker that is well-poised to benefit from significant data center spending among enterprises is Micron Technology, Inc. (MU). With a $126.70 billion market cap, MU provides cutting-edge memory and storage products globally. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit; Mobile Business Unit; Embedded Business Unit; and Storage Business Unit.

Micron’s role as a leading provider of DRAM and NAND flash memory positions it to capitalize on the surging demand for high-performance memory solutions. The need for advanced memory products grows as data centers expand to support AI and machine learning workloads. The company’s innovation in memory technologies, such as the HBM2E, aligns well with the performance requirements of modern data centers.

Also, recently, MU announced sampling its next-generation GDDR7 graphics memory with the industry’s highest bit density. The best-in-class capabilities of Micro GDDR7 will optimize AI, gaming, and high-performance computing workloads. Notably, Micron reached an industry milestone as the first to validate and ship 128GB DDR5 32Gb server DRAM to address the increasing demands for rigorous speed and capacity of memory-intensive Gen AI applications.

Further, MU’s strategic partnerships with leading tech companies like Nvidia and Intel Corporation (INTC) position the chipmaker at the forefront of technology advancements. In February, Micron started mass production of its HBM2E solution for use in Nvidia’s latest AI chip. Micron’s 24GB 8H HBM3E will be part of NVIDIA H200 Tensor Core GPUs, expected to begin shipping in the second quarter.

For the third quarter, which ended May 30, 2024, MU posted revenue of $6.81 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $6.67 billion. That compared to $5.82 billion in the prior quarter and $3.75 billion for the same period last year. Moreover, AI demand drove 50% sequential data center revenue growth and record-high data center revenue mix.

MU’s non-GAAP gross margin was $1.92 billion, versus $1.16 million in the prior quarter and negative $603 million for the previous year’s quarter. Its non-GAAP operating income came in at $941 million, compared to $204 million in the prior quarter and negative $1.47 billion for the same period in 2023.

Additionally, the chip company reported non-GAAP net income and earnings per share of $702 million and $0.62 for the third quarter, compared to non-GAAP net loss and loss per share of $1.57 billion and $1.43 a year ago, respectively. Its EPS beat the consensus estimate of $0.53. Its adjusted free cash flow was $425 million during the quarter, compared to a negative $1.36 billion in the prior year’s quarter.

For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, Micron expects non-GAAP revenue of $7.60 million ± $200 million, and its gross margin is anticipated to be 34.5% ± 1%. Also, the company expects its non-GAAP earnings per share to be $1.08 ± 0.08.

Analysts expect AVGO’s revenue for the fourth quarter (ending August 2024) to increase 91.4% year-over-year to $7.68 billion. The company is expected to report an EPS of $1.14 for the current quarter, compared to a loss per share of $1.07 in the prior year’s quarter. Further, the company has surpassed the consensus revenue and EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

MU’s shares have surged over 30% over the past six months and approximately 75% over the past year.

Bottom Line

The substantial surge in capital expenditures by cloud computing giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet highlights the importance of AI and data centers in the tech industry’s landscape. Broadcom and Micron emerge as two of the most promising chip stocks for investors seeking to benefit from this trend. Both companies offer solid financial health, significant market positions, and exposure to the expanding data center and AI markets.

While Broadcom’s diverse semiconductor solutions and Micron’s leadership in memory technology make them attractive investment opportunities, investors must remain mindful of potential headwinds, including market competition and geopolitical risks. By evaluating these factors and understanding the growth potential of these companies, investors can make informed decisions in the rapidly evolving technology sector.

Coherent's Quantum Leap: Capitalizing on the AI Boom

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Formerly known as II-VI Incorporated, Coherent Corp. (COHR) has established itself as a critical supplier of materials, photonics, and laser technologies to a wide array of target markets. This company emerged from the merger of two leading laser industry giants and has since forged strong partnerships to extend its market reach and diversify its product offerings.

Substantial investments in research and development (R&D) and a laser-sharp focus on artificial intelligence (AI) products drive the company’s growth strategy. With a diverse portfolio ranging from engineered materials to optoelectronic components, COHR is setting its sights on dominating lucrative markets such as semiconductor manufacturing equipment and life sciences.

The laser maker's shares have doubled in recent months, benefiting from the burgeoning demand for AI and a boost in investor confidence following significant leadership changes. On June 3, the stock jumped more than 22% after Jim Anderson, who took over from the retiring Vincent Mattera Jr., was named the new CEO.

Anderson’s impressive stint at Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC), where he drove remarkable revenue and earnings growth, has investors dreaming big. They’re betting his leadership could propel Coherent to new heights, especially with AI's potential. Moreover, COHR’s stock has gained nearly 70% year-to-date and more than 130% over the past nine months.

In addition to leadership changes, Coherent has unveiled innovative products. On May 30, 2024, the company introduced a new laser power sensor, the PM10K+, designed to accelerate power output measurements by up to 500%. This new sensor is tailored for high-power applications, a growing sector in the industry.

Further, COHR launched a new single-mode, polarization-maintaining optical fiber. This product, the first of its kind in the market, is designed to support high-power 1550 nm amplifiers with over 20 watts of average power. Such developments highlight Coherent Corp's ongoing commitment to innovation, addressing market needs, and positioning itself as a leader in pushing the boundaries of laser technology capabilities.

How Did COHR Perform Financially and What Lies Ahead?

In the third quarter ended March 31, 2024, COHR posted revenue of $1.21 billion, exceeding the Wall Street estimates of $1.17 billion by 3.5%. Within its Networking segment, revenue amounted to $619 million, reflecting an 18% increase sequentially and a 12% rise year-over-year. This growth was driven by a significant, nearly 80% sequential rise in AI-related 800G Datacom transceiver revenue, which reached around $200 million.

Further, COHR saw an 11% increase in orders year-over-year, boosting its backlog to over $2.74 billion (up over $100 million from the previous year). The company’s non-GAAP operating income and attributable net earnings amounted to $182.20 million and $113.20 million, registering sequential growth of 6.2% and 31%, respectively.

Also, the company’s third-quarter non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.53, above the high end of its guidance. Moreover, Coherent surpassed the consensus EPS estimate of $0.42 by 27.3%.

Looking ahead, COHR anticipates sequential revenue growth in the remaining quarters of fiscal 2024, driven by solid demand in AI and other favorable end-markets. In addition, management lifted the lower end of its revenue outlook for the fiscal year 2024 by $70 million. It expects full-year revenue from $4.62 to $4.70 billion. Also, Coherent raised the non-GAAP EPS guidance to $1.56 to 1.73, a moderate increase from the previously guided $1.30 to $1.70.

Furthermore, Analysts expect COHR’s revenue for the fourth quarter (ending June 2024) to increase 5.8% year-over-year to $1.28 billion. The company is estimated to post an earnings per share of $0.60 in the current quarter, indicating a 46.5% improvement from the prior year’s period.

Is Coherent Poised to Capitalize on the AI Boom?

COHR is strategically well-positioned to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI-related technologies, mainly through its robust datacom portfolio enhancements. Analysts from JPMorgan highlighted Coherent among the companies poised to benefit from the expanding AI market.

Leveraging its specialized transceivers designed for AI and machine learning applications, which support key protocols like Ethernet and NVIDIA's NVLink, Coherent is reinforcing its commitment to innovation at the intersection of networking, lasers, and advanced materials.

Beyond its core strengths, the company is seeing significant momentum across its AI/ML portfolio. Revenue from 800G transceivers surged nearly 80% sequentially, nearing the $200 million mark in the last reported quarter. Looking forward, Coherent is gearing up for the commercial launch of 1.6T transceivers later this calendar year, anticipating continued strong demand driven by advancements in AI technology.

Meanwhile, management is optimistic about the future and anticipates that 50% of Datacom transceiver revenue for fiscal 2024 will be driven by AI-related revenue. It expects this robust demand environment to persist into the next fiscal year and beyond.

Given the expectations of continued market strength and a projected 21% CAGR in the Datacom transceiver market until 2028, Coherent remains well-positioned to capitalize on the accelerating demand for AI-driven technologies and data center expansions.

Bottom Line

As Coherent continues to navigate the AI boom, its ability to stay ahead of market trends and technological advancements will be crucial. With new leadership and a strong foundation in R&D, Coherent is well-positioned to maintain its momentum and achieve sustained growth in the competitive tech industry.

Meanwhile, the global AI in hardware market is poised to grow from $23.50 billion in 2023 to $84.90 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 15.5%. COHR is expected to benefit significantly from the booming AI market due to its expertise in laser and photonics technologies, which are integral to AI hardware development and applications.

While the recent surge in COHR’s stock price following the announcement of the new CEO has brought it close to bullish expectations, this optimism warrants caution until more evidence of financial performance aligns with these high expectations. Hence, investors should stay vigilant and track the company’s progress in its key markets and ability to deliver on its growth promises.

Why Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Could Be a Hidden Gem for Growth Investors

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In March 2024, Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) became the latest artificial intelligence (AI) company to join the S&P 500 index, just a little more than a year after joining the S&P MidCap 400 in December 2022. Shares of SMCI jumped by more than 2,000% in the past two years, driven by robust demand for its AI computing products, which led to rapid sales growth.

Moreover, SMCI’s stock has surged nearly 205% over the past six months and more than 520% over the past year. A historic rally in the stock has pushed the company’s market cap past $48 billion.

SMCI is a leading manufacturer of IT solutions and computing products, including storage and servers tailored for enterprise and cloud data centers, purpose-built for use cases such as AI, cloud computing, big data, and 5G applications. The company has significantly benefited from the ongoing AI boom in the technology sector.

According to ResearchAndMarkets.com’s report, the global AI server market is expected to reach $50.65 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 26.5% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Specializing in servers and computer infrastructure, SMCI maintains long-term alliances with major tech companies, including Nvidia Corporation (NVDA), Intel Corporation (INTC), and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), which have fueled the company’s profitability and growth.

Let’s discuss Super Micro Computer’s fundamentals and growth prospects in detail:

Recent Strategic Developments

On April 9, SMCI announced its X14 server portfolio with future support for the Intel® Xeon® 6 processor with early access programs. Supermicro’s Building Block Architecture, rack plug-and-play, and liquid cooling solutions, along with the breadth of the new Intel Xeon 6 processor family, enables the delivery of optimized solutions for any workload and at any scale, offering superior performance and efficiency.

The upcoming processor family will be available with Efficient-core (E-core) SKUs rising performance-per-watt for cloud, networking, analytics, and scale-out workloads, and Performance-core (P-core) SKUs increasing performance-per-core for AI, HPC, Storage and Edge workloads. 

Also, the upcoming processor portfolio will feature built-in Intel Accelerator Engines with new support for FP16 on Intel Advanced Matrix Extensions.

In the same month, SMCI expanded its edge compute portfolio to accelerate IoT and edge AI workloads with a new generation of embedded solutions.

“We continue to expand our system product line, which now includes servers that are optimized for the edge and can handle the demanding workloads where massive amounts of data are generated,” said Charles Liang, president and CEO of SMCI.

“Our building block architecture allows us to design and deliver a wide range of AI servers that give enterprises the solutions they need, from the edge to the cloud. Our new Intel Atom-based edge systems contain up to 16GB of memory, dual 2.5 GbE LAN ports, and a NANO SIM card slot, which enables AI inferencing at the edge where most of the world's data is generated,” Liang added.

Also, on March 19, Supermicro unveiled its newest lineup aimed at accelerating the deployment of generative AI. The Supermicro SuperCluster solutions offer foundational building blocks for the present and the future large language model (LLM) infrastructure.

The full-stack SuperClusters include air- and liquid-cooled training and cloud-scale inference rack configurations with the latest NVIDIA Tensor Core GPUs, Networking, and NVIDIA AI Enterprise software.

Further, SMCI announced new AI systems for large-scale generative AI featuring NVIDIA's next-generation of data center products, such as the latest NVIDIA GB200 Grace™ Blackwell Superchip, the NVIDIA B200 Tensor Core, and B100 Tensor Core GPUs.

Supermicro is upgrading its existing NVIDIA HGX™ H100/H200 8-GPU systems for seamless integration with the NVIDIA HGX™ B100 8-GPU, thus reducing time to delivery. Also, the company strengthens its broad NVIDIA MGX™ systems range with new offerings featuring the NVIDIA GB200, including the NVIDIA GB200 NVL72, a comprehensive rack-level solution equipped with 72 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs.

Additionally, Supermicro is introducing new systems to its portfolio, including the 4U NVIDIA HGX B200 8-GPU liquid-cooled system.

Solid Third-Quarter 2024 Results

For the third quarter that ended March 31, 2024, SMCI’s revenue increased 200.8% year-over-year to $3.85 billion. Its non-GAAP gross profit grew 163.9% from the year-ago value to $600.59 million. Its non-GAAP income from operations was $434.42 million, up 290.7% year-over-year.

The server assembler’s non-GAAP net income rose 340% from the prior year’s quarter to $411.54 million. Its non-GAAP net income per common share came in at $6.65, an increase of 308% year-over-year.

As of March 31, 2024, Super Micro Computer’s cash and cash equivalents stood at $2.12 billion, compared to $440.46 million as of June 30, 2023. The company’s total current assets were $8.06 billion versus $3.18 billion as of June 30, 2023.

Charles Liang, President and CEO of Supermicro, said, “Strong demand for AI rack scale PnP solutions, along with our team’s ability to develop innovative DLC designs, enabled us to expand our market leadership in AI infrastructure. As new solutions ramp, including fully production ready DLC, we expect to continue gaining market share.”

Raised Full-Year Revenue Outlook

SMCI expects net sales of $5.10 billion to $5.50 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 ending June 30, 2024. The company’s non-GAAP net income per share is anticipated to be between $7.62 and $8.42.

For the fiscal year 2024, Supermicro raised its guidance for revenues from a range of $14.30 billion to $14.70 billion to a range of $14.70 billion to $15.10 billion. Its non-GAAP net income per share is expected to be from $23.29 to $24.09.

CEO Charles Liang said he expects AI growth to remain solid for several quarters, if not years, to come. To support this rapid growth, the company had to raise capital through a secondary offering this year, Liang added.

Meanwhile, finance chief David Weigand said that the company’s supply chain continues to improve.

Bottom Line

SMCI’s fiscal 2024 third-quarter results were exceptional, with a record revenue of $3.85 billion and a non-GAAP EPS of $6.65. This year-over-year revenue growth of 200% and year-over-year non-GAAP EPS growth of 308% significantly outpaced its industry peers.

After reporting outstanding financial performance, the company raised its full-year revenue forecast as it points to solid AI demand.

Super Micro Computer, which joined the S&P 500 in March, has a unique edge among server manufacturers aiming to capitalize on the generative AI boom. Notably, the server maker’s close ties with Nvidia allow it to launch products superior to competitors, including Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE).

The company has a history of being among the first to receive AI chips from NVDA and AMD as it assists them in checking server prototypes, giving it a head start over rivals. This has positioned SMCI as a key supplier of servers crucial for generative AI applications, leading to a remarkable 192% surge in shares so far this year.

According to an analyst at Rosenblatt Securities, Hans Mosesmann, “Super Micro has developed a model that is very, very quick to market. They usually have the widest portfolio of products when a new product comes out from Nvidia or AMD or Intel.”

Moreover, analysts at Bank of America project that SMCI’s share of the AI server market will expand to around 17% in 2026 from 10% in 2023. Argus analyst Jim Kelleher also seems bullish about SMCI. Kelleher maintained a Buy rating on SMCI’s stock.

According to the analyst, Super Micro Computer is a leading server provider for the era of generative AI. Alongside a comprehensive range of rack and blade servers for cloud, enterprise, data center, and other applications, SMCI offers GPU-based systems for deep learning, high-performance computing, and various other applications.

Given solid financials, accelerating profitability, and robust near-term growth outlook, investors could consider buying this stock for substantial gains.