Tag: General Motors Company (GM)

Trump's Tariff Pledge: Why General Motors (GM) Could Face Headwinds

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In a bold policy shift, President Trump recently announced significant tariffs targeting imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. These include a proposed 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico and an additional 10% on imports from China. For General Motors Company (GM), a multinational automotive giant reliant on a complex web of global supply chains, this poses a direct challenge to its cost structure and profitability.

GM, with a substantial share of its vehicle components sourced internationally, faces the brunt of these measures. From engine parts from Mexico to electronic modules imported from China, the company’s production model hinges on seamless international trade. The tariffs not only disrupt this model but also place GM in a precarious position, potentially leading to elevated costs and tighter margins in an already competitive automotive market.

Impact of Proposed Tariffs

The proposed tariffs present a dual-layered impact on GM’s operations. First, the 25% levy on Canadian and Mexican goods would affect the cost of sourcing components such as transmissions and engines. These parts are integral to the assembly of vehicles in GM's U.S. plants. Second, the additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports primarily targets electronic modules and batteries, critical for GM's burgeoning electric vehicle (EV) segment.

For GM, sourcing components domestically—one way to circumvent tariffs—could increase costs by 15% to 20%. Furthermore, higher tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, introduced in previous years, have already inflated material costs, with additional tariffs only compounding the problem. GM has also faced challenges from fluctuating raw material prices, which have pressured profit margins over the past two fiscal years. Adding these tariffs to the equation risks further strain on its balance sheet.

Notably, GM’s recent third-quarter financial results indicated steady growth, with $48.8 billion in revenue and $3.1 billion in net income. However, absorbing billions in additional tariff-related costs could offset these gains and limit the company’s ability to invest in strategic areas such as electrification and autonomous technology.

Market Reaction

Wall Street’s reaction to the tariff announcement underscores investor apprehension. GM’s stock tumbled by 9%, wiping out nearly $4 billion in market capitalization within hours on November 26. This decline was sharper than the drops experienced by competitors like Ford Motor Company (F) (2.6%) and Stellantis N.V. (STLA) (5.7%), both of which have relatively lower dependence on imported components.

The automotive sector as a whole saw heightened volatility as analysts scrambled to reassess earnings forecasts under the potential tariff regime. GM’s vulnerability lies in its significant reliance on a just-in-time supply chain model, which prioritizes efficiency but leaves little buffer for external shocks like tariffs. With profit margins already thin in the mass-market vehicle segment, any additional costs are expected to amplify financial pressure. Investors appear wary of the ripple effects these tariffs might have, particularly if other trade partners retaliate, further constraining the global trade ecosystem.

Strategic Considerations for GM

Navigating these headwinds requires GM to rethink its operational strategies. The first and perhaps most challenging option is to accelerate the localization of its supply chain. By sourcing components from domestic suppliers, GM could potentially avoid tariff-related costs. However, this would require time-intensive and capital-heavy investments in supplier partnerships and manufacturing infrastructure within the U.S.

Another alternative is to absorb the increased costs by streamlining operations or enhancing efficiencies elsewhere. GM’s significant investment in automation and manufacturing technology may play a pivotal role here. The company has already committed billions toward modernizing its plants, and additional upgrades could help offset higher input costs.

Passing costs to consumers by increasing vehicle prices is a third option. This approach, while straightforward, risks alienating customers in a competitive market where affordability is key. Pricing pressures could be particularly severe in segments like small cars and entry-level SUVs, which attract cost-sensitive buyers.

Lastly, GM could intensify its lobbying efforts to seek tariff exemptions or other forms of government relief. Securing temporary exemptions for key components could alleviate immediate cost pressures, though this strategy hinges on favorable political negotiations.

Investor Outlook

Despite the challenges posed by tariffs, GM’s underlying financial health offers some reassurance. Its Q3 2024 performance highlighted resilience, with revenue growing by 10.5% year-over-year and automotive free cash flow increasing by 18.8% to reach $5.8 billion. The company’s push toward electrification has positioned it as a leader in the transition to sustainable mobility, with EVs accounting for an increasing share of its production portfolio.

However, the long-term implications of sustained tariffs remain a concern. Higher production costs could erode margins, reduce GM's ability to compete on price and slow down its EV ambitions. Moreover, if tariffs lead to prolonged supply chain disruptions, the resulting production delays could affect GM's market share.

The road ahead requires careful consideration for investors. Long-term shareholders with confidence in GM’s strategic direction may choose to hold their positions, betting on its ability to navigate tariff-related challenges and capitalize on EV growth. Meanwhile, short-term investors wary of volatility might opt to stay on the sidelines until greater clarity emerges regarding the tariff policies and GM’s response.

Is Ford's Recall a Buying Opportunity or a Red Flag?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Ford Motor Company (F) will recall 90,736 vehicles due to a potential issue with engine intake valves that may break while driving, as stated by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). This recall affects certain 2021-2022 models, including the Bronco, F-150, Edge, Explorer, Lincoln Nautilus, and Lincoln Aviator, equipped with either a 2.7L or 3.0L Nano EcoBoost engine.

The recall, initiated by U.S. regulators, has prompted concerns among investors regarding the potential financial and reputational impact on F. This situation raises an important question: Does this recall represent a buying opportunity due to an overreaction in the stock price, or is it a red flag signaling deeper issues within the automaker?

Recall’s Financial and Reputational Impact on Ford

The recall could carry significant financial implications for Ford. While the exact cost of the recall will depend on the number of engines that need to be replaced, the expense of performing engine cycle tests and potential engine replacements will likely be substantial. However, it is essential to consider the company’s financial health when assessing the impact of recall.

For the second quarter that ended June 30, 2024, F’s revenue increased 6.2% year-over-year to $47.80 billion. However, the company failed to surpass analysts’ estimate of $44.90 billion. Also, Ford reported adjusted EPS of $0.47, down 34.7% year-over-year. That missed the consensus EPS estimate of $0.68.

The company’s second-quarter adjusted free cash flow grew 10.3% from the prior year’s quarter to $3.20 billion. Ford’s cash and cash equivalents stood at $19.95 billion as of June 30, 2024. The automaker raised its full-year guidance for free cash flow while maintaining its 2024 earnings guidance. F’s guidance range for adjusted EBIT is $10-$12 billion, and expectations for adjusted FCF increased by $1 billion to between $7.5 billion and $8.5 billion.

From a reputational standpoint, Ford’s recall could undermine consumer confidence, especially in the models affected. The vehicles involved include some of the automaker’s best-sellers, such as the F-150 and the Bronco, which play critical roles in Ford’s product lineup.

Recalls, particularly those related to engine issues, can tarnish the brand’s image and lead to concerns about its vehicles' overall quality and reliability. This could potentially affect Ford’s sales in the short term, as customers may hesitate to purchase models involved in the recall.

Immediate Impact on Ford’s Stock

In the immediate aftermath of the recall announcement, investor sentiment around F could turn negative, leading to a decline in the stock price. Market overreactions to such news are common, mainly when the recall involves critical components like engines. However, the dip in the stock price could present a buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe in Ford’s ability to navigate through these challenges.

Ford has been making significant strides in the electric vehicle (EV) and autonomous driving sectors, which are well-poised to witness substantial growth in the near future. Fortune Business Insights projects the global EV market to expand from $671.47 billion in 2024 to $1.89 trillion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.8% during the forecast period.

F, announced in earlier 2022, has committed to investing $50 billion in EVs by 2026, aiming to produce 2 million EVs annually. The company’s push into autonomous driving technologies also positions it well in a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. These promising long-term growth prospects could outweigh the short-term challenges posed by the recall, making the current dip in stock price an attractive entry point for investors with a long-term horizon.

Competitor Analysis: Opportunities for GM and STLA

While Ford deals with the fallout from this recall, competitors like General Motors Company (GM) and Stellantis N.V. (STLA) could seize the opportunity to capture market share. Both companies are heavily invested in the EV market and have been gaining traction with their respective product lines.

With its solid portfolio of electric vehicles, including the Chevrolet Bolt and the upcoming Hummer EV, GM is well-positioned to benefit if F’s recall leads to a loss of consumer confidence. Similarly, STLA, with its diverse product lineup and focus on electrification, could attract customers who might otherwise have considered Ford vehicles.

Therefore, investors may consider buying GM and STLA as they could see an uptick in sales and market share at Ford’s expense.

Bottom Line

F’s recent recall over the engine value issue, initiated by NHTSA, presents a complex situation for investors. On one hand, the recall could lead to a short-term decline in stock price due to negative investor sentiment and potential financial costs. On the other hand, this dip could offer a buying opportunity for those who believe in Ford’s long-term prospects in EVs and autonomous driving.

Moreover, the recall opens up potential opportunities for competitors like General Motors and Stellantis to capitalize on any loss of market share that Ford might witness. As such, investors may find value in diversifying their portfolios by considering GM and STLA, which are also well-positioned in the evolving EV landscape.

While Ford’s recall is a concerning development, it may not be a long-term red flag. Instead, it could be a temporary setback for the automaker, creating a buying opportunity for discerning investors. However, it is crucial to monitor the situation closely, as the extent of the recall’s impact on F’s reputation and financials will ultimately determine whether this is a buying opportunity or a sign of deeper issues within the company.

Tesla vs. BYD: The Battle for Global EV Dominance in Ride-Hailing

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In 1995, while Elon Musk was kicking off his first venture in Silicon Valley, another entrepreneur, Wang Chuanfu, was starting his own journey in Shenzhen with BYD, making batteries for Motorola. It’s wild to think that nearly three decades later, Musk and Wang would be leading two of the biggest names in electric vehicles, caught in a geopolitical tug-of-war that’s all about manufacturing, energy, tech, and tariffs.

The rivalry between Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and BYD Company Limited (BYDDY) isn’t as clear-cut as it seems. Despite being on opposite sides of a geopolitical divide, their businesses are deeply intertwined. Tesla’s second-largest market and biggest factory are in China, with significant investment from billionaires like He Xiaopeng. On the flip side, BYD’s largest external shareholders are American giants like Berkshire Hathaway and Blackrock, and it even supplied the largest-ever order for electric buses in the U.S. Plus, BYD sells batteries to Tesla.

These examples illustrate the difficulty of 'de-risking' between two deeply intertwined economies and determining who is 'winning' at any given moment. One thing’s for sure, though: both Wang and Musk remain optimistic about the future.

Tesla vs. BYD: The Competition Is Hot on Its Heels

While TSLA enjoys a near-mythical status among EV enthusiasts, BYD is rapidly closing the gap. In the last quarter, Tesla delivered 443,956 all-electric cars, 5% less than a year ago but 14.8% more than the previous quarter. Meanwhile, BYD’s sales volume surged 28.8% in July compared to the previous year, reaching 342,383 vehicles. In the first quarter, BYD was only 18,000 cars short of Tesla’s deliveries from April to June 2024, indicating how close this race is getting.

TSLA’s total revenues for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024, increased 2.2% from the previous year to $25.50 billion, showcasing its continued growth and success. However, BYD’s strong performance, with a 4% year-over-year increase in operating revenue, indicates a shifting landscape in the EV market, with BYD poised to challenge Tesla’s long-standing dominance.

On the bottom line, TSLA’s non-GAAP net income and EPS for the second quarter declined by 45% and 43% year-over-year to $1.81 billion and $0.52, respectively. In contrast, BYDDY’s attributable net profit for the March quarter grew 10.6% from the prior year to RMB4.57 billion ($640.82 million). Moreover, its EPS stood at RMB1.57, up 10.5% year-over-year.

Despite Tesla’s recent decline in profits, it has maintained its leadership position in EV deliveries, thanks to its significant advantage over other manufacturers in previous years. But with BYD closing in, the competition in the EV market is only getting hotter.

Tesla Has a Massive Leg Up on Its Competitors

Tesla is building EVs cheaper than anyone else, and it's giving Elon Musk's company an edge even with increasing competition. According to Bank of America, Tesla spends less than $30,000 on components per vehicle. This is $17,000 cheaper than other EV makers and about $10,000 below the industry average. Despite shrinking margins and slowing sales, these lower costs keep Tesla ahead of traditional automakers like Ford Motor Company (F) and General Motors Company (GM), who still rely on profits from gas-powered cars and haven't yet made a profit on their EVs.

High input costs lead to higher consumer prices, making it challenging for TSLA’s competitors to compete in a price-sensitive market. To make its cars even more affordable, the company offered attractive financing options in Q2, helping to offset high interest rates.

Elon Musk has big plans to compete with Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) through Tesla's autonomous (self-driving) robotaxis dubbed ‘Cybercab’. Musk is heavily investing in this technology and aims to release a more advanced, steering-wheel-free model possibly this fall. He envisions Tesla owners renting out their cars as self-driving taxis, similar to Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB), which could pose a severe challenge to ride-sharing giants like Uber and Lyft.

The idea is that Tesla owners can earn extra income by letting their cars operate as robotaxis during their off hours, with Tesla taking a cut of the profits. Musk even predicts that each participating Tesla could generate around $30,000 in gross earnings annually for its owner.

In a recent earnings call, Musk mentioned significant progress in full self-driving technology, with version 12.5 showing notable improvements. He also announced a slight delay in the Robotaxi product reveal, now scheduled for October 10th, to allow for essential updates and enhancements. Additionally, Tesla is ramping up production in its U.S. factory and building a new Megapack factory in China, potentially tripling its output.

BYD Joins Forces With Uber to Close the Gap With Tesla

BYD, Tesla's biggest competitor, has just struck a major deal with UBER. The deal aims to bring 100,000 BYD electric vehicles (EVs) to Uber’s global fleet, starting in Europe and Latin America before expanding to other regions. To encourage drivers to switch to EVs, both companies would offer incentives like discounts on maintenance, charging, financing, and leasing.

This move comes as global EV sales slow and Chinese automakers face higher import tariffs. The collaboration aims to lower the total cost of EV ownership for Uber drivers, boosting EV adoption on Uber’s platform and providing greener rides for millions of users.

BYD is also working on integrating its self-driving technology into Uber’s platform. With $14 billion invested in smart cars, BYD is developing a “Navigate on Autopilot” feature similar to Tesla’s “Autopilot,” which could potentially make BYD-Uber autonomous vehicles direct competitors to Tesla’s robotaxis.

BYD is expanding its production facilities outside China in response to increased tariffs on Chinese-made EVs. The company has recently secured a $1 billion deal to build a new manufacturing plant in Turkey, which will produce up to 150,000 vehicles annually and create around 5,000 jobs by 2026. They’ve also opened an EV plant in Thailand, with similar production capacity and expected to generate 10,000 jobs. Additionally, BYD plans to establish a passenger car factory in Hungary and another in Mexico.

Given these strategic diversifications and a focus on innovation, BYD has transformed into a global EV powerhouse. The company’s hefty investments in expanding its production capacity and approach to vertical integration have further solidified its competitive edge in the EV market​​.

Bottom Line

BYD’s strategic focus on electric and hybrid vehicles, along with its tech innovations and global expansion, makes it a serious contender against Tesla. As the EV market evolves, the competition between BYDDY and TSLA is expected to intensify, with both companies pushing hard to lead the charge and grab a bigger slice of the global market. The battle for EV dominance is far from over, and it would be interesting to see how these two giants move forward will shape the future of electric mobility.

7 Historically High Performing Thanksgiving Stocks

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Amid mounting global challenges, it's essential to savor the lighter aspects of life. History shows a bullish trend during the holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week, fueled by increased consumer spending, the surge in holiday travel, and a lower cost of Thanksgiving spread.

Retailers anticipate robust sales during the festive week to turn over a profit for the year. Consequently, they offer discounts and attractive deals on overstocked items, seasonal goods, high-priced commodities, and holiday decor and gifts. Over the past decade, the retail sector has consistently surpassed the S&P 500 during this time frame.

2023 is predicted to witness a record-breaking holiday expenditure during November and December, indicating growth between 3% and 4% over 2022, snowballing the total spent from $957.3 billion to an estimated $966.6 billion. A 2023 Deloitte holiday survey suggests consumers are projected to spend an average of $1,652 during this holiday season, exceeding the pre-pandemic spending levels.

Despite witnessing a dip in October – its first in seven months – U.S. retail sales are expected to rebound. Despite economic uncertainties pressurizing customers, they prioritize holiday expenses during this year's shopping season and are looking for attractive deals and promotions to guide their expenditures.

Approximately 90% of shoppers planning to shop during the Thanksgiving break aim to visit a store to make purchases or collect an online order, with 84% planning to shop online.

Auto manufacturers were grappling amid the United Auto Workers strike. After successful negotiations with General Motors, October 30, 2023 marked the end of the strike. Kelley Blue Book reports that many car dealerships hoarding new vehicles due to fears of scarcity are currently dealing with an oversupply. The average dealership now boasts a 67-day supply of vehicles, although certain brands are still coping with undersupply. The swing in supply could generate lucrative deals for the holiday season.

The airline industry is bracing for the imminent holiday season, expecting record passenger volumes. The Transportation Security Administration projects a staggering 30 million passengers to be screened, potentially setting a new travel record. The pinnacle of this busy stretch is expected to be the Sunday following Thanksgiving, with approximately 2.9 million air travelers anticipated.

According to the Federal Aviation Administration, Thanksgiving flights could peak at 49,606 on the preceding Wednesday – a significant rise compared to last year's all-time high of 48,192. Many airlines are adequately prepared for severe weather conditions, having learned lessons from the previous year when they were compelled to cancel thousands of flights across the country due to adverse weather.

Thanksgiving continues to defy economic headwinds like rising inflation and dwindling consumer savings. Understanding the holiday's implications goes beyond recognizing it as a time for feasting and expressing gratitude; it is also crucial to comprehend its effects on stock market trends.

In the weeks leading up to Thanksgiving, the stock market traditionally experiences more substantial activity as traders recalibrate their strategies. Historically, the S&P 500 has closed the week on an optimistic note three-quarters of the time since 1961, with a median gain of 0.3%.

Furthermore, the S&P 500 has posted positive figures for the week two-thirds of the time, presenting investors with a median gain of 0.75%. Notably, amid the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, the S&P 500 reported an impressive 12% profit during Thanksgiving week.

This article will delve into the influence of Thanksgiving on various sectors like food, beverage, auto, e-commerce, and travel stocks. The seven stocks that could benefit from the holiday week are discussed below:

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

E-commerce behemoth AMZN is primed to reshuffle the deck of the festive commerce landscape. With a soaring 71.3% year-to-date gain, the company's performance deserves praise. The most recent earnings report depicts an impressive 12.6% revenue surge, hitting a staggering $143.08 billion. AMZN's efforts have been focused on more than just following the market trend, but indeed establishing it.

Market murmurs reflect the awe inspired by the company. Its impressive market cap exceeding $1.48 trillion, coupled with an energetic average volume of 52.49 million, reveals the momentum of AMZN this Thanksgiving.

In a period blossoming with high consumer activity, hundreds of millions of goods are purchased from AMZN. Thus, the company’s fourth-quarter results will provide Wall Street with a comprehensive snapshot of the festive shopping season.

Analysts expect AMZN’s revenue to increase 11.2% year-over-year to $165.85 billion, while EPS is expected to be $0.76, up significantly year-over-year.

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)

The Corona, California-based energy drink provider MNST maintains a consistent demand for its beverages, unfazed by frequent price uplifts. The third quarter’s profit surpassed expectations, catalyzed by increased energy drinks and hard seltzers prices.

A decrease in freight and aluminum can costs from the peaks experienced during COVID-19 has inadvertently facilitated the elevation of previously pressured margins.

As of May 2022, MNST beverages have reached the list of top-selling energy drinks in America. The company's momentum will likely persist as a dynamic array of product launches is forecasted to encourage stable growth. A profound distribution network across international markets and a focus on expanding opportunities bode well for future gains.

Bolstered by robust demand trends, sound pricing strategies, and continuous product development, MNST's resilience stands firm. Net sales for the 2023 third quarter increased 14.3% to $1.86 billion. Analysts expect MNST’s revenue and EPS to increase 16.3% and 36% year-over-year to $1.76 billion and $0.39, respectively.

General Motors Company (GM)

2023 is shaping to be a benchmark year for car consumers seeking year-end deals. An unprecedented converging scenario involving elevated inventory levels, significantly increasing interest rates, and traditional holiday discounts is navigating toward big discounts.

Annually, the holiday season witnesses an eruption of optimum offers from car dealerships. Conscious that consumers are more inclined to spend during the festive season, automakers and dealerships deliver enthralling promotions, markdowns, and exclusive deals.

Consequently, after years of observing these seasonal conventions, buyers expect bountiful year-end car discounts, often holding back on purchases until December to avail of them.

For November, GM offers notable cash rebates on various 2023 models. Buyers can expect up to $4,000 off the GMC Sierra 1500 and $3,500 off the Silverado 1500. On average, a rebate of around $1,500 is currently on offer across all GM models.

This tactic could pivotally steer the Detroit-based auto giant's fortunes upward as we enter the holiday season. Amid these developments, for the fiscal quarter ending December 2023, analysts expect GM’s revenue and EPS to be $39.58 billion and $0.97, respectively.

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

As Americans traverse the nation to unite with their families during the Thanksgiving season, the holiday is anticipated to act as a definitive marker for the aviation industry's capacity to navigate the year-end festivity period despite facing hurdles of sustained deficit of air traffic controllers.

DAL, bolstered by its strong position, is primed to capture a sizable share of this travel surge. Boasting one of the most comprehensive domestic route networks within the continental U.S., DAL is optimally set up to accommodate these customers.

Being one of the four major carriers dominating over 60% of the U.S. aviation market, DAL persistently demonstrates robust bookings – a trend spearheaded by its premium offerings, which significantly eclipsed the main cabin reservations in recent quarters. Catering to premium passengers has successfully insulated DAL from some of the financial strains budget airlines have faced recently.

DAL projects to witness between 6.2 million to 6.4 million passengers this Thanksgiving, an increase of 5.7 million passengers the airline accommodated last year and is anticipated to surpass the 6.25 million passengers transported in 2019.

DAL emerges as a promising prospect for investors weighted towards capitalizing on dwindling oil prices and the future supply chain improvement. These factors stand to positively impact profit margins within the aerospace industry down the line.

For the fiscal quarter ending December 2023, analysts expect DAL’s revenue is expected to increase 3.9% year-over-year to $13.96 billion, while EPS is expected to be $1.14.

eBay Inc. (EBAY)

With over $20 billion in market cap, EBAY, an established e-commerce heavyweight, is tirelessly striving to attract its consumers' interest and spending power. Customers seeking automotive necessities, smartwatches, and Apple products can reap the benefits of up to 75% discount by commencing their shopping endeavors with EBAY this holiday season.

EBAY constantly refines its strategies to uphold its preeminence in an industry characterized by relentless evolution and revolution. As the holiday season looms, its performance is under intense scrutiny as never before, making its sales forecast a widely watched indicator in the e-commerce landscape.

For the fiscal quarter ending December 2023, analysts expect EBAY’s revenue and EPS to be $2.51 billion and $1.02, respectively.

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG)

CAG, a leading North American food company, stands to gain as the anticipated cost of this year's Thanksgiving meal is set to decrease.

American Farm Bureau Federation survey has revealed that the average expense of a conventional Thanksgiving dinner for 10 people in 2023 will be roughly $61.17, or under $6.20 per individual. This reduction is largely attributed to a 5.6% year-over-year decrease in turkey prices and notable reductions in the whipping cream and cranberries prices by 22.8% and 18.3%, respectively.

The declining grocery costs could lead to a sales uptick for CAG this festive season.

Moreover, preparing a Thanksgiving dinner also encompasses multiple stressors, including shopping, planning, and the actual cooking process. However, CAG's sophisticated meal-kit delivery service can eliminate two primary pressure points.

By delivering all the necessary pre-portioned and prepared ingredients required to prepare a mouthwatering meal directly to the customer's doorstep, CAG offers a solution for consumers to enjoy a stress-free holiday season.

For the fiscal quarter ending November 2023, analysts expect CAG’s revenue and EPS to be $3.25 billion and $0.68, respectively.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

UAL anticipates a record-breaking surge in travelers this Thanksgiving holiday season, projecting significant revenue growth. The holiday travel period, defined as November 17 to November 29, sees the airline expecting to serve over 5.9 million passengers. This indicates a roughly 5% rise compared to 2019 and a significant 13% increment from last year's figures.

UAL plans to operate an average of over 3,900 daily flights to manage the increased traffic, translating to approximately three departures per minute. Therefore, the airline has introduced over 550,000 seats to accommodate high passenger volumes.

UAL attributes its heightened demand to the success of its basic economy pricing option. This economical ticket option allows UAL to compete effectively against rival ultra-low-cost carriers.

UAL’s third-quarter revenue from its basic economy rose 50% annually. UAL’s CEO Scott Kirby credits this substantial gain to the company’s “improved product.”

For the fiscal quarter ending December 2023, analysts expect UAL’s revenue is expected to increase 9.5% year-over-year to $13.58 billion, while EPS is expected to be $1.69.

4 Stocks to Buy Instead of TSLA as Its Downtrend Continues

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) aims to sell 20 million EVs a year by the end of this decade. However, the company faces steep competition from other manufacturers as they launch their battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and invest in ramping up their EV manufacturing capabilities.

To ward off competition and economic uncertainty, TSLA has cut the prices of its vehicles this year. Recently, the company cut the prices for Model 3, Model S, and Model X in the United States. In China, TSLA reduced Model S and X prices. The company has been focusing on boosting volume growth by lowering prices, but it is affecting its gross margins.

Due to price cuts, discounts, and tax credits, the company reported delivering a record-setting 466,140 vehicles during the second quarter. However, Wall Street analysts have cut TSLA’s third-quarter delivery estimates by 2%. They expect the EV maker to deliver 462,000 vehicles during the third quarter.

TSLA CEO Elon Musk had said during the second-quarter earnings call that although it was sticking to its target of producing 1.8 million vehicles, third-quarter production would take a hit due to essential factory upgrades that would take place during the quarter.

Some analysts have forecasted that delivery numbers will be less than 460,000 units. Deutsche Bank analyst Emmanuel Rosner lowered his delivery expectations to 440,000, down from his previous forecast of 455,000. Baird analyst Ben Kallo has projected that the third quarter deliveries would be 439,200 units.

Rosner said, “Tesla’s 3Q 2023 deliveries and production could miss Street expectations, but more important, we see meaningful downside risk to 2024 consensus due to limited volume growth next year.” The analyst has cut its target price on TSLA to $285 from $300.

Amid the confusion over the third-quarter deliveries and production figures, many analysts are worried that TSLA’s production next year will be lower than the previous estimates. Deutsche Bank believes the EV maker’s earnings could face headwinds in 2024. In an investor meeting, they said that TSLA suggested that it was not looking to ramp up production at its Austin and Berlin factories to 10,000 units per week next year.

The bank has forecasted that TSLA will produce 2.1 million units next year, down from the previous consensus estimate of 2.3 million units. They also reduced the price target of TSLA to $285 per share from $300.

Moreover, TSLA is currently trading at an expensive valuation. In terms of forward EV/EBITDA, TSLA’s 42.58x is 364% higher than the 9.18x industry average. Likewise, its 7.47x forward EV/Sales is 564.3% higher than the 1.12x industry average. Its 70.97x forward non-GAAP P/E is 410.1% higher than the 13.91x industry average.

Given the uncertainty surrounding TSLA’s near-term prospects, it could be wise to buy fundamentally strong auto stocks Ferrari N.V. (RACE), General Motors Company (GM), Li Auto Inc. (LI), and NIO Inc. (NIO).

Let’s discuss these stocks in detail.

Ferrari N.V. (RACE)

Headquartered in Maranello, Italy, RACE designs, designs, produces, and sells luxury sports cars worldwide. The company offers a range, special series, Icona, and supercars; limited edition supercars and one-off cars; and track cars. It also provides racing cars, spare parts and engines, and after-sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services for cars.

RACE’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 18.2% over the past three years. Its EBITDA grew at a CAGR of 24.2% over the past three years. In addition, its EPS grew at a CAGR of 29.1% in the same time frame.

In terms of the trailing-12-month net income margin, RACE’s 19.46% is 342.8% higher than the 4.40% industry average. Likewise, its 30.86% trailing-12-month EBITDA margin is 180.3% higher than the industry average of 11.01%. Furthermore, the stock’s 6.73% trailing-12-month Capex/Sales is 109.4% higher than the industry average of 3.22%.

RACE’s net revenues for the second quarter ended June 30, 2023, increased 14.2% year-over-year to €1.47 billion ($1.55 billion). Its adjusted EBITDA rose 32.1% over the prior-year quarter to €589 million ($620.54 million). The company’s adjusted EBIT increased 35.3% year-over-year to €437 million ($460.40 million).

Its adjusted net profit rose 33.1% year-over-year to €334 million ($351.89 million). Also, its adjusted EPS came in at €1.83, representing an increase of 34.6% year-over-year.

Analysts expect RACE’s revenue for the quarter ending September 30, 2023, to increase 25.8% year-over-year to $1.55 billion. Its EPS for the fiscal period ending March 2024 is expected to increase 8.8% year-over-year to $1.94. It surpassed the consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

General Motors Company (GM)

GM designs, builds, and sells trucks, crossovers, cars, and automobile parts; and provides software-enabled services and subscriptions worldwide. The company operates through GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial segments.

On August 16, 2023, GM invested $60 million in a Series B financing round of AI and battery materials innovator Mitra Chem. The company’s AI-powered platform and advanced research and development facility in Mountain View, California, will help accelerate GM’s commercialization of affordable EV batteries.

Gil Golan, GM vice president, Technology Acceleration and Commercialization, said, “This is a strategic investment that will further help reinforce GM’s efforts in EV efforts in EV batteries, accelerate our work on affordable battery chemistries like LMFP, and support our efforts to build a U.S.-focused battery supply chain.

On April 25, 2023, GM and Samsung SDI announced that they plan to invest more than $3 billion to build a new battery cell manufacturing plant in the United States, slated to start operations in 2026.

GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra said, “GM’s supply chain strategy for EVs is focused on scalability, resiliency, sustainability, and cost-competitiveness. Our new relationship with Samsung SDI will help us achieve all these objectives. The cells we will build together will help us scale our EV capacity in North America well beyond 1 million units annually.”

GM’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 13.6% over the past three years. Its EBIT grew at a CAGR of 46.6% over the past three years. In addition, its net income grew at a CAGR of 82.4% in the same time frame.

In terms of the trailing-12-month levered FCF margin, GM’s 7.27% is 42.3% higher than the 5.11% industry average. Likewise, its 15% trailing-12-month Return on Common Equity is 34.2% higher than the industry average of 11.17%. Furthermore, the stock’s 5.95% trailing-12-month Capex/Sales is 84.9% higher than the industry average of 3.22%.

For the second quarter ended June 30, 2023, GM’s total revenues increased 25.1% year-over-year to $44.75 billion. Its net income attributable to stockholders rose 51.7% year-over-year to $2.57 billion. The company’s adjusted EBIT rose 38% year-over-year to $3.23 billion. Also, its adjusted EPS came in at $1.91, representing a 67.5% increase year-over-year.

For the quarter ending September 30, 2023, GM’s revenue is expected to increase 3.9% year-over-year to $43.52 billion. Its EPS for fiscal 2023 is expected to increase 1.5% year-over-year to $7.70. It surpassed the consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Li Auto Inc. (LI)

Headquartered in Beijing, the People’s Republic of China, LI designs, develops, manufactures, and sells new energy vehicles in the People’s Republic of China. The company provides Li ONE and Li L series smart electric vehicles. It also offers sales and after-sales management, technology development, corporate management services, as well as purchases of manufacturing equipment.

LI’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 263.4% over the past three years. Its total assets grew at a CAGR of 115.8% over the past three years.

In terms of the trailing-12-month levered FCF margin, LI’s 23.51% is 360.2% higher than the 5.11% industry average. Likewise, the stock’s 7.69% trailing-12-month Capex/Sales is 139.2% higher than the industry average of 3.22%.

LI’s total revenues for the second quarter ended June 30, 2023, increased 228.1% year-over-year to RMB28.65 billion ($3.91 billion). Its gross profit rose 232% over the prior-year quarter to RMB6.24 billion ($853.63 million). The company’s non-GAAP income from operations came in at RMB2.04 billion ($279.07 million), compared to a non-GAAP loss from operations of RMB520.80 million ($71.25 million).

Also, its non-GAAP net income stood at RMB2.73 billion ($373.46 million), compared to a non-GAAP net loss of RMB183.40 million ($25.09 million).

Street expects LI’s revenue for the quarter ending September 30, 2023, to increase 245.3% year-over-year to $4.64 billion. Its EPS for the quarter ending December 31, 2023, is expected to increase 151.7% year-over-year to $0.34. It surpassed the Street EPS estimates in three of the trailing four quarters.

NIO Inc. (NIO)

Based in Shanghai, China, NIO designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China. It offers five- and six-seater electric SUVs and smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, power chargers and destination chargers, power mobile, power map, and One Click for power valet service.

On July 12, 2023, NIO announced that it closed the $738.50 million strategic equity investment from CYVN Investments RSC Ltd, an affiliate of CYVN Holdings L.L.C., an investment vehicle majority owned by the Abu Dhabi Government with a focus on advanced and smart mobility. The NIO and CYVN entities would collaborate strategically in international business and technology cooperation.

NIO’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 70.6% over the past three years. Its total assets grew at a CAGR of 55.7% over the past three years.

In terms of the trailing-12-month Capex/Sales, NIO’s 17.62% is 447.9% higher than the 3.22% industry average.

For the second quarter ended June 30, 2023, NIO’s total revenues fell 14.8% year-over-year to RMB8.77 billion ($1.20 billion). Its adjusted loss from operations widened 132% year-over-year to RMB5.46 billion ($746.93 million). In addition, its adjusted net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of NIO widened 140.2% year-over-year to RMB5.45 billion ($745.56 million).

Furthermore, its adjusted net loss per share attributable to ordinary shareholders widened 144.8% year-over-year to RMB3.28.

For the quarter ending September 30, 2023, NIO’s revenue is expected to increase 47.2% year-over-year to $2.66 billion.