Why Today's Market Action is Important

No question about it, today's market action caught many people by surprise, but it's important to understand what happened and why it happened from a technical standpoint.

As many of you who have been following my videos already know, MarketClub's “Trade Triangle” technology has been neutral on the indexes since January 20. We have also been bearish on gold since the 22nd of January. So what is happening to the markets?

The recovery in the indexes from March of '09 was basically just that, a recovery. Our Fibonacci retracement indicator was spot-on and points to a potentially more negative down move in the future. All of the indices managed to recover back over 50% of the gains before this recent downturn.

Today, I want to share some significant levels to look for during the balance of February. If these levels are broken and taken out, it would indicate a much more serious problem for the equity markets.

Here are the levels on the indices: S&P 500 key level to watch 1,029.38, NASDAQ key level to watch 2,024.27, and Dow Jones at 9,678.95.

In the case of spot gold, the key level to watch this month is 1,044.20. If the gold market goes below that level, it will signify further retrenchment for this precious metal.

Make no mistake about it, today's action is not positive for the equity markets. However, providing the levels we mentioned above hold, then you could say we're in a broad trading range and we expect the lows to be tested. I, for one, am cynical that this is going to happen.

You may also want to take a look at my recent gold and crude oil videos. Cyclically these markets are right on target and acting the way we expected them to act.

All the best,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

Trader's Whiteboard: Lesson 6

How many times have you turned on your television or computer to see that Corporation XYZ is expected to make huge profits, but when you look at the chart it is telling you otherwise?

Who is right? How do you determine what to look at when you are preparing to enter a trade? Adam has put together this Trader’s Whiteboard video to explain the differences in information and to help you wade through the “noise”.

Click here to watch Lesson 6 in the series and tell us what you think about fundamentals, technicals, and market perception in the comments section.

Enjoy!

The MarketClub Team

Traders Toolbox: Money Management Part 4 of 4 Revisited...

Trader's Toolbox

At MarketClub our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals -- no matter which way the markets move -- with objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

The Trader's Toolbox posts are just another free resource from MarketClub.

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"This is the final portion of the Trader’s Toolbox: Money Management series. This post will recap the 5 main rules discussed. If you missed our previous post please click here for : Part 1Part 2 or Part 3.

♦ Setting a goal - Decide what your trading objective is (quick profit and steady return) as well as your risk tolerance level

♦Diversification - If possible, allocate your finances between different products to avert the danger of getting wiped out in a single market. Don’t go overboard, though; think in terms of three to five unrelated instruments. Stick to markets you know, rather than risking the unknown for the sake of diversification...."

Revisit the Trader's Toolbox Post: "Money Management Part 4 of 4" here.

A Fresh Look at Crude Oil in 2010

Hi, this is Adam Hewison. I am just getting back into the swing of things and decided to take a look at the crude oil market.

It's the first time I've looked at this market this year and one thing jumped out at me right away and I wanted to share it with you.

It appears as though crude oil has an amazing cyclic quality that can be timed quite accurately with MarketClub's "Triangle" technology. In this new short video, I showcase this cycle and how you can take advantage of it.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. All we ask for is that you comment on this video if you find it interesting and informative.

Enjoy the video and let us know what you think.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

Two Contrarian Trades for the Coming Decade

The last time Nicholas Vardy was a guest blogger he generated quite a buzz with his article and the comments that followed. This article should do the same, but you'll have to read on and let your thoughts and opinions be heard. After you read the article and comment, please visit Nicholas's site (Global Stock Investor) to read more articles and opinions from him.

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U.S stock markets have just come off of their worst decade ever, with inflation-adjusted returns in the S&P 500 dropping as much as 30%. That's a far cry from what investors were expecting at the turn of the millennium. The Internet was creating paper billionaires overnight.

Fast forward 10 years, and Nasdaq is still 40% below its peak. In addition, the Pew Research Center just designated the past decade as the "worst in 50 years."

But just as there was a technology bubble in 2000, today there is also a strong "pessimism bubble" about the U.S. economy over the coming decade. And like all bubbles, this one will eventually pop – as will the rising China bubble.  Understanding this is the key to ensuring you don’t end up like investors who have spent the last decade waiting for Cisco to "get back up to $80."

Rarely has the global stature of the United States been lower than it is today. A recent Washington Post/ABC poll found that 61% of the American people think the United States is in long-term decline. In another poll, 44% of Americans said that China was the top economic dog in the world, compared with only 27% favoring the United States.

Continue reading "Two Contrarian Trades for the Coming Decade"