Big Milestone in the Markets

The euro for the first time since last August broke through the psychological barrier of 1.5000. This move confirms our belief that the dollar is headed lower - a lot lower. If you take a look at our latest video, you will see some of the target zones we are projecting for the dollar.

I also strongly recommend that you should watch this Euro/Dollar video that we made back on September 25th to see how back then the market dovetails with todays actions and how we derived the cyclic predictions we forecast for the dollar.

As always, our videos are free to watch and there is no registration required.

Adam Hewison
Co-founder, MarketClub

20 thoughts on “Big Milestone in the Markets


    Why would any part time investor want to play a security that is not Trending?. Stocks that are TRENDING are moving predictably. Stocks that are TRADING are for the full timers.

    I also look for securities where the short moving averages (5-13-21) are above the intermediate moving averages 50-80.

    As for the ADX which has been mentioned several times, I find it is extremely useful to check the ADX against the PPO (or the MACD if you prefer) to back up your interpretation. and it certainly helps prevent churning the account to employ the AROON (25) as a fail-safe make or break decision maker when fear and greed have taken control of the frontal lobes and you haven't set TIGHT STOPS.

    1. Bob K, it's not always so cut and dry identifying when markets go from trending to basing. Sadly, the trade triangles clearly suffer in their performance during this time. If one were to develop a system to improve the efficiency, it could really improve results. Frankly, I do have a sytem that I use to filter the triangles, and so far it's testing out nicely.

  2. Terry,

    Thank you for your feedback.

    What I am saying is this, the markets are the markets and you have to change direction when they change direction. Not to do so is the fastest way to lose money. There is no ego in trading only discipline and rules.

    All the best,

  3. So are you saying that there will be an uptrend until the Euro turns around, or are you saying that the inverse correlation will change?

  4. Hey Steve W,

    Learn how to use ADX. It can snif out trending and sideways markets. ADX will rise when a market is about to trend. It will be sideways when a market is sideways.

    You can also adjust the settings for you trading style. The default is a 14 day period but I use a 7 day period because I am a short term trader. He who buys first gets to sell to the greedy late comers.

    Also google articles by Chuck Lebeau on ADX. He is a big fan of it.


  5. Silver is not a good buy right now. The safest time to trade silver is when it has had a good correction, such as the one from the middle of Sept to beginning of Oct. The macd is bearish and there is bearish diveragance on top of that.

    Wait for panic selling and buy the silver from the ones giving it away on sale when you get a signal. The sideways action in the last week is a recipe for losing money.

  6. Comment by Denis Bouchard
    2009-10-22 01:34:20
    'It appears that the dollar is finally bottoming out this week.'

    Not sure what you are seeing but there is a whole lotta air from .76 down to .72.

  7. Hi Adam,

    I've asked this question a couple of times, but my question is highlighted clearly in this video.

    As with many technical indicators, the trade triangles seem to perform really well in trending markets, and suffer in sideways markets. Do you have any suggestions for filtering out signals in sideways markets?

  8. I am referring to the U.S. stock markets, such as the S&P 500 or the DOW. The commodities, oil, also trades inverse to the dollar during this period since March 9th (also last year).

    The video was a couple of weeks ago, but I would have to research which one included your prediction for the 4th quarter of 2009 US stock markets.

    I do appreciate your videos, just confused about this long-term prediction (unless there are counterrallies in the dollar along the way).

    1. Terry,

      Thank you for your feedback.

      In trading as in life you need to keep resetting goals and targets. All long-term prediction based on information I believe to be correct could change. Not changing with the market is a mistake. It is not the strongest or the biggest animals that survive it is the ones that can adapt and change. So it is in trading.

      I know this sounds pretty philosophical but that's the reality of the markets.

      All the best,

  9. I also would like to see a video on silver. Many people are screaming buy gold buy gold but isn't it silver that has given the best return on investment for the year? Up almost 40% this year, I'd say that is one heck of a return for a single investment vehicle.

    Thanks for the videos you put out. Your analysis seems spot on so far :0

    All the Best,


  10. If the dollar is trading against the US markets, the analysis of this video implies a huge bull market until the 4th quarter of 2011. I don't see this happening. In one of your previous videos about the market prognosis for this fall, you predicted a down market in the 4th quarter of this year.

    1. Terry,

      Thanks for your feedback.

      I am not altogether sure what market you are referring to and what video.

      This is what I am looking for: The euro to trade to the 1.6500 - 1.7000 level on or before Q4 of 2011.

      Please let me know what markets and what video you are referring to in your comment.


  11. sir, 22/10/09

    i am lucky to be with market club. i use to see vedio regularly.

    it teaches me a lot.please discuss on silver in your next vedio.

    with regards atul c shah
    ( INDIA )

    1. Atul,

      Thank you for your feedback.

      I cannot promise to do a video on silver but I will do my best. There just happens to be a great deal more interest in gold than silver at the moment.

      I understand that silver more than gold is a huge market in India.


  12. Hi Lindsay, thank you for your response. With regards to a TRIN Oscillator feature can I ask you to suggest to your team that you place a poll on your website to your existing and potential future clients if query if many would like this feature added ASAP, nice to have, semi-important etc... I believe this feature based on research I have done with other systems that a TRIN Oscillator feature that tracks ticks etc... Would be very beneficial to short and intermediate traders.

    Thank you for your patience and I will await your response

    Take care
    Toronto, Canada

    1. Joe,

      Due to the complexity of the programming I do not believe we can immediately add this feature. I'm sorry, but we will definitely keep a dialog going with our technical team.


      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development & MarketClub

  13. Hi Adam,

    Thanks for another insightful video. Quick question - does this analysis apply to FXE too? FXE also broke the 150 mark today. Are you seeing a target of 156 for FXE.


  14. It appears that the dollar is finally bottoming out this week. The current economic environment is deflationary, not inflationary... at least not yet. Beginning in the short term and lasting to the intermediate term, we should a massive move upward in the dollar and a big move down in the euro. Although perhaps unlikely, it is possible that the dollar index will break 100 on the upside before inflationary forces kick in and we start to see a big move down in the dollar.

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