Bitcoin Halving: Marathon Digital’s $1 Billion War Chest Fuels Growth Plans

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA), a prominent player in supporting and securing the Bitcoin ecosystem, boasts a solid financial position. As of February 29, 2024, it had nearly $1.5 billion in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and bitcoin. This substantial financial firepower plays a crucial role in enabling the company to execute its expansion strategy with agility and effectiveness.

Acquisition of 200MW Bitcoin Mining Data Center

On March 15, 2024, MARA finalized a deal to purchase Applied Digital Corporation’s Bitcoin mining data center in Garden City, Texas. The data center, which has a capacity of 200 megawatts (MW), will be acquired for $87.3 million, translating to roughly $437,000 per megawatt. The acquisition will be funded entirely through cash reserves from Marathon’s balance sheet.

The Bitcoin mining data center in Garden City, Texas, is located adjacent to a wind farm and is predominantly powered by renewable energy. The site, constructed and energized in 2023 with a workforce of about 25 employees, currently converts around 100 megawatts (c. 4.5 exahash of miners) into economic value through Bitcoin mining.

With the acquisition of this data center, MARA will take direct ownership of its current on-site operations and plans to expand by another 100 megawatts in 2024, totaling 200 megawatts dedicated exclusively to its Bitcoin mining operations.

This move provides Marathon with secure ownership of its operations and expansion opportunities. It also anticipates a 20% reduction in the cost per coin of its current operations at the site. Subject to customary conditions, the transaction is set to close in the second quarter of 2024.

The recent transaction marks Marathon’s second significant acquisition of Bitcoin mining data centers in the past four months, further bolstering its self-owned and operated megawatts to 54% in its Bitcoin mining portfolio. Before the acquisition of its first two data centers, which closed in January, MARA’s Bitcoin mining portfolio included 584 megawatts, with 3% residing on sites directly owned and operated by the company.

With this strategic acquisition and the planned expansion of the site in 2024, Marathon’s Bitcoin mining portfolio is set to increase to 1.1 gigawatts, with 54% under its direct ownership and operation, all of which are diversified across eleven sites on three continents. As a result, MARA will directly own and operate more megawatts than it had in its entire Bitcoin mining portfolio in December 2023.

In January this year, MARA finalized the acquisition of two operational Bitcoin mining facilities in Texas and Nebraska from subsidiaries of Generate Capital, PBC. Under the deal, the company paid around $179 million in cash from its balance sheet for approximately 390 MW of mining capacity. It also terminated rival Hut 8 Corp’s (HUT) involvement in overseeing the facilities.

Preparations for the Bitcoin Halving

Marathon Digital’s timing in acquiring the Bitcoin mining data center, located next to a wind farm with a capacity of 200 MW, is strategic, coinciding with its preparations for the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which is expected around April 20. This event, slashing per-block rewards by half from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, can strain smaller and less efficient miners with higher energy costs and limited capital access.

Miners with higher electricity costs or lower-efficiency machines “will have a difficult time mining profitably post-halving,” said Ethan Vera, Luxor Technology’s Chief Operating Officer. “Many companies are stuck in power contracts, or benefit from top line gross revenue and as such might continue to mine despite not being profitable. Companies' balance sheets will determine how long they can survive doing that.”

MARA, an already leading player in the mining space, reported an energized self-mining hash rate of 28.7 exahashes per second (EH/s) at the end of February 2024.

During last month’s earnings call, Marathon executives said they would use its balance sheet, comprising roughly $1 billion worth of unrestricted cash and bitcoin, to approximately double its hash rate to 50 EH/s by the end of 2025. In 2024, the company plans to increase its hash rate to nearly 35 to 37 exahash.

Moreover, MARA is preparing aggressively for the next Bitcoin halving with plenty of cash in hand.

“We have the need for more capacity, we are reaching that limit now as we speak but we will continue to be acquisitive in this space,” Marathon’s chief executive, Fred Thiel, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “That has a direct impact on our cost to mine, which lowers our break-even point.”

Marathon Digital is enhancing its infrastructure and increasing the number of its mining devices to keep costs low after the halving event, which will significantly reduce its revenues. The company estimates that the break-even point, where revenue covers the cost of 1 BTC after halving, will be $43,000. 

Fred Thiel said, “By simple calculation, if the industry average breakeven point was previously around $23,000 per Bitcoin, it will now be around $43,000.” Thiel mentioned that some miners will lose their profitability, and perhaps some will have to consider discontinuing their mining activities.

The latest announced purchase is consistent with Marathon’s proactive approach of scaling up its operations before the upcoming bitcoin halving, slated in April, which aims to alleviate potential financial pressures and capitalize on the opportunities in the market.

MARA is not the only mining company preparing for the bitcoin halving. Companies like Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) and CleanSpark, Inc. (CLSK) are also making substantial investments to increase their mining capacities. For instance, last month, Riot Platforms purchased 31,500 next-generation M60S miners from MicroBT for $97.40 million.

On the other hand, CleanSpark acquired three Bitcoin data centers in Mississippi, indicating a strategic move to bolster its mining infrastructure. Hut 8, led by CEO Asher Genoot, has outlined growth plans that focus on cost-effective scaling strategies.

Bottom Line

MARA, one of the largest U.S. bitcoin mining companies, reported outstanding financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. For the full year, Bitcoin production rose 210% year over year to a record 12,852 BTC. The company’s revenues grew 229% from the prior year to $387.50 million in 2023.

Furthermore, Marathon’s net income grew to a record of $261.20 million, or $1.06 per share, from last year’s net loss of $694 million, or $6.12 per share. Also, its adjusted EBITDA improved to $419.90 million from a loss of $543.30 million in 2022.

Marathon Digital, with a combined balance of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and bitcoin of nearly $1.5 billion as of February 29, continues to build liquidity on the balance sheet to capitalize on strategic opportunities, including industry consolidation. Recently, the company announced buying a 200 MW capacity Texas Bitcoin mining facility owned by Applied Digital for nearly $87 million in cash.

Along with taking direct ownership of its current operations at the site, the company added Marathon intends to grow its presence at the facility by 100 MW by the end of 2024. This planned purchase is consistent with MARA’s strategy to scale up its operations ahead of the next bitcoin halving event, slated for around April 20.

Also, in January, Marathon Digital closed the acquisition of two Bitcoin mining facilities in Texas and Nebraska from subsidiaries of Generate Capital, PBC. It paid around $179 million for 390 MW of capacity.

As the halving event is expected to put financial stress on companies in the mining sector, notably smaller, less-efficient miners with high energy costs and limited capital access, the recent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) emphasize MARA’s consistent efforts to mitigate potential challenges and capitalize on several opportunities in the market.

With MARA’s strong financial position enabling the company to execute its expansion strategy effectively, investors could consider buying this stock now.

Chart Spotlight: Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA)

Cryptocurrencies are showing big signs of life again.

Look at Bitcoin, for example. After crashing to a low of $19,097, BTC is now back up to $22,960. Not only is that great news for cryptocurrencies, it’s a strong catalyst for mining stocks, like Marathon Digital Holdings (NASDAQ: MARA).

After all, miners rise and fall with the price of Bitcoin.

Technically, MARA just broke above double top resistance dating back to late May 2022. Now, from a current price of $11.48, we could see a potential bearish gap refill around $16 a share. If Bitcoin can continue to recover, MARA could even retest $30 at some point.

Granted, there are some red flags...

Not only is MARA at its upper Bollinger Band, it’s also over-extended on Williams’ %R, Fast Stochastics, and on Relative Strength. So, there is some concern. However, if Bitcoin can continue to push higher, MARA is sure to follow.

MARA Chart with Trade Triangles

Source: MarketClub

Helping, BTIG analyst Mark Palmer believes Bitcoin could quadruple from current prices to $95,000 by 2023, as noted by U Today.

Changpeng Zhao, the CEO of Binance believes Bitcoin could rally to $70,000 in “a few months or years,” he said, as quoted by The Guardian.

Even the CEO of MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor has been buying weakness in Bitcoin, too.

Fundamentally, there’s a lot to like about MARA, as well.

In the second quarter of 2022, the company produced 707 self-mined Bitcoin, an 8% increase year over year from 654 bitcoin mined in Q2 2021. Year-to-date Marathon Digital produced 1,966 Bitcoin, a 132% increase year over year. In addition, the total number of miners installed and awaiting energization at Texas facilities increased to 29,640 miners.

Marathon Digital also just secured a five-year deal with Applied Blockchain, which builds and operates data centers throughout America.

With that, Marathon “secured approximately 254 megawatts of new hosting arrangements for its Bitcoin mining operations, with an option to increase to 324 megawatts, from a variety of hosting providers. Marathon believes it has now secured ample hosting arrangements to support the Company’s previously stated goal of approximately 23.3 exahashes per second of computing power for Bitcoin mining,” as noted in a company press release.

That’s big news for MARA, and signals that the company will survive the rout.

From a current price of $11.48, I’d like to see the Marathon Digital Holdings stock test $16 a share, near-term. Longer-term, I’d like to see it test $30 again.

Ian Cooper
INO.com Contributor

Disclosure: This contributor did not hold a position in any investment mentioned above at the time this blog post was published. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.