Whether I'm day trading or swing trading forex (and other markets as well), I frequently use the method described below. It's a price action trading method, with trendlines and trend channels used to help establish entry points and potential targets. Here's the basic strategy; adjust it to your liking or add your own indicators to help you implement it.
Before Placing Trades
Before placing a trade, calculate your proper position size. Position size is calibrated for the trade so you are risking 1% (or less) of your account capital on each trade. All trades taken must have at least a 2:1 reward:risk ratio, but often we'll end up with trades that have a 5:1 or 6:1 ratio (more on that in a bit). If risking 1% of your account, you stand to make at least 2%, but often 5% or more...that's 5% on your total account, not just traded capital (because our risk is also based on the total account). If you risk up to 2% per trade, your gains double.
Before commencing trade, note any significant economic data coming out over the next 24-hours. Avoid placing entries or stop loss orders close the current price right before a major news announcement, as this can cause slippage. Best to avoid those trades. Continue reading "My Favorite Swing Trading Strategy"→
Last weekend, I went on a road trip with a friend and her two young sons. The second we left the driveway, the older boy placed a rubber pool noodle in between him and his brother and established the most important ground rule of all sibling driving trips:
"Don't cross this line or else."
Impressively, an entire hour passed without incident when my friend spied the younger son teasingly edging his elbow toward the very outskirts of the noodle, baiting his luck.
Anticipating the ensuing reversal of our event-free driving experience, my friend pre-emptively pulled over to the side of the road, when in -- 3-2-1! -- a small arm crossed the line and a giant tantrum ensued.
If financial market speculation were easy, then everyone would be well off -- and the legendary investor Warren Buffett would be just a nice rich guy from Omaha with really cool glasses.
The reality is, successfully navigating the near- and long-term trends is exceptionally difficult. Gains can be big, but losses can often be even bigger.
Technical analysis offers you an all-you-can-watch buffet of indicators to help reduce your risk and optimize rewards. You may already be using moving averages or momentum indicators, for example -- and you know how helpful they can be at anticipating trend changes.
Well, let us introduce you to another excellent tool: trendlines.
For the past 15 years, Elliott Wave International's chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy has been using trendlines to identify high-probability trade set-ups in close to 20 markets he regularly follows.