Hello traders everywhere. After a weak opening to the week, stocks are on the rise, led by Netflix. With Netflix leading tech-related stocks higher the S&P 500 and DOW have triggered the new green weekly Trade Triangles that I discussed last week. All three major indexes are now in a sidelines position with Chart Analysis Scores of +70. However, the S&P 500 and DOW are still trading well below their 50-day moving average. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ is close to breaking through it's 50-day moving average.
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) shares jumped over 5% after the company announced it would hike prices to its monthly memberships by 13 to 18%. This will be the company's biggest price hike since it launched its streaming service more than a decade ago. That's led the FAANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Alphabet) higher with all of them rising more than 1% on the day.
After two days of losses, crude oil is on the rise gaining over 1.5% on the day amid production cuts by OPEC and Russia as well as signs of lower U.S. oil stocks. However, most analysts believe that this rally will be short lived after data showed weakening imports and exports in China, raising new worries about a global slowdown. Continue reading "Netflix Leads FAANG Stocks Higher"
Every year ahead of Christmas I traditionally ask your opinion about the possible Santa Claus Rally in the precious metals market. Last time it was on the 10th of December. In that post, I shared my worries about the possible Grinch effect of the emerging strength of the US dollar (DXY index), which could spoil the rally at the end of the year.
Most of you believed that the Santa Claus Rally would happen despite the possible threat from the dollar’s strength. And like many times before you were absolutely right as both metals gained at the end of the year – gold’s price surged $50, and silver’s price jumped more than $1. Tremendous gains, bravo!
At the start of the New Year, I would like to update the medium term gold chart for you. Continue reading "Gold Update: This Move Is Too Big To Ignore"
We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.
Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.
Gold futures in the February contract is currently trading at 1,290 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 1,285 up about $5 for the trading week still unable to crack the critical 1,300 level on a closing basis. Gold prices are trading above their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend remains to the upside. I've been recommending a bullish position from around the 1,252 level and if you took that trade place the stop loss under the 10-day low which now stands at 1,276 as the chart structure is outstanding due to the low volatility. The U.S. dollar hit a TWO month low in this week's trade as that has been supportive gold prices, but for the bullish momentum to continue we have to break the January 4th high of 1,300, and then I think prices could run up to the 1,350 level as there is still strong demand for this commodity at the current time. The Federal Reserve looks like it will pause raising interest rates as that is also a fundamental bullish factor towards gold as I'm also recommending bullish positions in silver and platinum so stay long and continue to place the proper stop loss.
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"
Stocks are entering 2019 in bear market territory and posted its worse quarter since the Great Depression after imploding in Q4 of 2018. Disney (DIS) has been a diamond in the rough given the negative backdrop albeit down from its 52-week high by 8%. This stock has bucked the negative trend and has demonstrated its resilience during this period. As this sell-off presents itself, long-term investors may want to take advantage of this weakness and initiate a position in this high-quality company at a discount. All the initiatives that Disney has taken over the previous two years to restore growth appear to be coming to fruition, namely its Fox (FOX) acquisition and its streaming initiatives. The Fox acquisition is complete now that the U.S. and China provided the green light for the combined entity thus Fox’s assets are now definitively being absorbed by Disney. As part of the contingencies, Disney is divesting its 39% Sky ownership stake that it acquired via the Fox acquisition to Comcast (CMCSA). This divestiture enables Disney to reduce its debt that was required to purchase the Fox media assets and will allow more investment into its streaming services such as Hulu, ESPN Plus and its Disney branded streaming service that will directly compete with Netflix (NFLX). The Fox acquisition brings a majority stake in Hulu (60% ownership) while its ESPN Plus launched earlier this year and had over 1 million subscribers in its early phases of being rolled out. Disney continues to dominate at the box office while posting great growth at its theme parks translating into a robust and durable revenue stream. The company is evolving to meet the new age of media consumption demands of the consumer via streaming and on-demand content. To this end, shareholders and analysts are beginning to resonate with Disney’s vision for future growth. This was reflected in its stock and had appreciated to a 52-week high before the market wide meltdown. Disney offers a compelling long-term investment opportunity in light of the recent weakness given its reinvention catalysts that will continue to bear fruit over the coming years. Continue reading "Disney - Compelling Long-Term Investment In 2019 and Beyond"
Hello traders everywhere. The stock market is stumbling into the finish of the week ending a five-day win streak. But overall it will finish up for the week making this the third straight week of positive gains. Reason for the weakness today, China and the government shutdown that doesn't seem to be ending anytime soon.
All three major indexes are ending the week with positive gains. Both the S&P 500 and DOW are posting gains of about +2% for the week, but both indexes are still waiting for the green weekly Trade Triangle to appear signaling a move to the sidelines. The NASDAQ did issue a green weekly Trade Triangle this week and will end the week with an impressive +3% gain.
The U.S. Dollar continues to be under pressure dropping -.64% on the week making this the fourth straight week of declines.
Crude oil has had another monster week posting a +7% gain for the second week in a row. However, much like the overall stock market, it is down about 1% on the day. This drop comes after nine straight days of gains and is most likely just some profit taking by traders. Continue reading "Stock Market Stumbles Into The Finish"